Looking for today’s MLB weather forecast? Sunday’s 15-game slate features four games with meaningful weather concerns, led by persistent rain in New York and thunderstorms in Chicago. Below you’ll find weather risk, wind analysis, and DFS and betting implications for every game.
Today’s MLB Weather Forecast
- Highest Weather Risk: Phillies at Mets (Citi Field), where periods of rain are expected throughout the entire game window
- Expected Postponements: None expected, though the Tigers at White Sox game could face a late start if thunderstorms linger past first pitch
- Most Significant Wind: Rate Field in Chicago, where 20 mph NE winds combine with storms and cool temperatures to create a heavily suppressed offensive environment
- Primary Weather Story: A rainy Northeast Sunday creates concerns at Citi Field and Camden Yards, while Chicago’s thunderstorms add risk at Rate Field on an otherwise manageable slate
At-a-Glance Weather Table
| Matchup | First Pitch (ET) | Weather Risk | Rain % | Wind | Temp | Roof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies at Mets | 1:10 p.m. | HIGH | 85% | 12 mph SE | 67°F | Open |
| Tigers at White Sox | 2:10 p.m. | HIGH | 93% | 20 mph NE | 68°F | Open |
| Brewers at Orioles | 7:20 p.m. | MODERATE | 60% | 5 mph SW | 78°F | Open |
| Royals at Pirates | 1:35 p.m. | MODERATE | 60% | 8 mph W | 75°F | Open |
MLB Games to Monitor for Weather
Phillies at Mets (1:10 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: HIGH
Persistent rain is the story at Citi Field. The NWS forecasts periods of rain throughout the afternoon and evening, with precipitation chances holding between 82% and 94% during the entire game window. Unlike a typical thunderstorm pattern where a clear window may open, this is a steady rain event with no obvious break in sight.
The rain intensity varies between light and moderate, which sometimes allows play to continue. However, the persistence of the precipitation creates a realistic risk of interruptions, and a shortened game remains possible if conditions worsen. Forecast confidence is relatively high given the well-defined moisture pattern.
Weather Timeline
- 12:00-1:00 p.m. — Light rain already falling as gates open; 82% precipitation chance
- 1:00-3:00 p.m. — Rain intensifies to periods of moderate rain during early innings; chances climb to 85%
- 5:00-7:00 p.m. — Heaviest precipitation window with 94% chance of rain
- 8:00-10:00 p.m. — Rain persists but may gradually ease; chances drop toward 86%
Tigers at White Sox (2:10 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: HIGH
Thunderstorms and 20 mph NE winds create the most hostile weather environment on Sunday’s slate. The NWS forecasts showers and thunderstorms at a 93% clip through early afternoon, with the heaviest activity occurring right at first pitch. Conditions gradually improve through the evening, with precipitation chances dropping to 58% by 5:00 p.m. and 25% by 7:00 p.m.
A late start appears plausible if the strongest storms are still moving through the area at 2:10 p.m. Postponement remains unlikely given the improving trend, but the first few innings could face interruption risk. The 20 mph sustained NE wind adds an unusual wrinkle, blowing in and significantly suppressing any offensive production even once play resumes.
Weather Timeline
- 12:00-2:00 p.m. — Thunderstorms at peak intensity; 93% precipitation chance at first pitch
- 3:00-4:00 p.m. — Storms begin to weaken; chances drop from 85% to 76%
- 5:00-6:00 p.m. — Transition to scattered showers; 40-58% precipitation chance
- 7:00-8:00 p.m. — Conditions improve substantially; 11-25% chance with clouds remaining
Brewers at Orioles (7:20 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Sunday Night Baseball at Camden Yards faces a challenging weather window. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to peak between 5:00 and 7:00 p.m. ET with precipitation chances reaching 69-75%, right before first pitch. The storms may begin clearing by game time, but chances remain between 41% and 47% through the middle innings.
The key uncertainty is whether the pre-game storms clear quickly enough for an on-time start. If they linger, a brief interruption early in the game is plausible. Postponement appears unlikely, but the storm timing creates enough overlap with first pitch to warrant close monitoring.
Weather Timeline
- 5:00-6:00 p.m. — Storms peak before first pitch; 69-75% precipitation chance
- 7:00-7:30 p.m. — First pitch window; storms weakening but 60% chance remains
- 8:00-9:00 p.m. — Gradual improvement; chances drop to 41-46%
- 10:00-11:00 p.m. — Lingering showers possible; 39-47% chance
Royals at Pirates (1:35 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible during the early innings at PNC Park, with precipitation chances at 47-60% through the first few hours. However, conditions improve steadily through the afternoon, with chances dropping below 26% by 5:00 p.m. and remaining low through the evening.
The improving trend limits the severity of this risk. A brief interruption is possible during the early-to-middle innings if a storm cell moves through, but the game should finish without major weather issues. Fog is also possible in the river valley, though it should not meaningfully affect play.
