The 2024 presidential election is entering the home stretch, and we’re monitoring any slight line movement in the battle between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Trump peaked earlier this week with -200 odds, with Harris sitting at +175, but now Trump’s odds have adjusted back down to -185, with Harris closing the gap slightly at +150. As a reminder, presidential election odds on DraftKings Sportsbook are available exclusively to bettors in Ontario, Canada.
Last week saw subtle but notable shifts=. After seeing Harris’ odds improve slightly, moving from +150 on October 22 to +135 by October 24, Trump regained ground jumping to -185 on October 26 and then all the way to -200 on October 29, before falling back a bit to -185 today. Trump has basically found his level at odds of-165 or better for the past two weeks.
RealClearPolling shows Trump with a slim +0.5 lead in the national polling average, but the battleground states tell a more complex story. Harris has been gaining ground, creating shifts in key states. In Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona, Trump maintains a narrow lead with margins of +0.7, +1.0, +2.8, and +2.4, respectively. However, Harris edges ahead in Wisconsin (+0.2) and Michigan (+0.4). Meanwhile, Nevada remains tight, with Trump holding a slight advantage at +0.5. New CNN polls in Georgia and North Carolina show races too close to call, with Trump ahead among likely voters in Georgia (48-47) but Harris ahead in North Carolina (48-47). Both results are clearly within the margin of error and help to demonstrate the historically close nature of the 2024 presidential race.
Both candidates made their closing arguments of sorts, with Trump’s coming in his controversial rally on Sunday at Madison Square Garden and Harris’ coming on Tuesday night at the Ellipse.
Historian Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 U.S. presidential winners, remains confident in his prediction that Kamala Harris will win the presidency. “I don’t have a crystal ball; my system is based on history and is very robust,” Lichtman said. While he acknowledges the chance of unprecedented events disrupting the outcome, he emphasized that this “doesn’t mean my prediction is invalidated.”
Presidential election odds on DraftKings Sportsbook are currently available only in Ontario, Canada.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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