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Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch: Risers and fallers from Week 3

Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch: Risers and fallers from Week 3

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By: Keagan Smith

Fantasy football is all about playing the market, but dynasty formats make that market even more complex as managers evaluate the long-term picture. Contenders and rebuilders have different priorities, and no matter where your team falls on the spectrum, tracking the ebbs and flows of player values becomes an integral part of participating in your league’s landscape. Just knowing when to buy low and sell high can be the difference between winning a ring and missing the playoffs outright.

All season long, I’ll be tracking some of the most notable risers and fallers in dynasty fantasy football on a weekly basis. All rankings provided are sourced from KeepTradeCut with recent performances, developing trends and more all playing factors in the analysis. Things change quickly in the NFL, so be sure to tune into this column for the latest updates throughout the 2026-27 campaign.

Here’s the latest edition of Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch to recap some of the risers and fallers from Week 3.

Dynasty fantasy football risers from Week 3

Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers (QB10)

The Niners look like one of the best teams in football at the moment. Sure, they had games against the Dolphins and Cardinals, but they also handled the Rams handily in Australia to begin the campaign, so it’s not like the stats are overly inflated. He’s dropped back just 29.7 times per game, which ranks 27th among all quarterbacks. Despite that, his 789 passing yards ranks eighth and his nine passing touchdowns lead the NFL. Purdy’s efficiency is incredible at the moment – he’s first in EPA/dropback (0.665) and fantasy points per dropback (0.89), plus second in YPA (9.51) and fourth in completion rate (72.3%). Not only that, but he’s also added 93 yards and an additional touchdown via his legs. That all adds up to 27.3 FPPG, the second-best mark among all quarterbacks behind only Josh Allen, the fantasy god himself. The most impressive part of his season thus far is that Purdy has done this all with numerous weapons missing. Mike Evans has missed parts of games and De’Zhaun Stribling hit IR after a Week 1 injury, so George Kittle coming off a torn Achilles and an aging Deebo Samuel are the top options in the San Francisco passing game. Purdy flirted with back-end QB1/high-end QB2 value around a valuation as the dynasty QB14 this offseason, but he’s jumped to QB10. He’s one of the best gunslingers in the game and showed it in Week 3 with 297 passing yards and four touchdowns.

Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars (RB23)

There was a lot of chatter during the offseason that suggested Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez Jr. would operate in a split backfield this season. That wasn’t necessarily untrue since Tuten is at a 50.3% snap share through three weeks, but he’s pretty clearly the better player in this tandem and is beginning to separate ahead of his teammate. He grades out in the top-15 running backs in practically every efficiency metric you can imagine – YPC (4.74; 10th), success rate (58.1%; eighth), explosive rush rate (14.6%; 11th), YAC/attempt (2.56; 11th) – and sits 11th in rushing yards per game with 68.0. Tuten has 43 carries for 204 yards and two touchdowns under his belt thus far, and while his five grabs on five targets for 36 yards don’t add a ton of pass-catching upside, he’s still averaging 13.6 FPPG. That number is good for 17th at the position and he’s averaging 14.3 carries per game with at least 13 in all three contests. On an offense that’ll provide plenty of scoring chances, the second-year halfback is definitely a buy before he takes over this backfield. He hasn’t moved significantly in the dynasty rankings and remains the RB23, but the drumbeat is picking up on social media.He’s going to be a steady RB2 in terms of production with room for more if that workload ticks up over the coming weeks.

Michael Wilson, Arizona Cardinals (WR33)

At one point last year, the breakout of Michael Wilson seemed like a fluke. The Cardinals were bad, Jacoby Brissett was dropping back 40+ times a game and the former third-round pick was commanding an absolute ton of targets. Fast-forward to this season and all three of those things are happening once again – at some point, the receiver’s emergence becomes real. So far, Wilson is a WR2 for fantasy with 13.4 FPPG, slightly underperforming his 15.8 xFPPG. He’s averaging 54.3 YPG with 163 receiving yards and one touchdown in total, but what he’s really doing is absorbing massive volume once again. He has a 25.6% target share that grades out in the 90th percentile and has garnered 30 looks so far, but it’s no accident since his first-read share sits in the 96th percentile at 35.1%. He’s coming off a ridiculous 17 targets with 11 receptions and that lone touchdown in Week 3, though his 89 yards weren’t stellar. Still, let’s look at these these three games and include the 17-game sample from last season. Over this span, Wilson averages 7.7 targets per game (16th at the position), sits 16th in separation score and 21st in win rate, and ranks 17th in FPPG with 13.04. He runs practically all of Arizona’s routes and doesn’t come off the field, so with a quarterback who’s good enough to support multiple pass-catchers but bad enough to see heavy volume while playing from behind, Wilson is here to stay. As the WR33 in dynasty, perhaps an early second and sweetener can get you a very solid piece.

Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers (WR24)

Christian Watson is getting most of the headlines when it comes to Packers wideouts, which is admittedly deserved since he’s producing like a legitimate WR1 in fantasy at the moment. However, Matthew Golden is also a riser alongside his teammate. His rookie campaign was ugly as he averaged just 5.0 FPPG and failed to hit the coveted 525-yard mark that much of the dynasty community uses to project future receiver relevance. However, the condensed Green Bay passing attack has allowed the 23-year-old to blossom in a larger role. Golden just recorded a career-best 21.0 PPR points and scored his first NFL touchdown with five grabs for 100 yards on 12 targets in Week 3. It was his second game of the year with double-digit targets and he’s seeing 9.7 looks per game – sixth most at the position – with a 23.4% target share. The Packers are currently third in PROE at 8.0% as a result of a poor defense and abysmal run game, so as long as they keep turning to the air, their pass-catching talents are all names to target in fantasy. Golden is producing 15.4 FPPG, 14th at wide receiver, averaging 84.3 yards per game and ranking 22nd in both YPRR (2.30) and TPRR (0.26). The second-year standout has made the most of his opportunities and should continue to do so for the forseeable future.

Kenyon Sadiq, New York Jets (TE9)

There was a contingent of analysts around draft season who were surprised that Kenyon Sadiq saw first-round capital, and admittedly, I was one of them. He’s clearly one of the most athletic tight end prospects of all time, having run a 4.39 40-yard dash with a 43.5-inch vertical jump at 6-foot-3, 241 pounds. He didn’t have truly elite production in college, though, totaling 75 receptions for 868 yards and 10 touchdowns over a 28-game sample during his final two seasons at Oregon. Still, the Jets believe in him enough to select him at No. 16 overall. I’m willing to begin my capitulation on my draft take after Sadiq’s Week 3 breakout. In what should’ve been perfectly predictable against a Lions defense that ranked dead last against tight ends, the rookie saw right targets and erupted for 105 yards and a touchdown on seven catches. His performance was, frankly, incredible. He flashed his elite athleticism with an awe-inspiring diving grab in the end zone and just didn’t look like a player the defense could cover. He lands on the risers list primarily for that 23.5-point performance, but also because he’s fifth among tight ends in YPRR (2.55) and 14th in TPRR (0.23). He’s playing just 44.4% of snaps through three games but his 56.8% route share in Week 3 was the highest he’s seen yet. The deployment is creative, too – Sadiq has run 56 routes and was in the slot or out wide for 51.8% of them, also running three of his routes out of the backfield.

Dynasty fantasy football fallers from Week 3

Drake Maye, New England Patriots (QB5)

Last season, Drake Maye finished as the overall QB2 and was the runner-up for the real-life NFL MVP. He skyrocketed up the dynasty rankings after throwing for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns with another 450 yards and four scores on the ground, but that player hasn’t been anywhere to be seen this season. After averaging 20.7 FPPG last year, the Patriots’ young gunslinger is at just 7.2 FPPG this time around. He has a 63.7% completion rate with 585 yards, one touchdown and six interceptions through three games – a nightmare start coming off a Super Bowl appearance. This past week, he went just 14-for-25 with 199 yards and a pair of picks against the Jaguars. One interception was perhaps the funniest lowlight of the year as the ball just slipped out of his hand mid-throw. It’s been real ugly for Maye, but even with the context of A.J. Brown being sidelined due to injury, he should look better than this. The underlying metrics are bad, too, ranking 29th in EPA/dropback and 29th in pressure-to-sack rate. He’s a faller after three weeks.

