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NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Wednesday, October 28

NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Wednesday, October 28

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By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s NBA public betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, spread and total betting percentages for all 12 games on Wednesday’s slate, from the Miami Heat at the Atlanta Hawks to the Los Angeles Lakers at the Los Angeles Clippers, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before tip-off.


For up-to-date NBA betting information and data, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits page and player props page!


Best Bets for Wednesday’s NBA Slate

  • Hornets at Pistons Under 215.5 (-112): The Under draws just 40% of bets but 99% of the handle, the widest total gap on the slate.
  • Mavericks +6.5 (-115): Dallas holds 87% of the spread handle on a 50/50 bet split, and the Under 228.5 in the same game has 100% of the handle.
  • Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists (-122): Green cleared this line in all 10 of his last 10 games dating to last season, averaging 7.6.
  • Tre Jones Over 7.5 Points (-122): Jones cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season, averaging 16.4.
  • Lakers -4.5 (-115): Los Angeles holds 95% of the spread handle on only 50% of bets.

MarketHawks (ATL)Heat (MIA)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-142+12044% / 56%15% / 85%
Spread-2.5 (-110)+2.5 (-110)35% / 65%12% / 88%
TotalOver 241.5 (-110)Under 241.5 (-110)40% / 60%98% / 2%

Team Stats

StatATLMIA
Record2-20-4
Points/Game121.0 (5th)109.0 (27th)
Opp Points/Game111.8 (T-13th)121.8 (24th)
Offensive Rating115.8 (T-6th)103.6 (29th)
Defensive Rating106.9 (8th)118.5 (25th)
Field Goal %46.7% (10th)43.2% (24th)
3-Point %33.1% (16th)30.6% (25th)

The money is backing winless Miami, which holds 88% of the spread handle and 85% of the Moneyline handle despite a -14.9 net rating. The Over 241.5 has 98% of the handle on only 40% of bets, with Atlanta scoring 121.0 points per game.


MarketCavaliers (CLE)Wizards (WAS)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-410+32093% / 7%73% / 27%
Spread-10.5 (-112)+10.5 (-108)31% / 69%58% / 42%
TotalOver 239.5 (-105)Under 239.5 (-115)22% / 78%8% / 92%

Team Stats

StatCLEWAS
Record2-12-2
Points/Game119.3 (8th)114.3 (T-14th)
Opp Points/Game120.0 (19th)114.5 (15th)
Offensive Rating108.2 (19th)110.7 (16th)
Defensive Rating109.1 (12th)110.4 (17th)
Field Goal %46.6% (T-11th)46.8% (9th)
3-Point %36.6% (11th)29.4% (28th)

Bettors favor Washington +10.5 at 69% of tickets, but Cleveland -10.5 draws 58% of the handle. The Under 239.5 is a public and sharp consensus at 92% of the handle, with Washington shooting 29.4% from three.


MarketPistons (DET)Hornets (CHA)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-290+23594% / 6%88% / 12%
Spread-7.5 (-110)+7.5 (-110)57% / 43%52% / 48%
TotalOver 215.5 (-108)Under 215.5 (-112)60% / 40%1% / 99%

Team Stats

StatDETCHA
Record3-13-1
Points/Game113.0 (T-17th)104.0 (T-29th)
Opp Points/Game107.0 (T-5th)111.0 (T-11th)
Offensive Rating113.3 (11th)104.0 (28th)
Defensive Rating107.3 (9th)110.2 (16th)
Field Goal %46.1% (16th)41.4% (T-28th)
3-Point %37.6% (9th)29.8% (27th)

The Under 215.5 holds 99% of the handle on 40% of bets, backed by a Charlotte offense scoring a league-low 104.0 points per game and a Detroit defense allowing just 107.0. The spread is close to even, with Detroit -7.5 at 52% of the handle.


MarketPacers (IND)76ers (PHI)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+164-19812% / 88%4% / 96%
Spread+5.5 (-112)-5.5 (-108)29% / 71%36% / 64%
TotalOver 236.5 (-112)Under 236.5 (-108)67% / 33%95% / 5%

Team Stats

StatINDPHI
Record2-23-1
Points/Game116.5 (T-12th)110.0 (24th)
Opp Points/Game115.0 (16th)107.0 (T-5th)
Offensive Rating111.5 (13th)104.8 (26th)
Defensive Rating109.8 (15th)101.7 (4th)
Field Goal %48.5% (6th)42.0% (27th)
3-Point %32.7% (T-17th)31.7% (22nd)

Philadelphia is the clear public side, holding 96% of the Moneyline handle and 64% of the spread handle. The Over 236.5 draws 95% of the handle, though the 76ers bring the league’s fourth-best defensive rating at 101.7.


