Phoenix Raceway is a flat one-mile oval, and the spring race here had four cautions for tire failures. Sunday’s Freeway Insurance 500 is the seventh of 10 races in the Chase. Only three races remain after this one, so the Chase field is running out of chances.
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Top DraftKings Picks for the Freeway Insurance 500 at Phoenix
- Ryan Blaney ($11,500) — Team Penske has won four of the seven flat-track races this year, and the No. 12 Ford won two of them, at Phoenix in March and at New Hampshire in August. His 6.2 average running position, which shows where a car ran during the race and not just where it finished, is the best of any driver in those races.
- Denny Hamlin ($10,700) — The No. 11 JGR Toyota has the best average finish of any driver who ran all seven flat-track races (4.9). Hamlin has never finished worse than ninth in those races and was second at both Martinsville and North Wilkesboro. The one thing missing is a win.
- Joey Logano ($10,200) — North Wilkesboro and Richmond both ended with Logano in victory lane, and he was also third at Martinsville and Gateway. His bad days were a 31st at Phoenix in a restart crash and 14th-place finishes at New Hampshire and Iowa.
- Christopher Bell ($11,200) — Phoenix has been good to Bell, who won the spring race in 2024 and 2025 and finished second in March. Last week’s Charlotte race was yet another runner-up finish, but those pay in DFS.
- Kyle Larson ($11,000) — His last four Phoenix starts ended third, third, third, and fourth. Larson also leads the Chase points and led 97 laps at Charlotte last week. Will Larson lay up and nurse the lead, or will he try to fight for the front?
- Ty Gibbs ($9,200) — Joe Gibbs Racing’s No. 54 finished fourth at Phoenix, Martinsville, and North Wilkesboro and won at Iowa. That gives it a 7.4 average finish across the seven flat-track races, second best behind Hamlin. Bristol is not similar to Phoenix, but Gibbs won the spring Bristol race using the short-track package.
- Chase Briscoe ($9,900) — He has won back-to-back races at Las Vegas and Charlotte and was second at Richmond and third at North Wilkesboro. Phoenix is the concern, because his last four starts there all ended 18th or worse.
- Josh Berry ($7,700) — The Wood Brothers Ford — Team Penske-allied — finished third at New Hampshire, fourth at Iowa, and fourth at Charlotte last week. Berry’s late-model racing background makes him one of the best short, flat-track drivers in the Cup Series.
- William Byron ($9,000) — He has finished in the top 10 in five of the seven flat-track races, including a fifth at Martinsville and a fourth at Gateway. Byron was seventh at Phoenix in March. This is a steep price for a safe top-10 finish with no guarantee of laps led.
- Austin Cindric ($8,700) — At Phoenix in March, Cindric started third and averaged a 5.9 running position before getting caught in the lap 217 restart crash. He finished 34th. After that race, Cindric has averaged a 13th-place finish across 29 races.
- Brad Keselowski ($6,700) — The RFK Racing No. 6 Ford still belongs to Brad Keselowski. His tenure in this seat has not been great, but he has shown flashes of his past brilliance. He finished second at Phoenix in the fall of 2025 and fourth in the spring of 2024. In March Keselowski started 37th and still finished 15th.
- Michael McDowell ($6,100) — Three of McDowell’s last five starts at Phoenix — his home track — ended in the top 10, including a ninth in March and an eighth in the fall of 2025. His other flat-track races have been harder, with a 24th at North Wilkesboro and a 28th at Richmond. There’s no place like home.
- Tyler Reddick ($9,500) — The one-time favorite for the 2026 Cup Series championship finished eighth at Phoenix in March with a 5.2 average running position. Reddick finished eighth at Charlotte last week. He once was No. 1. Eighth feels about right.
- Bubba Wallace ($8,200) — Phoenix and North Wilkesboro both ended in sixth for the 23XI Racing No. 23 Toyota. It finished second at New Hampshire. Wallace is just cheap enough that a top-10 finish and single-digit place differential points could return DFS value.
- Ryan Preece ($7,000) — He has been steady if not flashy, finishing between ninth and 13th in four of the seven flat-track races. That includes a 13th at Phoenix in March. His worst results were a 20th at Iowa and 17th-place finishes at Richmond and Gateway.
