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NFL Week 4 Stats to Know Before Making Picks, Predictions on Sunday

NFL Week 4 Stats to Know Before Making Picks, Predictions on Sunday

NFL Sports Betting Picks NFL Picks DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

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By: Sam Connon

We are less than one month into the NFL regular season, and there are already plenty of trends coming together across the league. Beyond that, there are a handful of stats from 2025 that have carried over into the first four weeks of 2026.

Here’s a look at some streaks and trends to consider when making picks for Week 4’s Sunday action.

Notable Player Props

Double Digit Streaks

  • In each of Lamar Jackson’s last 16 games against NFC South opponents, the Ravens quarterback has rushed for at least 35 yards.
  • Dating all the way back to December 2024, Patrick Mahomes has passed for at least 245 yards in 12 straight games when the Kansas City Chiefs are coming off of a win.

Consistent Anytime Touchdown Scorers

  • Each of the last 10 times the San Francisco 49ers were favored entering a game, star running back Christian McCaffrey wound up finding the end zone.
  • D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in seven consecutive October games, achieving the feat in Week 8 of 2023 then all six of his games in that month since.

Modest Streaks

  • Quarterback Matthew Stafford has recorded 258+ passing yards in seven straight road games ahead of the Los Angeles Rams’ trip to Philadelphia.
  • D.J. Moore has gone for 64+ receiving yards in each of his last six games against AFC opponents – as well as both of his games in a Buffalo Bills uniform that weren’t interrupted by injuries.

Team Betting Streaks

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in 12 straight games.
  • In each of their last 12 road games, the Tennessee Titans have been outscored in the first half.
  • The Denver Broncos have won 12 straight games vs. NFC opponents.
  • San Francisco has led at halftime in each of the last nine games where they were the favorites.
  • The New York Giants have lost nine straight when NFC West teams have come to MetLife Stadium.
  • Arizona has scored the first touchdown following a loss in seven consecutive opportunities.
  • The Carolina Panthers have defeated the Detroit Lions each of the last six times the two teams faced off in Charlotte.
  • New England has gone into the half with a lead in eight straight games against AFC East opponents.
  • The over on the Game Total has hit in five of the seven contests this season when an NFC team has hosted an AFC team.
    • NFC Home vs. AFC
      • Chicago Bears vs. New York Jets
      • Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Chargers
      • San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos
      • Washington Commanders vs. Indianapolis Colts
      • Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins

Something Oddly Specific

With Travis Kelce in the midst of a resurgent season. Here is an interesting streak that’s still alive on the eve of his 37th birthday:

  • Travis Kelce has recorded at least 54 receiving yards in each of the last 11 October games when the Chiefs have entered as the favorite.

Sam Connon
Sam joined DraftKings in 2025 following five years with Sports Illustrated’s “On SI” network. He has covered the UCLA Bruins, New England Patriots, Tampa Bay Rays, MLB, MiLB and NBA, on top of earning awards from the Society of Professional Journalists and College Media Association during his time as a student at UCLA.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.