Eight games to parse through this week. Let’s get right into the Pick6 fantasy football picks worth considering from Week 9’s NFL main slate (Sunday 1 p.m. ET).
Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys
Bijan Robinson
Rush + Rec Yards: 101.5
While Alvin Kamara and Derrick Henry are the only two running backs who have surpassed this mark vs. the Cowboys this season, we’re starting to see others wreak havoc vs. Dallas.
The split backfield in Detroit combined for 143 yards on 24 carries. Jahmyr Gibbs also reeled in three of five targets for 28 yards. San Fran’s Isaac Guerendo logged 85 yards on 14 carries vs. Dallas while Jordan Mason dealt with his injury after logging 18 yards on six carries. Guerendo also had 17 yards on three catches.
While Tyler Allgeier cuts into some of Robinson’s carries, the latter is still getting a healthy amount of action on the ground. Furthermore, Allgeier won’t cut into Robinson’s work in the passing game. Robinson has more than 4x the number of targets, and he’s coming off consecutive games of at least five targets and 40 receiving yards.
The play: MORE
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
Chuba Hubbard
Rushing Yards: 55.5
Hubbard was smashing this number earlier in the season, but his production has slowed the last couple weeks. Having logged 52 and 56 rushing yards in his most recent games helps make sense of why his number is so low, but he should be able to surpass this mark with the help of the Saints.
A running back has surpassed this mark in each of New Orleans’ last six games. J.K. Dobbins was the one with the lowest output, finishing with 57 rushing yards on 17 carries in Week 8. He was also the lone back of the bunch who didn’t post a season-best or second-best total on the ground in his meeting with New Orleans.
The play: MORE
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Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Khalil Shakir
Receptions: 4.5
This is one of the higher reception totals from this week’s main slate (as of writing), but it still feels low. Perhaps it’d be at 5.5 if Amari Cooper’s status wasn’t improving, which would make this a tougher number to back.
But at 4.5, there’s little reason to hesitate. Shakir has been ultra-reliable, reeling in 36 of his 38 targets this season. Over the last couple weeks, he’s caught all 17 of his targets.
Cooper could cut into how many looks Shakir gets, but Josh Allen isn’t simply going to abandon his most reliable pass-catcher. Furthermore, Shakir has shown he can get over this number on five targets alone.
The play: MORE
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans
Hunter Henry
Receiving Yards: 38.5
This could be another smash if Drake Maye gets the green light in Week 9. But, Week 8 showed that Henry will continue to get looks even if Jacoby Brissett has to enter the mix.
Henry and Maye connected for an 11-yard pass before the QB had to depart. The rest of Henry’s 45 receiving yards came from Brissett. That does only add up to 34 yards on Brissett’s part, which could be why this total is still sub-40 following three weeks of 40-plus receiving yards from Henry. But the prioritization of the tight end even with Maye departing is enough to back him before knowing the rookie QB’s status.
That’s also in part because of who he’s facing. Since Tennessee’s bye, an opposing tight end has managed to log at least 41 receiving yards in each game.
The play: MORE
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
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