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Prediction, pick for Vadim Nemkov vs. Sergei Bilostenniy at PFL Dubai

Prediction, pick for Vadim Nemkov vs. Sergei Bilostenniy at PFL Dubai

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By: Ryan Wohl

Today at the Coca-Cola Arena in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, the PFL is hosting an event! PFL Heavyweight Champion Vadim Nemkov is defending the title against Sergei Bilostenniy in the Main Event of this card. The Main Card for this event begins on the ESPN App at 1:00 p.m. ET. 

Check out my best bet below for today’s PFL Main Event between Vadim Nemkov and Sergei Bilostenniy.

Under 1.5 Rounds (+185)

In December 2025, Nemkov submitted Renan Ferreira in the first round to win the Vacant PFL Heavyweight Championship. From 2017 to 2023, Nemkov went 9-0 with one no-contest in Bellator and has since gone 3-0 in the PFL. Nemkov reigned as Bellator Light Heavyweight Champion from August 2020 to January 2024. Bilostenniy has a 15-4 record with 11 finishes and has gone 5-1 in his previous six contests. In May, Bilostenniy also picked up a finish against Ferreira. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Nemkov is a -410 favorite, while Bilostenniy is a +320 underdog. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the over at -245 and the under at +185. Bilostenniy is taller by one inch (6’1″ vs. 6’0″) while Nemkov has a one-inch reach advantage (76″ vs. 75″). 

Recently, we have seen a more aggressive version of Nemkov, who has secured a submission in the first two rounds of his previous three bouts. Although Bilostenniy is powerful, he is primarily a striker, which should give Nemkov the edge in this matchup, as he is the more versatile fighter. With two Heavyweights who always look for the finish, I don’t expect this fight to last long. Nemkov’s previous three fights and 11 of Bilostenniy’s bouts have gone under 1.5 rounds. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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