In an ideal world, I would have released these rankings on Friday night for drafts over the weekend. Best laid plans—alas! I digress: many of us still have drafts tonight and tomorrow before Wednesday’s later-than-usual season kickoff, so I went ahead and did one more massive update to my rankings—both for myself, and for the good people out there. I’ve got a draft at 9:00 p.m. ET tonight. I know I’m not alone.
And so, for those of us on the brink, you’ll see in the table that there are indeed a few news items included from today, 9/7/2026, such as Mike Evans’ full-health, Christian McCaffrey’s not practicing, etc. But the biggest movements came from the biggest news—Josh Jacobs’ legal issues and the Exempt List tangles thereof, the lack of the same for Puka Nacua, etc.
Once more unto the breach, friends. And then it’s onto weekly rankings.
Follow my handle @dansby_edits for all preseason and fantasy draft kit content—as well as plenty of NFL betting goodies—all summer long. Let’s have a season. Good luck everyone.
Dan Johnson’s final (9/7 7:00 P.M. ET) Top 160 PPR rankings
Dan Johnson · Final preseason edition · September 7, 20262026 Fantasy Football PPR Top 160
Season-long · Full PPR · One quarterback
160 players, with tiers, draft-price convictions and a complete note for every selection.
160 players, with tiers, draft-price convictions and a complete note for every selection.
EXTREME TARGETTARGETFADEEXTREME FADE
ADP: FantasyPros, September 7, half-PPR, all platforms, 12 teams. Gap = ADP minus rank; positive means the room drafts the player later. This compares two scoring formats. Move: change since the final August 29 board. Amber notes mark selected availability updates.
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Scroll down for all ranks; swipe across for player notes. Rank and player names stay visible.
| Rank | Player | Team | Pos | Pos Rank | Tier | ADP 9/7 | ADP Gap | Move 8/29 | Draft Tag | Player Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | +0.2 | — | EXTREME TARGET | I'd take Gibbs first even if Detroit found another back for the unglamorous carries. Seventy-seven catches, 18 touchdowns, and a third straight season above 5.0 yards per carry leave plenty to covet. At 349.8 projected PPR points, Gibbs leads the entire Fantasy Points player pool. Montgomery's departure gives Detroit more work to redistribute, too. This particular pleasure will generally require the first pick. |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | ATL | RB | 2 | 1 | 2.1 | +0.1 | — | — | Allgeier's departure leaves some delicious work near the goal line, although Brian Robinson will want a share himself. Bijan already averaged 6.28 scrimmage yards per touch last season. Across his first three years, he forced 248 missed tackles; Atlanta has rarely needed perfect blocking to free him. Tua's appointment settles the opening quarterback question. My enthusiasm extends well beyond whichever passer starts September's games. |
| 3 | Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | WR | 1 | 1 | 3.7 | +0.7 | — | — | Burrow missed nine games, and Chase still collected 125 catches from a league-leading 185 targets. That is an awfully persuasive argument for keeping him first among receivers. The precautionary knee absence hasn't displaced that season-long preference. Chase said he could have played. With a healthier quarterback season, Cincinnati should have more chances to improve on his eight touchdowns. |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | RB | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | — | EXTREME TARGET | Taylor caught more passes and gained more receiving yards than in any previous season while carrying the ball 323 times. Indianapolis found room for both kinds of work. His 1,963 scrimmage yards and 20 touchdowns support the third running-back slot. Another 47 catches appear in his projection. I'll happily accept those alongside the carries. At 5.0 ADP, the room has nearly caught up with my appetite for this workload. |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | LAR | WR | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | +0.7 | ▲ 1 | — | The Rams expect Nacua to play, which lets me spend less time worrying about August's missing team drills. I'd much rather think about the 129 catches and 729 yards after them. His 1,715 receiving yards came despite missing a game. Even a forecast trimmed to 109 receptions produces 313.6 PPR points. Stafford has a wonderful habit of letting his best receiver settle an argument. |
