Looking for today’s MLB weather forecast? Friday’s fifteen-game slate features one game with meaningful weather concerns and generally favorable conditions across the rest of the schedule.
Today’s MLB Weather Forecast
- Highest Weather Risk: Phillies at Braves in Atlanta, where scattered thunderstorms could create interruptions throughout the evening.
- Expected Postponements: None. All fifteen games are expected to be completed.
- Most Significant Wind: Target Field in Minneapolis carries 15 mph southerly winds that could influence fly-ball trajectories.
- Primary Weather Story: Persistent thunderstorm chances at Truist Park are the only meaningful weather concern on a mostly clean Friday slate.
At-a-Glance Weather Table
| Matchup | First Pitch (ET) | Weather Risk | Rain % | Wind | Temp | Roof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies at Braves | 7:15 p.m. | MODERATE | 25–35% | Calm | 75°F | Open |
MLB Games to Monitor for Weather
Phillies at Braves (7:15 p.m.)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible throughout the game window at Truist Park. Precipitation chances hover between 25% and 35% from first pitch through the middle innings, with near-calm winds and humidity approaching 96%. The coverage appears scattered rather than widespread, making a brief interruption plausible but a prolonged stoppage unlikely.
Atlanta’s typical September evening storm pattern is in play. Conditions should allow the game to start on time, though monitoring radar trends closer to first pitch will be important.
Weather Timeline
- 6:00–7:00 p.m. — Scattered thunderstorm chances develop across the metro area; 35% chance of precipitation.
- 7:00–8:00 p.m. — First pitch window carries a 27% chance of showers; storms remain scattered.
- 8:00–9:00 p.m. — Thunderstorm chances tick back up to 32% during the middle innings.
- 9:00–10:00 p.m. — Precipitation probability eases to 25%; patchy fog develops as humidity peaks near 96%.
Games Expected to Play in Favorable Weather
- Pirates at Cubs (2:20 p.m.) — Clear skies, 74°F, light easterly winds at Wrigley Field. No weather concerns.
- Rockies at Tigers (6:40 p.m.) — Partly cloudy, 66°F, light winds at Comerica Park. Dry through the game.
- Angels at Nationals (6:45 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, 73°F, calm winds at Nationals Park. Slight rain chances develop late but remain under 25%.
- Mets at Yankees (7:05 p.m.) — Mostly clear, 70°F, light northerly breeze at Yankee Stadium. No concerns.
- Orioles at Blue Jays (7:07 p.m.) — Retractable roof at Rogers Centre. No weather concerns regardless of conditions.
- Royals at Red Sox (7:10 p.m.) — Clear skies, 62°F cooling to the upper 50s, light northwest winds at Fenway Park. Crisp September evening.
- Astros at Rays (7:10 p.m.) — Fixed dome at Tropicana Field. No weather concerns.
- Dodgers at Marlins (7:10 p.m.) — Retractable roof at loanDepot park. Slight thunderstorm chances early will not affect play.
- Reds at Brewers (7:45 p.m.) — Retractable roof at American Family Field. No weather concerns.
- Guardians at Twins (8:10 p.m.) — Partly cloudy, 73°F, 15 mph southerly winds at Target Field. Slight thunderstorm chances (18–25%) early but clearing quickly.
- White Sox at Cardinals (8:15 p.m.) — Mostly cloudy, 73°F, calm winds at Busch Stadium. High humidity, but minimal rain risk.
- Mariners at Athletics (9:40 p.m.) — Clear, 67°F cooling to the low 60s, light southerly winds at Sutter Health Park. Dry conditions.
- Rangers at Diamondbacks (9:40 p.m.) — Retractable roof at Chase Field. No weather concerns.
- Padres at Giants (10:15 p.m.) — Marine layer, 62°F, 10 mph westerly wind at Oracle Park. Typical San Francisco conditions.
DFS and Betting Weather Notes
Phillies at Braves
Thunderstorm uncertainty at Truist Park adds risk for DFS stacks and starting pitcher investments. If storms hit early, shortened outings could shift value toward bullpen-heavy strategies. The warm, humid air (75°F, 96% humidity) would normally support offense, but interrupted game flow could limit scoring opportunities. Monitor Atlanta radar within an hour of first pitch before finalizing lineups.
Guardians at Twins
The 15 mph southerly wind at Target Field is the strongest sustained wind on the slate. Depending on how it interacts with the ballpark’s orientation, it could suppress fly-ball carry to center field while creating crosswind effects down the lines. Combined with early thunderstorm chances that may push first pitch back slightly, this environment could lean slightly toward pitching in early action.
Padres at Giants
Oracle Park’s marine layer creates the most pitcher-friendly environment on the slate. Temperatures around 61°F with westerly wind off the bay will suppress ball carry throughout the game. This is a setting that consistently favors pitching and limits home-run potential, particularly to right-center field.
FAQs
How does humidity affect home runs in baseball?
Higher humidity actually makes the air slightly less dense because water vapor molecules are lighter than nitrogen and oxygen molecules. In theory, humid air allows a baseball to travel marginally farther. However, the effect is small enough that temperature, wind, and elevation remain far more important factors in determining ball carry. Humidity matters most when combined with warm temperatures at hitter-friendly parks like Great American Ball Park or Coors Field.
What MLB stadiums have retractable roofs?
Six MLB stadiums currently feature retractable roofs: Chase Field (Diamondbacks), Globe Life Field (Rangers), loanDepot park (Marlins), American Family Field (Brewers), Rogers Centre (Blue Jays), and T-Mobile Park (Mariners). Daikin Park (Astros) also has a retractable roof. These venues can close their roofs during inclement weather, effectively eliminating precipitation risk for the game.
Do over/unders move when rain is in the forecast?
Yes, but the movement depends on the severity and timing of the forecast. When heavy rain or thunderstorms threaten before first pitch, sportsbooks may take games off the board entirely until the weather picture clarifies. More commonly, moderate rain forecasts can push totals down slightly as bettors anticipate reduced offensive output. The most actionable line movement typically occurs within two to three hours of first pitch as radar trends become clearer.
How does wind affect MLB betting totals?
Strong outward wind (blowing from home plate toward the outfield) tends to push totals higher because it increases home-run potential and fly-ball distance. Conversely, strong inward wind can suppress offense and push totals lower. The impact is most pronounced at weather-sensitive parks like Wrigley Field, where sustained wind above 15 mph can move totals by a full run or more. Light wind (under 10 mph) rarely creates meaningful movement.
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