Michigan voters will choose a U.S. senator on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Democrat Abdul El-Sayed is running against Republican Mike Rogers, a former congressman and House Intelligence Committee chairman, for a seat left open by the retirement of Sen. Gary Peters. Find the latest DraftKings Predictions market for who will win the Michigan Senate election below.
Disclaimer: The following article reflects market activity at the time of capture — not official election results.
DraftKings Predictions Markets: 2026 Michigan Senate Election
Pricing reflects market sentiment and is subject to change.
Abdul El-Sayed (D) — 79% Yes
- Party: Democratic
- Most recent role: Director of the Wayne County Department of Health, Human & Veterans Services
- From: Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Age: 42
- Background: El-Sayed is a physician and epidemiologist who ran the Detroit Health Department from 2015 to 2017 before leading Wayne County’s health department from March 2023 until he stepped down in April 2025 to run for the Senate. He ran for governor of Michigan in 2018, taking about 30% of the primary vote against Gretchen Whitmer, and has hosted the podcast America Dissected since 2019. He won the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens, 48.4% to 47.6%, and has not previously held elected office.
El-Sayed’s 79% “Yes” price indicates that the prediction market is currently assigning him the stronger market position in this race. It is a market-based price, not an official result or a guarantee of the outcome.
Mike Rogers (R) — 24% Yes
- Party: Republican
- Most recent role: U.S. representative for Michigan’s 8th congressional district and 2024 Republican Senate nominee
- From: Brighton Township, Michigan
- Age: 63
- Background: Rogers served in the U.S. House from 2001 to 2015 and chaired the House Intelligence Committee from 2011 to 2015, after four years as an FBI special agent in Chicago and six years in the Michigan Senate. He was the Republican nominee for Michigan’s other Senate seat in 2024, losing to Elissa Slotkin by fewer than 20,000 votes. He entered this race in April 2025, was endorsed by Donald Trump that July, and ran unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary.
Rogers’ 24% “Yes” price reflects the market’s current view of his chances of winning the Senate seat. That figure can move as polling, campaign developments and trading activity change.
When is the Michigan Senate election?
Michigan’s Senate election is on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Voters will elect a senator to a six-year term beginning in January 2027.
Who currently holds the Michigan Senate seat?
The seat is currently held by Democratic Sen. Gary Peters, who was first elected in 2014 and took office in January 2015. Peters announced in January 2025 that he would not seek a third term, leaving the seat open and setting up a contest between El-Sayed and Rogers. It is the only open Democratic-held Senate seat in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024, and no Republican has won a Senate race in Michigan since 1994.
Prediction-market percentages reflect current trading activity and may not add up to exactly 100% because of market pricing and other factors. They are a real-time indicator of market expectations, rather than a definitive election forecast.
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