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Calgary Flames vs. New York Rangers prediction, pick for Wednesday, November 11

Calgary Flames vs. New York Rangers prediction, pick for Wednesday, November 11

Published:

By: Hunter Skoczylas

The New York Rangers visit the Calgary Flames on Wednesday night, with puck drop set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Saddledome. On DraftKings Sportsbook, New York is a -142 favorite on the Moneyline, while the total is set at O/U 5.5 goals.

Below, I’ll break down the matchup and provide my top Flames vs. Rangers prediction and best bet.


Flames vs. Rangers Odds

MarketNew York RangersCalgary Flames
Moneyline-142+120
Puck Line-1.5 (+180)+1.5 (-218)
TotalOver 5.5 (-125)Under 5.5 (+105)

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and subject to change.


Flames vs. Rangers Betting Preview

Calgary Flames Outlook

Calgary has quietly gone 6-3-1 over its past 10 games, including a 4-3 overtime win over Philadelphia on Sunday, and the Flames sport a 6-4-0 home record. To be honest, the underlying numbers don’t really back it up. Calgary has controlled just 45.4% of the xGoals this season (27th), and its 2.65 xGoals per 60 rank 29th. The goaltending has turned around, with the Flames allowing just 2.58 goals per 60 over the past 10 games, the seventh-fewest in the NHL.

Devin Cooley will start between the pipes, and he has been the better of Calgary’s two goaltenders by a wide margin, going 5-3-0 with a .914 SV% and 2.71 GAA. His +2.3 GSAx and +0.50% SV% above expected both rank 18th among 75 goaltenders. Joel Farabee (7G, 10A) leads the team with 17 points, and Matt Coronato (4G, 11A) leads in assists, but the blue line took a big hit when the Flames announced Sunday that Kevin Bahl will miss the rest of the season with a ruptured Achilles tendon.

New York Rangers Outlook

The Rangers have been a completely different team away from Madison Square Garden. They sport a stellar 8-2-0 home record but just a 2-6-1 road record, with only two regulation wins across nine road games, and they’ve been outscored 14-4 in the third periods on the road, too. They’re also coming off a 3-1 loss in Edmonton on Monday.

Over their past 10 games, the Rangers rank fifth in 5v5 xGoals share (55.1%) and second in high-danger shots, but their 2.78 goals per 60 in that span rank 24th. Pavel Dorofeyev has struggled to finish, scoring six goals on a team-high 8.0 xGoals, while Adam Fox (2G, 20A) leads the team with 22 points. With Igor Shesterkin out for the season with a right knee injury, Joonas Korpisalo will likely get the start in just his second appearance of the season. He won his lone start with an .893 SV% and 3.04 GAA, and his -0.1 GSAx ranks 34th.


Flames vs. Rangers Prediction and Best Bet

The Rangers won the most recent meeting 4-0 on March 10 at home, but Calgary also handled them 5-1 in its barn on Oct. 26 of last season. New York’s underlying numbers are better, for sure, but laying -142 with a backup goaltender on a road trip where the Rangers have been this inconsistent isn’t the vibe. Give me the home team at plus money with the better goaltender in net.

Best Bet: Flames Moneyline (+120)

Advanced stats courtesy of MoneyPuck.


Hunter has been with DraftKings since 2022, and he currently serves as a Senior Content Associate with specializations in both AI and NHL content. Although he primarily operates as a behind-the-scenes editor behind the ‘DK Network Editors’ author tag, you will still plenty of written NHL, NFL, NBA and WNBA betting content from him. You can follow him on X at @HunterSkoczylas!
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.

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