| 6 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | WR | 3 | 2 | 7.8 | +1.8 | ▼ 1 | — | Seattle threw on 48.7% of its plays, and Smith-Njigba somehow emerged with 1,793 receiving yards. Imagine asking for more volume after that. His 119 catches and 10 touchdowns accompanied 21.2 PPR points per game, second among receivers. The Seahawks can remain stubborn about running and still feed him. When a receiver commands this much of the passing game, team volume becomes a manageable objection. |
| 7 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | WR | 4 | 2 | 7.9 | +0.9 | — | — | Three consecutive seasons above 141 targets and 1,250 yards make St. Brown a welcome antidote to preseason guesswork. Detroit looked his way on 37.4% of first reads last year. Those early decisions helped produce 117 catches and 11 touchdowns, with red-zone volume to support the scoring. There are flashier arguments elsewhere in this tier. I keep returning to how often Goff begins the play intending to throw him the ball. |
| 8 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | 5 | 2 | 12.7 | +4.7 | — | — | Fourteen appearances undersell how much usable football Lamb actually played; two were abbreviated. Remove those cameos, and he averaged 89.4 receiving yards and 16.6 PPR points per full game. The 2.51 yards per route offer another reason to forgive the uneven totals. Pickens will keep earning his own targets. Dallas has enough passing volume to make that arrangement agreeable for both of them. |
| 9 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | WR | 6 | 2 | 13.8 | +4.8 | — | — | Eighty-four catches and 1,048 yards qualified as a disappointment for Jefferson. That's the standard he has made us expect. Minnesota's quarterback play helped drag his touchdowns down to two, a career low that hardly captures his scoring ability. Kyler Murray gives the passing game a different set of possibilities. I want the route runner at this price, without requiring an immediate return to his most magnificent season. |
| 10 | Chase Brown | CIN | RB | 4 | 2 | 14.1 | +4.1 | — | — | Give Brown six healthy Burrow games and the results get rather loud: 22.3 fantasy points per game last season. His 86 targets ranked fifth among running backs, with relatively little dependence on designed receiving touches. He earned plenty of those throws himself. Fantasy Points forecasts 56 catches and 239.3 PPR points, a more restrained outcome than I expect. Cincinnati sustaining drives would help preserve the catches and add scoring opportunities. |
| 11 | Christian McCaffrey | SF | RB | 5 | 2 | 6.4 | -4.6 | — | — | One hundred two catches make it difficult to write McCaffrey's name beneath another running back. I manage it anyway. Last season required 413 touches to produce 2,126 yards, while his rushing average slipped to 3.9. Monday's practice absence deserves monitoring; it doesn't establish a new injury by itself. The season-long reservation remains the same: at 6.4 ADP, another enormous workload arrives with very little discount for the miles already traveled. |
| 12 | James Cook III | BUF | RB | 6 | 2 | 8.5 | -3.5 | — | — | Cook's receiving totals can look spare beside the other first-round backs, but the rushing keeps refusing to cooperate with skeptics. He averaged 5.10 yards per carry and generated 452.6 rushing yards over expectation last season. Buffalo still gave him fewer than half its carries inside the five. Consecutive seasons with at least 14 touchdowns survived that arrangement. I keep him above Barkley; a few additional catches would be a lovely extra. |
| 13 | Brock Bowers | LV | TE | 1 | 3 | 21.7 | +8.7 | — | EXTREME TARGET | The 31.3 routes per game are where I start with Bowers. Very few tight ends receive that much opportunity. He commanded 24% of Las Vegas' targets during an injury-interrupted season, with 87 catches still available in the season projection. Kubiak has a receiver who can move around without surrendering the tight-end advantage. I'll gladly buy that workload around the first-round turn, even if the passing offense needs time to settle. |
| 14 | Saquon Barkley | PHI | RB | 7 | 3 | 10.3 | -3.7 | — | — | Philadelphia can clear a beautiful running lane and still hand the touchdown to its quarterback. Across two seasons, Barkley converted 16.1% of carries inside the five; Hurts converted 54.8%. Barkley's receiving production also slipped to 4.7 fantasy points per game. None of that diminishes the runner I enjoy watching. It does explain why Cook stays ahead and why I prefer a little breathing room beyond Barkley's 10.3 ADP. |
