Voters will decide control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. All 435 seats are on the ballot, with Republicans defending a four-seat majority under Speaker Mike Johnson and Democrats needing a net gain of four to take the chamber in 2027. Find the latest DraftKings Predictions market for which party will control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026 below.
Disclaimer: The following article reflects market activity at the time of capture — not official election results.
DraftKings Predictions Market: Party to Control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026
Pricing reflects market sentiment and is subject to change.
ADemocratic Party — 96% Yes
Democrats currently hold 214 seats. That means the party needs a net gain of four seats to reach the 218 required for a majority. Democrats last controlled the chamber in the 117th Congress, losing it in the 2022 midterms and finishing the 2024 cycle with 215 seats to the Republicans’ 220. Hakeem Jeffries has led the caucus since January 2023 and would become Speaker if the party wins control.
The Democratic Party’s 96% “Yes” price indicates that the prediction market currently views Democrats as the more likely party to control the House after the 2026 elections. It is a market-based price, not an official result or a guarantee of the outcome.
Republican Party — 8% Yes
Republicans currently hold 218 seats, giving them the chamber’s majority entering Election Day. The party won 220 seats in 2024, a margin since trimmed by resignations, and needs no net change to keep control. Mike Johnson has been Speaker since October 2023 and is seeking a second full term with the gavel.
The GOP’s 8% “Yes” price reflects the market’s current view of the party’s chances of holding the House. That figure can move as polling, campaign developments and trading activity change.
When are the 2026 House elections?
The House elections are on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Winners will serve two-year terms beginning in January 2027, seating the 120th Congress.
How many seats are in the U.S. House of Representatives?
There are 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, apportioned among the states by population. Representatives serve two-year terms, and unlike the Senate, the entire chamber is elected at once rather than in staggered classes.
In 2026, voters will decide all 435 House races:
- 218 seats needed for a majority
- 218 Republican-held seats being defended
- 214 Democratic-held seats being defended
- One independent-held seat and two vacancies entering Election Day
- Five of the six non-voting delegate seats also on the ballot
Republicans currently have a 218-214 edge. The two vacancies are Florida’s 20th district, left open by the April 2026 resignation of Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Texas’ 23rd, vacated by Tony Gonzales the same month.
Tightest House races to watch in 2026
Mid-decade redistricting reshaped the map before a single vote was cast. Texas enacted a map adding five Republican-leaning districts, California voters answered by approving a map that eliminates five Republican seats, and Ohio, North Carolina and Louisiana all enacted new lines. Missouri’s redraw did not survive; the Supreme Court left the state’s 2022 map in place for this cycle on September 25, 2026.
Eleven districts Donald Trump carried in 2024 are still held by Democrats, among them Maine’s 2nd, Michigan’s 8th, Nevada’s 3rd, North Carolina’s 1st, Ohio’s 9th and Washington’s 3rd. Three districts Kamala Harris carried are held by Republicans: Nebraska’s 2nd, New York’s 17th and Pennsylvania’s 1st. Sixty representatives are not seeking reelection, the second-most retirements in a single cycle behind 1992, including Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jerry Nadler, Don Bacon and Elise Stefanik.
Prediction-market percentages reflect current trading activity and may not add up to exactly 100% because of market pricing and other factors. They are a real-time indicator of market expectations, rather than a definitive election forecast.
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