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How the Public Is Betting Buffalo vs. #14 Penn State in College Football Week 3

How the Public Is Betting Buffalo vs. #14 Penn State in College Football Week 3

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By: DK Network AI

Looking for Buffalo Bulls vs. #14 Penn State Nittany Lions betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Point Spread and Total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before kickoff on Saturday.


Buffalo vs. Penn State Best Picks Today

  • Buffalo +40.5 (-105): The sharpest signal on this game by a wide margin. Buffalo draws 77% of the handle on just 21% of tickets, a 56-point gap that indicates professional bettors see value with the Bulls as a massive underdog.
  • Carson Hansen (PSU) Anytime TD Scorer 1st Half (-155): The shortest-priced Penn State player to find the end zone in the first half, reflecting his projected role as the Nittany Lions’ primary scoring option early.

Game Info

KickoffSaturday, September 19 at 12:00 PM ET
VenueBeaver Stadium, University Park, PA
TVBTN

Buffalo vs. Penn State Odds

MarketNittany Lions (Home)Bulls (Away)
Point Spread-40.5 (-115)+40.5 (-105)
TotalOver 49.5 (-115)Under 49.5 (-105)

Moneyline is unavailable for this game at DraftKings Sportsbook due to the size of the Point Spread.


MarketSideBets %Handle %
Point SpreadPenn State -40.579%23%
Point SpreadBuffalo +40.521%77%
TotalOver 49.595%100%
TotalUnder 49.55%0%

The Point Spread betting trends tell the biggest story of this matchup. While 79% of tickets back Penn State to cover, 77% of the handle is on Buffalo +40.5, a staggering 56-point gap between bet and handle percentage. This is one of the strongest sharp-vs-public divergences of the entire week. The Total is fully one-sided, with 100% of the handle backing the Over 49.5.


Key Matchup Numbers

  • Massive sharp lean on Buffalo to cover: The 56-point gap between bet percentage (21%) and handle percentage (77%) on Buffalo +40.5 ranks as one of the week’s most extreme sharp signals. A small number of large wagers are betting heavily against Penn State covering this spread.
  • Total draws unanimous handle: The Over 49.5 has attracted 100% of the handle, leaving no money on the Under. Combined with 95% of bets, this is full public-sharp alignment on the scoring exceeding 49.5 points.
  • No Moneyline available: DraftKings does not offer a full-game Moneyline for this matchup due to the spread size, concentrating all action on the Point Spread and Total.

DraftKings Player Props

  • Carson Hansen (PSU) 1st Penn State TD Scorer (+295): Hansen is the favorite to score Penn State’s first touchdown, priced at nearly 3-to-1 odds in a game where the Nittany Lions are expected to reach the end zone early and often.
  • Carson Hansen (PSU) Anytime TD Scorer 1st Half (-155): The most likely Penn State player to score before halftime according to the market, Hansen’s price reflects a clear expectation of first-half production.
  • Benjamin Brahmer (PSU) Anytime TD Scorer 1st Half (+125): Plus-money for Brahmer to find the end zone in the first half, offering value on a secondary scoring option behind Hansen.
  • James Peoples (PSU) 1st Penn State TD Scorer (+550): Peoples enters the first-TD market at 5.5-to-1 odds as another viable early scoring candidate for the Nittany Lions.

Parlay

Offensive Overdrive

Back the offenses to have their way & hit the overs in Saturday's action!

Odds: +1263

UGA @ ARK: Over 54.5 Points Total (Over)
KENT @ OSU: Over 59.5 Points Total (Over)
BUFF @ PSU: Over 49.5 Points Total (Over)
FSU @ ALA: Over 50.5 Points Total (Over)
Ends in: --:--
Bet Count: 1224
+ Add to Bet Slip
Parlay

MACtion

Wager on these MAC programs to battle hard & cover in Week 3!

Odds: +1292

Bowling Green +23.5 (@ Iowa State) Spread (Away)
Eastern Michigan +23.5 (@ Wisconsin) Spread (Away)
Akron +23.5 (@ Minnesota) Spread (Away)
Buffalo +40.5 (@ Penn State) Spread (Away)
Ends in: --:--
+ Add to Bet Slip

FAQs

What are the Buffalo vs. Penn State odds this week?

Penn State, ranked No. 14, is a 40.5-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the Point Spread set at Penn State -40.5 (-115). The Total is set at 49.5. The Moneyline is not available for this game due to the size of the spread.

Betting trends show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.

What is the difference between bets and handle?

Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.

Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.


More on this game


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