For Thursday night, get your popcorn ready because we have two of the best quarterbacks in the land going head-to-head: Jayden Daniels vs. Jalen Hurts. Daniels is second only to Lamar Jackson in Total EPA, although he’s been dealing with a rib injury recently. The Eagles have now won five straight and sit atop the NFC East. The Commanders lost a tough one to the Steelers in Week 10, but are only one game back in the loss column to Philly.
Thursday Night Football Odds
On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Eagles are -3.5 on the Spread, with the Total at 48.5. The Eagles are -180 on the Moneyline while the Commanders are +150.
Here are some player props from this game that have piqued my interest:
Brian Robinson Jr. Rushing Yards
Over 50+ is +100. Over 60+ is +160. I’m feeling both of those. In Week 10, the Steelers essentially blitzed Jayden Daniels on read-option plays, forcing him to hand the ball off. I’m thinking a similar strategy will be employed by the Eagles. Robinson Jr. missed the last two games but is expected to return for this one. In the two prior games, he rushed 12 and 16 times for 71 and 65 yards.
Jayden Daniels Rush Yards O/U
The O/U is set at 41.5 yards and I like the under at -115. This correlates to the Robinson Jr. bet above since handoffs to Robinson Jr. would take away opportunities for Daniels to rack up rushing yards. In addition, the Commanders have scaled down the number of called rushing plays for Daniels as the season has progressed. In the first five games, Daniels rushed at least 10 times in four of those contests. Since then, he hasn’t exceeded eight carries and has two games with only three.
AJ Brown Receptions O/U
The O/U is set at 5.5 and I like the under at -145. Brown has played six games this season and exceeded 5.5 only once. He’s landed on five catches an incredibly consistent four times. Philadelphia is dead last in pass percentage and I have some doubts that this game turns into a barn-burner.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
