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Prediction, pick for Sean King III vs. Jessie Rosas at Noche UFC

Prediction, pick for Sean King III vs. Jessie Rosas at Noche UFC

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By: Ryan Wohl

At today’s Noche UFC event, Sean King III takes on Jessie Rosas in a three-round Featherweight contest on the Prelims. Both fighters in this bout are making their UFC debut at this event. King is 6-0 with four finishes, while Rosas’ record stands at 8-1 with six finishes. The Prelims for Noche UFC start at 2:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Check out my best bet below for Sean King III vs. Jessie Rosas at Noche UFC.

Fight not to go the Distance (-165)

Jessie Rosas is the older brother of No. 12 UFC Bantamweight contender Raul Rosas Jr. In June, Rosas scored a fifth-round submission to win his third consecutive fight. King is 3-0 in 2026, with all of them coming by knockout or submission in the first or second round. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, King is the favorite at -218 with Rosas being a +180 underdog. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds with both being -115. This contest is -165 not to go the distance and +125 to last the scheduled 15 minutes. 

In this fight, King has a four-inch height advantage (5’11” vs. 5’7″) and a standing reach advantage (72″ vs. 68″) over Rosas. Although King has been more active recently and has the physical edge, Rosas is still a highly skilled fighter who will be tough to beat. Seven of Rosas’ previous eight fights haven’t gone the distance. With King’s last three fights ending by finish, I’m taking this fight to not go the distance at -165. 

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