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Could Tim Patrick be a value play if Amon-Ra St. Brown sits on Thanksgiving?

Could Tim Patrick be a value play if Amon-Ra St. Brown sits on Thanksgiving?

DraftKings Fantasy Advice NFL DraftKings Network Rail

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By: Alex Hunter

Lions star Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,000) is dealing with a knee injury and has been listed as questionable for Thursday’s game vs. the Bears. Plus, the Lions placed Kalif Raymond (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday.

St. Brown ranks ninth in the NFL in target share (28.9%) and if the star receiver is out Thursday, Tim Patrick ($3,500) would jump up Detroit’s depth chart and operate as their WR2 behind Jameson Williams ($6,100).

Patrick has only seen a target on 14% of his routes this season, but that number would grow aggressively if St. Brown is sidelined. Patrick would likely see plenty of work from the slot with both St. Brown and Raymond missing. On top of the expanded role, Patrick draws a terrific matchup vs. the Bears, whose defense is struggling mightily after a hot start to the season.

Over the last three weeks, no defense in the NFL has given up more yards per pass than Chicago (10.0). At 29.5 points on DraftKings Sportsbook, the Lions carry the highest implied team total of Week 13 by a solid gap.

Patrick will be a no-brainer punt play for Thursday’s three-game Thanksgiving Day slate if St. Brown sits. He will also be worth picking up in your season-long leagues as a streamer if you need help at wide receiver.

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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.