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (QB11)

Three weeks into the season, another star quarterback seems to be tumbling down the dynasty rankings. Everyone’s favorite hypothetical, Justin Herbert was poised for an absolutely massive campaign and garnered a ton of hype when Mike McDaniel was hired to helm this Chargers offense. Now, they’re 0-3 and 29th in scoring with just 44 points in total. Herbert has a 59.1% completion rate with 627 passing yards and three touchdowns to four picks, so he’s not looking much better than Maye. His EPA/dropback ranks 30th and he’s averaging only 11.3 FPPG, which would be way down from his previous career-low mark of 16.5. The offense has a ton of issues but even in poor circumstances, Herbert tends to look better than this. His Week 3 numbers weren’t horrendous, but something’s going to have to change soon. This fall-off is impressive, but not in a good way – at the very least, it’s not limited to only the quarterback since his teammates are also dropping in dynasty value.

Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears (WR30)

Prior to Week 1, Rome Odunze could be acquired at the price tag of the dynasty WR20, a sign of how encouraged people were about the prospect of Ben Johnson’s offense in year two. There is some very important context here that makes Rome and the Bears a particularly different evaluation – he was injured ahead of the opener, Week 2 was a weather game and Case Keenum quarterbacked in Week 3 – but we’re rapidly approaching the point where we declare the situation Odunz-over. The good news is that the wideout’s numbers aren’t abysmal. He’s seeing the field for 70.4% of routes with 1.72 YPRR, the ninth-best separation score and the 22nd-ranked win rate among 104 qualifying wideouts. The bad news is that he’s produced just 139 yards on eight receptions, had a bad drop in the end zone in Week 3, and may just be the odd man out in this passing attack. Odunze has been tasked with running more of the deeper routes and clearing the safeties out, which doesn’t bode well for his opportunity share. He has 13 targets with a 13.3% target share and a 13.1% first-read share. Kalif Raymond’s 10th-year breakout be damned, Odunze seems like the fourth option in Chicago’s passing game. As a bag-holder with several shares in my own leagues, I’m exploring moves to get out before it’s too late.

Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars (WR42)

Remember 2024 Brian Thomas Jr.? What a time to be alive that was. He looked like a top-10 receiver in football and capped out as the dynasty WR5 at one point behind 16.7 FPPG during a historic rookie campaign. Imagine telling someone that a wideout who posted a historic 1,282 yards and 10 touchdowns as a rookie would plumet to WR42 in the dynasty rankings. It was reasonable to write off Thomas’ sophomore slump as a result of injury and adjustment to a new coaching staff, but he hasn’t bounced back as many people assumed he would. Through three weeks, he’s averaging just 5.3 FPPG with 88 yards on seven receptions. The worst part? He’s coming off a Week 3 in which he recorded 1.8 PPR points with an eight-yard catch on his lone target – he rank just 43.8% of routes and competed for playing time with sixth-round rookie Josh Cameron. Thomas has a 42.7% snap share and a 55.2% route share, running just 16.0 routes per game. His playing time is drying up, as is a 13.6% target share. Whether Cameron and even Travis Hunter will actually replace him remains uncertain, but the arrow is pointed steeply in the wrong direction. Buy low if you think he may be traded, but don’t bank on such an outcome.

De’Von Achane, Miami Dolphins (RB12)

Injuries ruin everything, don’t they? De’Von Achane was probably going to struggle a bit this season with a Dolphins team that’s in a full-on rebuild, but his campaign was ended prematurely by a torn ACL suffered in Week 3. The severity of that injury does open up an interesting window for moves – contenders with him may be panicking to replace a staple of their lineups, so rebuilders or next-year teams may be able to buy the dip for future production. The 24-year-old is clearly a stellar football player, so he’s not a sell unless you’re truly all-in to compete for a title. Since his 2023 rookie season, Achane ranks first among 52 qualified running backs in YPC (5.51) and explosive rush rate (16.2%), 11th in rushing yards per game (67.7) and fifth in targets per game (4.6). It’s a winning recipe for fantasy production with 17.9 FPPG, good for fifth among that same sample. He dipped from the preseason RB6 to RB12 in dynasty, so try and take advantage of the circumstances if you don’t need his points this season. He’ll be legit even once he returns.

Keagan is a Texas-based editor and analyst who believes sports are the true eighth wonder of the world. After starting out in local media, he’s provided coverage for DraftKings Network since 2024. He gravitates toward football, hoops and hockey, but is happy to watch and write about any game that involves a ball or a puck. While his own athletic career ended in middle school, he’s also an avid fantasy player with a soft spot for dynasty formats, spending countless hours crafting the ever-elusive perfect squad.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.