Sunday’s five-game NHL slate features several appealing player props on DraftKings Sportsbook. My best bets are Leon Draisaitl and Macklin Celebrini 4+ shots on goal, plus Seth Jones 1+ point.
NHL Player Prop Picks at a Glance
| Player prop | Matchup | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl 4+ Shots on Goal | Oilers at Flyers | +120 |
| Macklin Celebrini 4+ Shots on Goal | Predators at Sharks | -130 |
| Seth Jones 1+ Point | Panthers at Stars | -120 |
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and subject to change.
Best NHL Player Props for November 15
Leon Draisaitl 4+ Shots on Goal (+120)
Draisaitl has put at least four shots on goal in six straight games, and the 31-year-old leads the NHL with 18 goals through 21 outings. His 10.70 shots on goal per 60 and 15.53 unblocked shot attempts per 60 rank 16th and 19th, respectively, among 610 skaters with at least 100 minutes of ice time. The power play does a lot of the heavy lifting here, as his 5v5 rate drops to 7.17 shots on goal per 60 (T-97th among those skaters), but he fires 18.62 per 60 at 5-on-4 for an Edmonton unit that converts 32.9% of its chances (3rd).
He has struggled on the road, reaching four shots in just three of his nine road games. The Flyers allow 28.11 shots on goal per 60, the 10th-most of any team, along with the seventh-most shot attempts per 60 of any team. Philadelphia has tightened up lately, allowing the third-fewest shots on goal per 60 of any team over its past 10 games. Its penalty kill ranks 12th (79.7%), though, and I’d expect Edmonton’s top unit to give Draisaitl plenty of looks tonight.
Macklin Celebrini 4+ Shots on Goal (-130)
Nashville gives up a ton of shots, allowing the second-most 5v5 shot attempts per 60 (61.44) and the third-most 5v5 shots on goal per 60 (28.38). That’s a juicy matchup for Celebrini, who leads the Sharks with 83 shots on goal in 20 games and has cleared four shots in seven of his past 10 outings. The 20-year-old’s 10.68 shots on goal per 60 rank 17th among skaters with 100+ minutes, and he has averaged 18.82 shot attempts per 60 over his past 10 games.
Nashville owns the top penalty kill in hockey (89.7%), which will cut into Celebrini’s power-play work, where he fires 16.98 shots on goal per 60. Still, his 7.51 shots on goal per 60 at 5v5 rank T-78th among those skaters, and 5v5 is exactly where the Predators bleed shot chances. San Jose is playing the second night of a back-to-back, but Celebrini put four shots on goal in 21:57 in Utah on Saturday, and he’ll be leaned on heavily at home again tonight.
Seth Jones 1+ Point (-120)
Casey DeSmith is expected to draw the start for Dallas instead of Jake Oettinger, and that’s worth exploiting. DeSmith has an .894 SV% and 2.70 GAA in five appearances, and his -0.6 GSAx and -0.23% SV% above expected rank 41st and 43rd, respectively, among 76 goaltenders. For comparison, Oettinger ranks ninth in GSAx (+7.7) and has four shutouts.
Jones has notched a point in seven of his past 10 games, and his 22 points (3G, 19A) are T-6th among NHL defensemen. Florida generates 4.49 xGoals for per 60 with the 32-year-old on the ice, which ranks seventh among blueliners with 100+ minutes, and he has logged at least 21 minutes in each of his past 10 outings. Thirteen of those 22 points have come on the power play, and Dallas kills 89.4% of its penalties (2nd), so it isn’t an easy matchup. However, Jones plays with the top unit, and the Panthers have averaged 29.4 shots per game (T-4th).
Advanced stats courtesy of MoneyPuck.
For up-to-date NHL betting information and data, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits page and player props page!
