Best Isaiah Likely prop bet for Giants vs. Commanders on Thursday 11/12/26

The Isaiah Likely breakout campaign rolls along this year. Despite having three different quarterbacks this season with the New York Giants, the 26-year-old has already set a career high in receptions. He’s also approaching personal highs in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Will he keep the good times going against the Commanders on Thursday Night Football? Or will Washington find a way to shut him down?

Here’s the best Isaiah Likely prop bet for Giants vs. Commanders on TNF in Week 10.

Best Isaiah Likely prop bet for Giants vs. Commanders

Best Bet: Isaiah Likely 5+ Receptions, 50+ Receiving Yards, Anytime TD Scorer SGP (+405)

What has been remarkable for Likely this year is the consistency. In his first season with the Giants, Likely has four games with both 8+ targets and 50+ receiving yards. The former Raven has also caught six touchdowns, tying a career high. The highs have been high, chiefly in Week 5 against these same Commanders.

In that matchup, Likely caught 11-of-13 targets (both season highs) for 94 yards and two touchdowns. It was an absolutely dominant performance for their new big-money target; though the game ended in a tie, he put serious fear into the Commanders.

Here’s the question: can he do it again?

Early in the season, the Commanders are struggling to cover tight ends. If you remove Likely’s Week 5 performance, the Commanders have allowed 5.4 catches and 65.1 yards per game to the position over seven games. Making matters worse, they’ve allowed eight total receiving touchdowns to TEs. The presence of dynamic rookie linebacker Sonny Styles hasn’t fixed a unit that allowed 86 catches for 1,040 yards and 12 touchdowns to tight ends last season.

I love the chances that Likely has another monster performance. Washington’s struggles against tight ends will likely continue, and Giants quarterback J.J. McCarthy will lock in on his tight end all night. Let’s roll with Likely to post another elite receiving line.