The Steelers are facing the Browns in a classic division rivalry game on Thursday Night Football. Here are some Jerry Jeudy prop bets to consider at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jerry Jeudy Prop Bets
Here are Jerry Jeudy’s current prop bet odds at DraftKings Sportsbook: o/u 3.5 receptions and o/u 44.5 receiving yards. Jeudy is +290 to score a touchdown, +3000 to score 2+ touchdowns and +1300 to score the first touchdown of the game.
Jeudy has been thriving since Jameis Winston stepped in at quarterback for the injured DeShaun Watson. In seven games with Watson at quarterback, Jeudy averaged 38 receiving yards per game. In three games with Winston at quarterback, he is averaging 98 receiving yards per game with at least 73 yards in each of those three games. Jeudy did not have double-digit targets all season until the past two weeks, where he has had 11 targets in both games. This spike also coincides with the departure of Amari Cooper, who was the Browns’ top receiver before he was traded to Buffalo.
This uptick in production from Jeudy has provided a spark for the Browns’ offense. In Weeks 1-7 with Watson, the Browns were 31st in the league in EPA/dropback and 32nd in dropback success rate. In Weeks 8-11 with Winston, they are 22nd in EPA/dropback and 21st in dropback success rate. It has been far from perfect for the Browns but it is certainly an improvement on the first seven weeks of the season, which led to them knocking off the Ravens in one of those games.
One of the reasons for the spike in production after the quarterback change is Winston’s willingness to throw the ball downfield. Last week, Jeudy had an incredible 89-yard touchdown catch. That is more yards on one catch than he had in any full game with Watson at quarterback. Air yards measure how far down the field a quarterback throws the ball, ignoring whether it is completed or any yards after the catch. Out of 40 quarterbacks with 100 or more snaps taken this season, Watson ranks 30th in air yards per pass with 7.2. On the other hand, Winston ranks second in the league with 9.7 air yards per pass.
Jerry Jeudy’s production has increased dramatically with Jameis Winston at the helm and that should continue in this game. The Steelers have a great defense but Winston is going to have to throw the ball down the field if the Browns want any chance of winning this game. He should be able to hit Jeudy for at least one or two big throws and that should push Jeudy over his receiving yards prop of 44.5.
Pick: Jerry Jeudy o44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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