Looking for today’s MLB weather forecast? Friday’s 17-game slate, including two doubleheaders, brings building rain chances and strong winds across the Northeast, while the rest of the schedule plays in favorable conditions. Below you’ll find every game’s weather risk along with fantasy baseball and sports betting impacts.
Today’s MLB Weather Forecast
- Highest Weather Risk: Cubs at Red Sox (Game 2) and Orioles at Yankees (Game 2), where rain chances climb past 45% during the late innings with sustained 22-26 mph winds
- Expected Postponements: None anticipated, though both Northeast evening games deserve close monitoring as showers build after 8:00 p.m.
- Most Significant Wind: Fenway Park sees 24-26 mph northeast winds throughout the day, with Yankee Stadium also experiencing 17-22 mph northerly gusts
- Primary Weather Story: A Northeast onshore flow drives strong winds and increasing moisture into Boston and New York, while the rest of the country enjoys dry, comfortable conditions
At-a-Glance Weather Table
| Matchup | First Pitch (ET) | Weather Risk | Rain % | Wind | Temp | Roof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs at Red Sox (Gm 2) | 6:05 p.m. | MODERATE | 25-51% | NE 25 mph | 62°F | Open |
| Orioles at Yankees (Gm 2) | TBD (~7:30 p.m.) | MODERATE | 45-50% | N 22 mph | 66°F | Open |
MLB Games to Monitor for Weather
Cubs at Red Sox, Game 2 (6:05 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Rain chances start near 25% at first pitch and steadily climb through the evening, reaching 51% by the later innings. Precipitation is expected to arrive as light rain rather than thunderstorms, which typically allows play to continue. However, persistent light rain combined with 25 mph northeast winds could create uncomfortable conditions and increase the chance of a brief interruption if showers intensify. The game should start on time, but innings six through nine have the highest chance of precipitation. Postponement remains unlikely.
Weather Timeline
- 6:00-7:00 p.m. — Light rain possible; 25% chance with strong NE wind at 25 mph
- 8:00-9:00 p.m. — Rain chances increase to 38-44% as moisture deepens
- 10:00-11:00 p.m. — Peak precipitation probability at 51%; light rain most likely
Orioles at Yankees, Game 2 (TBD, approximately 7:30 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
As the second game of a doubleheader, the start time remains TBD but is expected around 7:30-8:00 p.m. Rain chances jump to 45% by 8:00 p.m. and hold near 50% through the late evening. Similar to Fenway, precipitation is forecast as light rain and rain showers rather than heavy storms. The 22 mph northerly wind adds to the concern, and conditions could prompt a brief interruption if showers become steady. Postponement appears unlikely, but this game carries the highest single-hour rain probability on the entire slate.
Weather Timeline
- 7:00-8:00 p.m. — Slight chance of rain (16%) transitions to a 45% chance of light rain
- 9:00-10:00 p.m. — Rain chances hold at 45%; wind strengthens to 22 mph from the north
- 11:00 p.m. — Chance of rain showers at 50%; conditions gradually shift to NE wind
Games Expected to Play in Favorable Weather
- Cubs at Red Sox, Game 1 (1:05 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, 62°F, with strong NE wind at 24 mph at Fenway Park. Rain risk below 20% during the game window.
- Orioles at Yankees, Game 1 (4:05 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, 70°F, with N wind at 18 mph at Yankee Stadium. Low rain chances through the first seven innings.
- Pirates at Tigers (6:40 p.m.) — Partly cloudy, mid-60s dropping to upper 50s, light NE winds at Comerica Park. No rain risk.
- Rays at Phillies (6:40 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, low 70s, N wind at 15 mph at Citizens Bank Park. Minimal rain chance through the game.
- Mets at Nationals (6:45 p.m.) — Partly cloudy skies, upper 60s, N wind at 15 mph at Nationals Park. Dry conditions expected.
- Reds at Blue Jays (7:07 p.m.) — Retractable roof at Rogers Centre. No weather concerns.
