With Week 15 wrapping up, the path to the playoffs is becoming clearer and clearer. Several teams were eliminated from contention this week, while others clinched their postseason berths. We take a look at how this week’s performances affected each eligible team’s Super Bowl odds.
Who had the best Week 15 performance?
The Bills take home the award for best win of the week after a dominant performance against the Cowboys. They have had one of the toughest three-week slates possible in this year’s NFL season, facing the Eagles, 49ers, and Cowboys in a row. They took the Eagles to overtime and ended up losing, but beat the Niners and Cowboys, and are looking more and more like legitimate playoff contenders by the week.
The Dolphins also had a great Week 15 performance in their shutout of the Jets. The Buccaneers are gunning for the top spot in the NFC South and grabbed a big win over a hot Packers team, and the Raiders put up 63 points with their starting running back sidelined.
Which favorites have work to do?
The Cowboys have now lost a few games this season in an ugly fashion — two of their four losses have come by three or more touchdowns. If they want to make a deep postseason run, those kinds of losses to their potential opponents can’t keep happening.
The Chiefs won this week, finishing 27-17 over the Patriots. They are playing at a fairly low level compared to the past few seasons, and do not look like a Super Bowl winning team at the moment. Patrick Mahomes threw two interceptions against New England.
Which 7-7 or 6-8 team has the best chance of making a run to the Super Bowl?
The Seahawks are currently 6-7 and face the Eagles on Monday night. Geno Smith is questionable, but if any 7-7 or 6-8 team has a shot at a Super Bowl run, it just might be Seattle. The Seahawks have struggled through injury issues this season, but a healthy Seattle offense can hang with the best of them. The 7-7 Rams are another potential dark horse candidate after turning their season around partway through, and the 6-8 Packers have shown flashes of excellence, but haven’t been able to capture it consistently.
Here’s a full list of Super Bowl 58 odds heading into Week XX, and how they compare with the opening numbers, Week 1, and last week. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Super Bowl odds 2023-24
| Team | Feb 12 | Week 1 | Week 18 | Wild Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Feb 12 | Week 1 | Week 18 | Wild Card |
| San Francisco 49ers | +750 | +1000 | +220 | +220 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +2200 | +1800 | +300 | +310 |
| Buffalo Bills | +700 | +900 | +800 | +650 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1400 | +1400 | +850 | +750 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | +600 | +950 | +1000 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +900 | +650 | +1100 | +1600 |
| Miami Dolphins | +3000 | +2500 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Detroit Lions | +3000 | +2200 | +2000 | +1800 |
| Cleveland Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Houston Texans | +20000 | +20000 | +8000 | +4000 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3500 | +10000 | +6000 | +4500 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6000 | +10000 | +12000 | +6000 |
| Green Bay Packers | +3000 | +6500 | +18000 | +9000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5500 | +5000 | +25000 | +12000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +2800 | +3000 | +3500 | OTB |
| Indianapolis Colts | +15000 | +15000 | +10000 | OTB |
| Seattle Seahawks | +7000 | +3000 | +12000 | OTB |
| New Orleans Saints | +5000 | +3000 | +20000 | OTB |
| Atlanta Falcons | +7500 | +6000 | +50000 | OTB |
| Minnesota Vikings | +4500 | +3500 | +80000 | OTB |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +900 | +1100 | OTB | OTB |
| Denver Broncos | +3000 | +4500 | OTB | OTB |
| Chicago Bears | +8000 | +5000 | OTB | OTB |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +4000 | +8000 | OTB | OTB |
| New York Giants | +4000 | +6500 | OTB | OTB |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2200 | +2500 | OTB | OTB |
| New York Jets | +2800 | +1600 | OTB | OTB |
| Washington Commanders | +7000 | +6500 | OTB | OTB |
| Tennessee Titans | +7500 | +8000 | OTB | OTB |
| Arizona Cardinals | +20000 | +40000 | OTB | OTB |
| Carolina Panthers | +5500 | +8000 | OTB | OTB |
| New England Patriots | +6000 | +6500 | OTB | OTB |