NFL Week 3 Stats to Know Before Making Picks, Prediction on Sunday

There are already some trends developing across the NFL despite it only being Week 3. Perhaps more interestingly, some streaks that began last season have also been extended through the first couple weeks of 2026.

Here’s a look at streaks and trends to consider when making picks for Week 3’s Sunday action.

Notable Player Props

Double-Digit Hits

• In the last 11 games that Patrick Mahomes played following a Chiefs win, KC’s QB has logged at least 245 passing yards.
• Across the last 10 games that Justin Jefferson played in which the Vikings were favored following a win, the Minnesota WR logged at least 73 receiving yards.

Consistent Anytime Touchdown Scorers

• Christian McCaffrey has scored a touchdown in each of his last nine games in which the 49ers were favored.
• Jahmyr Gibbs scored a touchdown in his last six games that the Lions were favored vs. an AFC opponent.

Modest Streaks

• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored a touchdown in each of his last four home games.
• RJ Harvey has scored a touchdown in each of the last four games that he was facing an NFC team.

League trends

• The under on the game total closing line is 7-4 in the 11 games played between AFC opponents this season. Two of those 11 games were divisional matchups — the under hit in both of those contests.
  • AFC matchups in Week 3:
    • PIT vs. CIN
    • JAX vs. NE
    • MIA vs. KC
    • BUF vs. LAC
    • IND vs. HOU

• Road favorites are 6-3-1 against the spread to open the season.
  • Road favorite in Week 3:
    • KC at MIA
    • CIN at PIT
    • CAR at CLE
    • HOU at IND
    • SEA at WAS
    • MIN at TB
    • BAL at DAL
    • LAR at DEN
    • PHI at CHI (Monday)

Team Betting Streaks

• The Seahawks have won the last 16 games in which they were favored.
• Baltimore has scored the game’s first touchdown in each of the last 14 games vs. an NFC East opponent.
• The Browns have covered in the last 11 games that they were the underdogs vs. an NFC South team.
• Tampa Bay has failed to cover in 11 straight.
• In 11 straight road games, Tennessee has lost the first half.
• The Seahawks have scored first in each of the last 10 games that they were favored vs. another NFC team.
• The Raiders have lost their last 10 vs. NFC teams.
• Denver has won 9 straight vs. NFC opponents.

Something Oddly Specific

Looking ahead to Monday’s matchup, Rome Odunze has an interesting streak in play:

• In his last five September games which the Bears were playing as the underdog, Rome Odunze has scored a touchdown.