MarketRaptors (TOR)Magic (ORL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-192+16073% / 27%92% / 8%
Spread-4.5 (-115)+4.5 (-105)43% / 57%57% / 43%
TotalOver 222.5 (-110)Under 222.5 (-110)71% / 29%18% / 82%

Team Stats

StatTORORL
Record2-11-2
Points/Game113.7 (16th)109.7 (25th)
Opp Points/Game103.7 (2nd)116.3 (18th)
Offensive Rating107.6 (T-20th)105.1 (24th)
Defensive Rating97.5 (1st)111.5 (18th)
Field Goal %42.4% (26th)45.1% (21st)
3-Point %26.2% (29th)32.2% (20th)

Toronto -4.5 draws 57% of the handle on just 43% of bets, and the Raptors hold 92% of the Moneyline handle. The Under 222.5 has 82% of the handle on 29% of bets, behind the league’s top defensive rating at 97.5.


MarketBulls (CHI)Knicks (NYK)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+220-2704% / 96%10% / 90%
Spread+6.5 (-105)-6.5 (-115)42% / 58%4% / 96%
TotalOver 232.5 (-105)Under 232.5 (-115)64% / 36%4% / 96%

Team Stats

StatCHINYK
Record1-31-3
Points/Game110.8 (23rd)104.0 (T-29th)
Opp Points/Game129.5 (30th)105.3 (4th)
Offensive Rating101.1 (30th)105.0 (25th)
Defensive Rating119.6 (28th)106.3 (7th)
Field Goal %40.6% (30th)41.4% (T-28th)
3-Point %23.8% (30th)32.7% (T-17th)

New York -6.5 holds 96% of the spread handle on 58% of bets, as Chicago ranks last in offensive rating, field goal percentage and 3-point percentage. The Under 232.5 also draws 96% of the handle on only 36% of bets.


MarketBucks (MIL)Rockets (HOU)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+275-3455% / 95%2% / 98%
Spread+8.5 (-110)-8.5 (-110)41% / 59%41% / 59%
TotalOver 225.5 (-110)Under 225.5 (-110)78% / 22%71% / 29%

Team Stats

StatMILHOU
Record1-34-0
Points/Game116.8 (T-10th)120.8 (6th)
Opp Points/Game122.3 (25th)111.0 (T-11th)
Offensive Rating107.6 (T-20th)118.4 (3rd)
Defensive Rating113.7 (20th)109.6 (T-13th)
Field Goal %46.2% (T-14th)50.9% (3rd)
3-Point %35.2% (13th)39.0% (5th)

Unbeaten Houston holds 98% of the Moneyline handle and 59% of both bets and handle at -8.5, a steady public lean with no sharp split. The Over 225.5 draws 71% of the handle against a Milwaukee defense allowing 122.3 points per game.


MarketTimberwolves (MIN)Warriors (GSW)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-162+13667% / 33%72% / 28%
Spread-3.5 (-115)+3.5 (-105)48% / 52%47% / 53%
TotalOver 227.5 (-112)Under 227.5 (-108)82% / 18%99% / 1%

Team Stats

StatMINGSW
Record3-11-3
Points/Game122.0 (4th)117.3 (9th)
Opp Points/Game105.0 (3rd)120.8 (21st)
Offensive Rating117.0 (4th)115.8 (T-6th)
Defensive Rating99.5 (2nd)119.5 (27th)
Field Goal %48.0% (T-7th)45.3% (T-19th)
3-Point %39.9% (3rd)38.1% (8th)

The Over 227.5 holds 99% of the handle on 82% of bets, with both offenses ranking top 10 in offensive rating. The spread is split almost evenly, even with Minnesota’s league-best +17.5 net rating.


MarketPelicans (NOP)Nuggets (DEN)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+164-1986% / 94%12% / 88%
Spread+4.5 (-105)-4.5 (-115)36% / 64%40% / 60%
TotalOver 240.5 (-112)Under 240.5 (-108)29% / 71%98% / 2%

Team Stats

StatNOPDEN
Record0-31-2
Points/Game124.7 (3rd)113.0 (T-17th)
Opp Points/Game128.0 (29th)121.7 (23rd)
Offensive Rating115.8 (T-6th)107.6 (T-20th)
Defensive Rating116.4 (22nd)118.1 (24th)
Field Goal %48.0% (T-7th)45.7% (17th)
3-Point %30.9% (24th)31.1% (23rd)

Most tickets are on the Under 240.5 at 71%, but the Over holds 98% of the handle, a classic sharp-money split. Both defenses rank 22nd or worse, and New Orleans allows 128.0 points per game.


MarketJazz (UTA)Spurs (SAS)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+470-6506% / 94%11% / 89%
Spread+13.5 (-115)-13.5 (-105)45% / 55%32% / 68%
TotalOver 233.5 (-108)Under 233.5 (-112)50% / 50%76% / 24%

Team Stats

StatUTASAS
Record1-32-2
Points/Game112.8 (20th)116.5 (T-12th)
Opp Points/Game121.0 (22nd)109.8 (9th)
Offensive Rating109.2 (18th)114.2 (10th)
Defensive Rating118.6 (26th)108.4 (11th)
Field Goal %46.2% (T-14th)46.6% (T-11th)
3-Point %32.6% (19th)35.3% (12th)

San Antonio -13.5 draws 68% of the handle on 55% of bets, with the Spurs at +5.8 in net rating against a Utah team at -9.4. The total is split evenly by tickets, but the Over 233.5 holds 76% of the handle.


