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NHL Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Wednesday, October 21

NHL Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Wednesday, October 21

Published:

By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s NHL public betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Puck Line and total betting percentages for both games on Wednesday’s slate, featuring the Philadelphia Flyers at the Buffalo Sabres and the Florida Panthers at the Ottawa Senators, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before puck drop.


For up-to-date NHL betting information and data, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits page and player props page!


Best Bets for Wednesday’s NHL Slate

  • Flyers Puck Line +1.5 (-162): Philadelphia +1.5 draws only 41% of bets but 75% of the handle, so bigger wagers back the Flyers to keep it close.
  • Panthers Puck Line -1.5 (+230): Florida -1.5 holds 73% of bets and 98% of the money, the most lopsided handle on the slate at a long price.
  • Tage Thompson Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120): Thompson has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games, dating to last season, averaging 4.8 shots.
  • Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Points (-170): Tkachuk has recorded a point in 9 of his last 10 games, dating to last season.

MarketSabres (BUF)Flyers (PHI)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-185+15490% / 10%96% / 4%
Puck Line-1.5 (+136)+1.5 (-162)59% / 41%25% / 75%
TotalOver 5.5 (-135)Under 5.5 (+114)100% / 0%100% / 0%

Team Stats

StatBUFPHI
Record4-3-22-6-3
Goals For/Game3.00 (T-17th)1.55 (32nd)
Goals Allowed/Game3.67 (26th)3.18 (18th)
Shots For/Game26.8 (T-18th)21.4 (T-30th)
Shots Against/Game25.7 (T-8th)32.3 (31st)
Power Play %9.1% (31st)12.9% (T-27th)
Penalty Kill %64.5% (30th)84.6% (8th)

The public is all over Buffalo, with 90% of Moneyline bets and 96% of the handle on the Sabres, yet 75% of the Puck Line money sits on Philadelphia +1.5. The Flyers rank last in the league at 1.55 goals per game, but they enter on a two-game winning streak and face a Sabres penalty kill ranked 30th at 64.5%.


MarketSenators (OTT)Panthers (FLA)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-108-11242% / 58%50% / 50%
Puck Line+1.5 (-285)-1.5 (+230)27% / 73%2% / 98%
TotalOver 5.5 (-125)Under 5.5 (+105)57% / 43%94% / 6%

Team Stats

StatOTTFLA
Record6-3-05-2-2
Goals For/Game2.44 (T-25th)3.33 (T-10th)
Goals Allowed/Game2.56 (T-7th)2.78 (11th)
Shots For/Game23.1 (29th)29.3 (T-11th)
Shots Against/Game26.2 (12th)24.0 (4th)
Power Play %12.8% (29th)20.9% (17th)
Penalty Kill %79.4% (16th)80.6% (13th)

The Moneyline handle is split evenly, but the bigger tickets are leaning hard toward Florida -1.5 (98% of the handle) and the Over 5.5 (94%). The Panthers come in on a three-game winning streak and hold a clear shot-volume edge, generating 29.3 shots per game to Ottawa’s 23.1.


Notable Player Props

  • Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) Points O/U 0.5 (-170 / +125): over in 9 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Matvei Michkov (PHI) Shots on Goal O/U 2.5 (+115 / -155): under in 9 of his last 10 games
  • Tage Thompson (BUF) Shots on Goal O/U 3.5 (+120 / -160): over in 8 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Tim Stützle (OTT) Points O/U 0.5 (-210 / +155): over in 8 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Tim Stützle (OTT) Assists O/U 0.5 (-110 / -125): over in 8 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) Shots on Goal O/U 2.5 (-125 / -110): under in 8 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Christian Dvorak (PHI) Assists O/U 0.5 (+180 / -250): under in 8 of his last 10 games
  • Seth Jones (FLA) Shots on Goal O/U 1.5 (-110 / -125): over in 7 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Shane Pinto (OTT) Points O/U 0.5 (+110 / -150): over in 7 of his last 10 games, dating to last season
  • Matvei Michkov (PHI) Anytime Goalscorer (+245): scored in 5 of his last 10 games

For more parlay ideas, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook parlays page!

Quick SGP

Senators Spotlight

Root for Ottawa to bounce back with a win over the Panthers at home tonight!

Odds: +800

OTT Senators to Win (vs FLA) Moneyline (Home)
Tim Stutzle Anytime Goalscorer Anytime Goalscorer
2+ Drake Batherson Shots on Goal Drake Batherson Shots on Goal
1+ Claude Giroux Assists Claude Giroux Assists
Ends in: --:--
+ Add to Bet Slip
Parlay

Quick Strike

Take these two matchups to have a goal scored in the first 5 minutes!

Odds: +669

FLA @ OTT: Goal in First 5 Min Total Goals - 1st Period (00:00-4:59) (Over)
PHI @ BUF: Goal in First 5 Min Total Goals - 1st Period (00:00-4:59) (Over)
Ends in: --:--
+ Add to Bet Slip
SGPx

Pepper the Net

Count on these skaters to stay aggressive and put pucks on net in today's NHL action!

Odds: +1301

3+ Tage Thompson Shots on Goal Tage Thompson Shots on Goal
3+ Brady Tkachuk Shots on Goal Brady Tkachuk Shots on Goal
3+ Dylan Cozens Shots on Goal Dylan Cozens Shots on Goal
3+ Matthew Tkachuk Shots on Goal Matthew Tkachuk Shots on Goal
3+ Matvei Michkov Shots on Goal Matvei Michkov Shots on Goal
Ends in: --:--
SGPx

Light the Lamp 🚨

Back these stars to shine and find the back of the net tonight!

Odds: +1567

Brady Tkachuk Anytime Goalscorer Anytime Goalscorer
Tage Thompson Anytime Goalscorer Anytime Goalscorer
Tim Stutzle Anytime Goalscorer Anytime Goalscorer
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 133

DK Network AI is your always-on content co-pilot, built to help bring stories to life faster and smarter. Every AI-assisted article receives human editorial oversight and final approval from a DraftKings Network editor before publication.