Weather Timeline
- 1:00-2:00 p.m. — Scattered storms possible as the game begins; 47-60% chance
- 3:00-4:00 p.m. — Storms gradually diminish; 53-60% chance
- 5:00-6:00 p.m. — Conditions improve significantly; 22-26% chance
- 7:00-8:00 p.m. — Mostly dry with patchy fog; 16-19% chance
Games Expected to Play in Favorable Weather
- Cubs at Reds (1:40 p.m.) — Hot and mostly sunny at Great American Ball Park, 89-92°F with light west winds. No rain risk during the game window.
- Athletics at Guardians (1:40 p.m.) — Morning showers clearing; partly cloudy by first pitch with precipitation chances dropping below 30%. Cool at 69-70°F with 10-12 mph NE winds.
- Red Sox at Rays (1:40 p.m.) — Fixed dome at Tropicana Field. No weather concerns.
- Braves at Astros (2:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof expected to be closed at Daikin Park due to 92-94°F heat. No concerns.
- Nationals at Cardinals (2:15 p.m.) — Hot and partly sunny, 91-93°F with light west winds. Storms possible well after the game ends. No in-game risk.
- Blue Jays at Rangers (2:35 p.m.) — Retractable roof expected to be closed at Globe Life Field due to extreme heat (95°F outside). No concerns.
- Mariners at Rockies (3:10 p.m.) — Mostly sunny with a slight chance of afternoon showers (22%). Comfortable at 69-73°F with light NE winds. Typical Denver pattern, much lower risk than recent days.
- Twins at Angels (4:07 p.m.) — Mostly sunny, upper 70s, gentle SW breeze. Standard Southern California conditions at Angel Stadium.
- Giants at Dodgers (4:10 p.m.) — Partly sunny, 77-81°F, light SSW wind. Morning fog burned off. No rain risk at Dodger Stadium.
- Marlins at Padres (4:10 p.m.) — Marine layer keeping temperatures comfortable at 72-74°F. Light SW winds. No rain risk at Petco Park.
- Yankees at Diamondbacks (4:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof expected to be closed at Chase Field (100°F outside). No concerns.
DFS and Betting Weather Notes
Phillies at Mets
Persistent rain at Citi Field creates meaningful lineup uncertainty for DFS players. If the game faces multiple interruptions or a shortened outing, starting pitcher workloads become unpredictable and bullpen usage escalates. Stacking this game carries added volatility. Bettors should monitor radar closely, as the steady rain pattern could depress scoring and keep the ball on the ground. Live betting opportunities may emerge if the game starts and weather worsens mid-game.
Tigers at White Sox
The combination of 20 mph NE winds, 64-68°F temperatures, and storm disruption creates one of the most offense-suppressive environments on the slate. The inward wind at Rate Field limits fly-ball carry, and the cool air further dampens ball flight. DFS players should temper power expectations significantly. If the game starts on time, under positions could carry added value given the wind and temperature profile, though the storm risk introduces volatility around game completion.
Brewers at Orioles
Sunday Night Baseball’s thunderstorm timing adds uncertainty to what would otherwise be a standard Camden Yards environment. If storms push the start back or cause an early interruption, pitcher workloads and bullpen sequencing become less predictable. The 78°F temperature and light winds create a relatively neutral offensive setting once play begins, but the weather risk means bettors may want to wait for pre-game clarity before committing to positions.
FAQs
What MLB stadiums have retractable roofs?
Six MLB stadiums have retractable roofs: Chase Field (Diamondbacks), Globe Life Field (Rangers), Daikin Park (Astros), loanDepot park (Marlins), American Family Field (Brewers), and T-Mobile Park (Mariners). Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) also has a retractable roof. These venues typically close the roof during rain, extreme heat, or cold weather, effectively eliminating weather risk for the game.
How does rain affect baseball games?
Light rain often allows play to continue, though the ball becomes harder to grip for pitchers and fielders. Moderate to heavy rain typically triggers a stoppage, and persistent storms can lead to postponements. Rain also changes the playing surface, making baserunning and fielding less predictable. Shortened games due to weather can affect DFS scoring ceilings and alter the expected run environment.
How does rain affect baseball games?
Light rain often allows play to continue, though the ball becomes harder to grip for pitchers and fielders. Moderate to heavy rain typically triggers a stoppage, and persistent storms can lead to postponements. Rain also changes the playing surface, making base running and fielding less predictable. Shortened games due to weather can affect DFS scoring ceilings and alter the expected run environment.
Which MLB games have weather concerns today?
The daily MLB Weather Today article tracks every scheduled game and assigns a weather-risk rating of LOW, MODERATE, or HIGH based on precipitation timing, storm potential, wind, and roof status. Games rated MODERATE or HIGH deserve the closest attention from bettors and DFS players, while LOW-risk games are expected to play without meaningful weather interruption. Checking forecast updates close to first pitch provides the most accurate picture.
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