- Braves at Marlins (7:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof at loanDepot park. No weather concerns.
- Guardians at Royals (7:40 p.m.) — Pre-game thunderstorm chance (28%) clears by first pitch at Kauffman Stadium. Dry and comfortable at 69°F with light ESE winds during the game.
- Rockies at White Sox (7:40 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, mid-60s, light ENE winds at Guaranteed Rate Field. No precipitation expected.
- Cardinals at Brewers (7:40 p.m.) — Retractable roof at American Family Field. No weather concerns.
- Rangers at Twins (8:10 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, upper 60s dropping to low 60s, light SE winds at Target Field. No rain risk.
- Astros at Athletics (9:40 p.m.) — Clear skies, low 80s, light SW winds at Sutter Health Park. No weather concerns.
- Diamondbacks at Padres (9:40 p.m.) — Clear skies, upper 70s, light NW winds at Petco Park. No weather concerns.
- Angels at Mariners (10:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof at T-Mobile Park. No weather concerns.
- Dodgers at Giants (10:15 p.m.) — Mostly clear, low 60s, W wind at 8-10 mph at Oracle Park. Dry conditions throughout.
DFS and Betting Weather Notes
Cubs at Red Sox (Both Games)
Fenway Park’s 24-26 mph northeast wind is the most significant weather variable on the entire slate. Northeast wind at Fenway blows in from right field, which should suppress fly-ball carry and limit home-run potential throughout both games. Combined with cool temperatures in the low 60s, conditions lean pitcher-friendly. DFS players should temper expectations for power hitters, and bettors may find value on the under given the wind-suppressed offensive environment. Game 2 adds the wrinkle of building rain chances that could shorten outings or disrupt bullpen usage in the late innings.
Orioles at Yankees (Game 2)
The 45-50% rain probability during the expected game window introduces lineup risk for DFS and creates uncertainty for live bettors. The 22 mph northerly wind at Yankee Stadium creates a crosswind effect that could limit right-field fly-ball carry. If rain arrives and becomes steady, the interruption risk rises and could influence bullpen strategy. Consider building in some lineup flexibility for this matchup. Game 1 at 4:05 p.m. should avoid the heaviest rain chances, but the same strong northerly wind makes it a similarly pitcher-leaning environment.
FAQs
Which MLB games have weather concerns today?
Two games carry MODERATE weather risk on Friday’s slate. The Cubs at Red Sox nightcap at Fenway Park faces building rain chances that reach 51% by late evening, combined with strong northeast winds. The Orioles at Yankees doubleheader nightcap at Yankee Stadium also sees rain chances climb to 50% with 22 mph winds. Both games should start on time, but interruptions become increasingly possible as the evening progresses.
What MLB stadiums have retractable roofs?
Six MLB stadiums have retractable roofs: Globe Life Field (Rangers), T-Mobile Park (Mariners), Daikin Park (Astros), loanDepot park (Marlins), American Family Field (Brewers), and Rogers Centre (Blue Jays). Chase Field (Diamondbacks) also features a retractable roof. These stadiums can close when rain, extreme heat, or cold weather threatens, which largely eliminates weather risk for games played inside.
How does humidity affect home runs in baseball?
Humid air is slightly less dense than dry air at the same temperature, which means baseballs can travel marginally farther in humid conditions. The effect is relatively small compared to wind and temperature, but it becomes more noticeable at higher elevations or in already hitter-friendly parks. High humidity also contributes to thunderstorm development, which can introduce weather risk. Bettors and DFS players should weigh humidity as one factor among several rather than relying on it as a primary indicator.
Do over/unders move when rain is in the forecast?
Yes, sportsbooks and bettors both adjust when meaningful precipitation is expected. Totals can move down if rain threatens to shorten a game or create a pitcher-friendly environment. The effect is more pronounced when thunderstorms are in the forecast, since heavy rain is more likely to cause interruptions. Light rain alone rarely moves totals significantly. Wind direction and speed typically have a larger impact on over/under movement than rain probability alone.
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