Based on our computer model, the Indianapolis Colts will beat the New England Patriots when they square off at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, Dec. 1 (at 1 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.
Colts vs. Patriots Predictions
- Our pick to win on the Moneyline in this contest is the Colts, by a final score of Colts 23, Patriots 18.
- Against the spread, we project that the Colts will cover. The spread is currently Colts -2.
- As for the total, we see this one going under the posted over/under of 42.5 points. Our projected total for the match is 41.5 points.
Colts vs. Patriots Odds
- Spread favorite: Colts (-2)
- Moneyline: Colts (-142), Patriots (+120)
- Total: 42.5 points
Colts Betting Trends
- The Colts’ ATS record is 8-4-0 this season.
- Indianapolis has a 1-1 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
- Five of the Colts’ 12 games with a set total have hit the over (41.7%).
- The Colts have been the Moneyline favorite three total times this season. They’ve finished 2-1 in those games.
- Indianapolis has played as a Moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
Patriots Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 4-7-1 against the spread this year.
- New England is a 4-7-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2 points or more this season.
- Out of the Patriots’ 12 games with a set total, seven have hit the over (58.3%).
- This season, the Patriots have won three out of the 12 games, or 25%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- New England has a record of 3-8 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +120 on the Moneyline.
Colts Key Stats
- Total offense: 316.3 yards per game, 22nd in NFL
- Passing offense: 199.7 yards per game, 24th in NFL
- Rushing offense: 116.7 yards per game, 16th in NFL
- Total defense: 375.8 yards per game, 28th in NFL
- Passing defense: 233.3 yards per game, 27th in NFL
- Rushing defense: 142.6 yards per game, 27th in NFL
Patriots Key Stats
- Total offense: 280.1 yards per game, 32nd in NFL
- Passing offense: 167.3 yards per game, 32nd in NFL
- Rushing offense: 112.8 yards per game, 19th in NFL
- Total defense: 347.5 yards per game, 22nd in NFL
- Passing defense: 224.4 yards per game, 22nd in NFL
- Rushing defense: 123.1 yards per game, 18th in NFL
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.