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UFC Picks: Top DraftKings DFS Fantasy MMA Targets, Values for Moicano vs. Nolan

UFC Picks: Top DraftKings DFS Fantasy MMA Targets, Values for Moicano vs. Nolan

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By: Ryan Wohl

This Saturday night in Las Vegas, the UFC returns to its home base, the Meta Apex, for Fight Night! No. 12 Renato Moicano takes on No. 14 Tom Nolan in a five-round Lightweight Main Event. The co-main event features an intriguing Welterweight bout between Randy Brown and Jacobe Smith. 

Set your DraftKings fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $300K Throwdown [$100K to 1st].

Check out my favorite fighters to add to your daily fantasy lineup for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night card.

Studs

Jacobe Smith ($8,800)

Jacobe Smith is set to take on Randy Brown in the co-main event of this week’s UFC Fight Night. Smith is 13-0 with 11 finishes and has started his UFC career 4-0 with four wins in the first two rounds. Brown has suffered back-to-back losses, most recently coming up short against Kevin Holland at UFC 327 in April. In April 2025, Brown beat Nicolas Dalby, which was his latest victory. 

In this fight, Brown is five inches taller (6’3″ vs. 5’10”) and has a six-inch reach advantage (78″ vs. 72″). Although Smith is the smaller fighter, he has the skill set to find success while frustrating Brown in this bout. Over five UFC fights, Smith is averaging 7.92 takedowns per 15 minutes and 6.91 significant strikes per minute. Brown lands 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes and 4.39 significant strikes per minute. 

Smith is averaging 108.9 fantasy points per bout, which is the most on this card. He has scored at least 100 points in each of his first four UFC fights. With that in mind, he’s an excellent value pick as the seventh-most-expensive fighter on this card. Smith’s output and fast-paced style should help him break down Brown in this fight. 

Tom Nolan ($8,200)

After a five-fight winning streak over the last 29 months, Tom Nolan takes a major step in his career on Saturday. Nolan will take on former title challenger and popular veteran Renato Moicano in the Main Event of this week’s UFC Fight Night. Nolan defeated Fares Ziam by unanimous decision in June, while Moicano is coming off a win over Chris Duncan in April. 

In this fight, Nolan is four inches taller (6’3″ vs. 5’11”) and has a one-inch reach advantage (73″ vs. 72″). On the feet, Nolan averages more significant strikes per minute (4.84 vs. 4.10), but Moicano is more accurate (49% vs. 45%) and has a better defense (59% vs. 48%).

Although Moicano is a tremendous fighter and finisher, Nolan should be able to disrupt Moicano’s game plan if he stays aggressive. Nolan needs to be the aggressor to succeed, as Moicano excels when he’s allowed time to build momentum. Nolan has scored 74-plus points in four of his last five fights with two performances over 100 fantasy points. Nolan is more unproven entering this bout, but he is supremely skilled and, at his best, can get the best of Moicano. 

Value Play

Farman Hasanov ($7,200)

Farman Hasanov is undefeated at 5-0 and picked up a unanimous decision over Eric Nolan in his UFC debut four months ago. In that fight, Hasanov was excellent on the ground, landing 17 of 27 takedown attempts. Hasanov is originally from Azerbaijan but now spends a lot of time in Coconut Creek, Florida, at American Top Team (one of the best MMA gyms). 

Hasanov will take on Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani in a three-round Welterweight bout, which is the opening bout on the Main Card. Lebosnoyani has a record of 11-2 with eight finishes and is on a six-fight winning streak. On paper, both fighters match up pretty evenly, with each being 5’11” while Hasanov has the edge in standing reach (74″ vs. 72″). 

Although Lebosnoyani is also skilled on the ground, he has been more willing to strike with opponents lately. It will be hard to match his ground output from his last fight, but Hasanov should be able to have another positive outing if he fights at a quick pace with a high volume of takedown attempts. In his UFC debut, Hasanov showed his elite upside, scoring 150 fantasy points. Adding Hasanov to your lineup at only $7,200 could be a contest-winning move. 

Set your DraftKings fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $300K Throwdown [$100K to 1st].

Stats provided by UFC Stats.

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.