After nearly a two-year hiatus, former UFC Lightweight Champion Rafael Dos Anjos returns to take on Alexander Hernandez on the UFC 322 Early Prelims. This is the third fight on UFC 322, and the Early Prelims air on Paramount+ starting at 4:00 p.m. ET. Tonight’s UFC 322 event takes place in Salt Lake City, Utah, at the Delta Center.
Check out my best bet for Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez at tonight’s UFC 332 event below.
Fight to go the Distance (-110)
Since losing the UFC Lightweight title to Eddie Alvarez in July 2026, Dos Anjos has gone 7-19 in his previous 16 bouts. Currently, Dos Anjos is in the midst of a three-fight losing streak (the longest of his career). He last won against Bryan Barberena in December 2022. His previous fight was against Geoff Neal at 170 pounds, making this his first Lightweight fight since he faced Mateusz Gamrot in March 2024.
Hernandez is coming off a loss to Rafa Garcia in April. Before that, Hernandez won four consecutive bouts, most recently over Diego Ferreira in September 2025. Overall, Hernandez has an 18-9 record with 11 wins by knockout or submission. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Hernandez is the favorite at -270 with Dos Anjos as a +220 underdog. This fight is -120 not to go the distance and -110 to end before the scheduled 15 minutes. The over/under is 2.5 rounds, with the over at -140 and the under at +110.
Hernandez has the physical advantage in this bout as he is slightly taller (5’9″ vs. 5’8″) with a two-inch edge in standing reach (72″ vs. 70″). On paper, this is a close fight: Hernandez lands more significant strikes per minute (4.23 vs. 3.48), but RDA is the more accurate striker (47% vs. 40%). Dos Anjos averages more takedowns per 15 minutes (1.95 vs. 1.05), but both fighters have a 35 percent takedown accuracy. Since six of Hernandez’s last eight fights and two of Dos Anjos’ previous three have gone to a decision, I’m taking this fight to go the distance at -110. Also, 11 of Dos Anjos’ last 16 fights have gone the distance.