MarketMavericks (DAL)Thunder (OKC)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+190-23010% / 90%11% / 89%
Spread+6.5 (-115)-6.5 (-105)50% / 50%87% / 13%
TotalOver 228.5 (-112)Under 228.5 (-108)40% / 60%0% / 100%

Team Stats

StatDALOKC
Record2-24-0
Points/Game112.5 (21st)111.3 (22nd)
Opp Points/Game116.0 (17th)100.8 (1st)
Offensive Rating111.1 (15th)112.1 (12th)
Defensive Rating113.5 (19th)101.5 (3rd)
Field Goal %49.6% (4th)44.6% (22nd)
3-Point %34.2% (15th)34.6% (14th)

Tickets are split evenly on the spread, but Dallas +6.5 holds 87% of the handle. The Under 228.5 has every dollar of the handle, with unbeaten Oklahoma City allowing a league-low 100.8 points per game.


MarketClippers (LAC)Lakers (LAL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+164-19814% / 86%19% / 81%
Spread+4.5 (-105)-4.5 (-115)50% / 50%5% / 95%
TotalOver 229.5 (-110)Under 229.5 (-110)70% / 30%82% / 18%

Team Stats

StatLACLAL
Record1-23-1
Points/Game113.0 (T-17th)128.3 (2nd)
Opp Points/Game109.7 (8th)120.3 (20th)
Offensive Rating109.7 (17th)125.4 (1st)
Defensive Rating105.1 (5th)116.8 (23rd)
Field Goal %49.2% (5th)55.0% (1st)
3-Point %40.9% (2nd)41.3% (1st)

The Lakers -4.5 hold 95% of the handle on a 50/50 bet split, behind the league’s top offensive rating at 125.4 and a 55.0% field goal mark. The Over 229.5 draws 82% of the handle.


Notable Player Props

  • Draymond Green (GSW) Assists O/U 5.5 (-122 / -108): over in 10 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Brandin Podziemski (GSW) Points O/U 16.5 (-113 / -112): over in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Franz Wagner (ORL) Points O/U 23.5 (-120 / -107): under in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Jalen Johnson (ATL) Points O/U 22.5 (-123 / -104): under in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Jamal Murray (DEN) Three Pointers Made O/U 2.5 (-171 / +129): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Joel Embiid (PHI) Points O/U 23.5 (-107 / -119): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Jaylen Brown (PHI) Points + Rebounds + Assists O/U 32.5 (-110 / -120): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Trey Murphy III (NOP) Rebounds O/U 4.5 (-148 / +112): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Victor Wembanyama (SAS) Rebounds O/U 11.5 (+102 / -134): over in 7 of his last 10 games dating to last season

For more parlay ideas, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook parlays page!

Parlay

Home Cookin'

Back these ball clubs to win in front of their home fans!

Odds: +1097

ATL Hawks to Win (vs MIA) Moneyline (Home)
CLE Cavaliers to Win (vs WAS) Moneyline (Home)
DET Pistons to Win (vs CHA) Moneyline (Home)
IND Pacers to Win (vs PHI) Moneyline (Home)
TOR Raptors to Win (vs ORL) Moneyline (Home)
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 129
+ Add to Bet Slip
Parlay

Game Over🎮

Back these offenses to put on a show & hit the over!

Odds: +1289

ORL @ TOR: Over 224.5 Points Total (Over)
NY @ CHI: Over 233.5 Points Total (Over)
HOU @ MIL: Over 226.5 Points Total (Over)
GS @ MIN: Over 227.5 Points Total (Over)
Ends in: --:--
+ Add to Bet Slip
Parlay

Road Trip

Take these teams to get a road victory on Wednesday!

Odds: +1024

NY Knicks to Win (@ CHI) Moneyline (Away)
HOU Rockets to Win (@ MIL) Moneyline (Away)
GS Warriors to Win (@ MIN) Moneyline (Away)
DEN Nuggets to Win (@ NOP) Moneyline (Away)
SA Spurs to Win (@ UTA) Moneyline (Away)
LA Lakers to Win (@ LAC) Moneyline (Away)
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 105
+ Add to Bet Slip
SGPx

Star Scorers⭐

Take these NBA stars to put on a show & score 25+ points!

Odds: +1266

25+ Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
25+ Donovan Mitchell Points Donovan Mitchell Points
25+ Nikola Jokic Points Nikola Jokic Points
25+ Zion Williamson Points Zion Williamson Points
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 368

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