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Will Alvin Kamara score a touchdown on Thursday Night Football?

Will Alvin Kamara score a touchdown on Thursday Night Football?

Sports Betting Picks NFL DraftKings Sportsbook Insights Rail

Published:

By: Alex Hunter

Alvin Kamara ranks second among all skill players in touchdowns this season with seven scores, but is the back a good bet for a touchdown on Thursday Night Football at a price of -110 on the DraftKings Sportsbook?

The Saints draw a brutal matchup, hosting the Broncos, who rank top-five in both fewest yards per pass allowed and fewest yards per rush allowed this season. Denver is the fourth-highest graded defense on PFF and with Spencer Rattler under center for New Orleans, the club isn’t expected to score many points Thursday. On the DraftKings Sportsbook, their implied team total is set a modest 16.5 points (-130), which is the lowest team total the Saints have seen this season by 2.5 points. Furthermore, this game’s O/U on the DraftKings Sportsbook is set at 37 points, which is a huge drop from the opening lines and the lowest total for a game that New Orleans has competed in this season.

Kamara has maintained an elite role through six weeks, ranking fourth in carries per game (17.3), third in red zone rushes (20) and fifth in snap rate among running backs (73.8%), but this Denver defense he is facing has only surrendered five total touchdowns to opposing running backs this season.

All signs are pointing towards a quiet night from Kamara and the Saints, and ignoring him for an anytime touchdown at -110 on the DraftKings Sportsbook is the right call in this situation.

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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Alex Hunter
Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.