| 15 | Malik Nabers | NYG | WR | 7 | 3 | 29 | +14 | — | EXTREME TARGET | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7I haven't lost my appetite for Nabers, though the Giants still owe us a firm answer about game clearance. His first 18 complete NFL games averaged 11.3 targets and 18.2 PPR points. That is the season-long proposition behind this rank. Slayton's release leaves fewer established outside receivers, without entitling Nabers to every vacated throw. A gradual September return remains inside the price I'm willing to pay. |
| 16 | Drake London | ATL | WR | 8 | 3 | 22.4 | +6.4 | â–˛ 5 | TARGET | Tua will start the opener, giving Atlanta an answer at quarterback without settling every question about its offense. London has handled imperfect circumstances before. He averaged 10.4 targets before last year's knee injury and finished with 919 yards in 12 appearances. Eighty-six projected catches leave plenty of room for useful football between the spectacular sideline grabs. That substantial receiving base earns an early selection before I ask the quarterback change to supply anything extra. |
| 17 | Nico Collins | HOU | WR | 9 | 3 | 20.5 | +3.5 | ▲ 3 | — | When Collins played, 29.6% of Houston's targets went his way. Since 2023, he ranks second in yards per route and sixth in first downs per route. Availability has occasionally made the final totals look less impressive than the receiving. With 79 catches in the forecast, I don't need a sudden target explosion to justify buying him here. Boutte adds another outside option; Collins has spent three years demonstrating why the difficult throws should keep coming to him. |
| 18 | A.J. Brown | NE | WR | 10 | 3 | 20.9 | +2.9 | â–Ľ 2 | TARGET | Maye gets a receiver who managed 1,003 yards and seven touchdowns during a season that rarely showcased Philadelphia's passing talent. Brown's 26.1% target share survived the frustration. New England offers an accurate quarterback and a fresh set of answers from Josh McDaniels. There will be an adjustment, naturally. The established ability to earn first reads makes Brown a purchase I can enjoy without demanding immediate perfection from the new arrangement. |
| 19 | De'Von Achane | MIA | RB | 8 | 3 | 15.2 | -3.8 | ▼ 1 | — | Miami's offense can be uncomfortable company for an early pick. Achane has supplied his own reasons to stay. He averaged 6.01 scrimmage yards per touch last season and drew 170 targets across two years. Fifty-nine catches remain in his projection despite a different quarterback and coaching staff. I accept some scoring frustration for a back who can turn an ordinary checkdown into the afternoon's most useful touch. |
| 20 | Chris Olave | NO | WR | 11 | 3 | 28 | +8 | â–˛ 8 | TARGET | One hundred catches from 156 targets make Olave's PPR argument pleasantly direct. Thirty of those receptions came on third down, when Shough needed the offense to stay on the field. Tyson's lengthy hamstring absence protects some early volume; quarterback continuity and a 29% target share explain the broader enthusiasm. Trim last year's workload to the projected 87 catches, and there's still plenty to purchase. The touchdowns can improve later. The receptions already deserve this rank. |
| 21 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | WR | 12 | 3 | 30.2 | +9.2 | â–˛ 4 | TARGET | I've wanted a larger helping of Smith for years. Brown's departure finally opens the possibility, after Smith caught 77 passes for 1,008 yards while sharing the lead role. Philadelphia has replacements competing for work, so I won't assign him all 124 departed targets. His releases and route pacing already earned the quarterback's trust. A few more plays beginning with Smith as the intended receiver could make a familiar talent newly expensive. |
| 22 | Omarion Hampton | LAC | RB | 9 | 3 | 16.3 | -5.7 | ▼ 5 | — | Four of Hampton's nine rookie appearances included at least five catches. That detail keeps me interested even before the goal-line work. He handled 80% of the Chargers' attempts inside the five and averaged 17.3 touches per game. Los Angeles' protection problems deserve attention, particularly the loss at center. Still, a back who can score, catch, and remain involved through difficult afternoons belongs near the front of this tier. |
| 23 | Kenneth Walker III | KC | RB | 10 | 3 | 13.4 | -9.6 | ▼ 4 | — | Kansas City gets a runner who gained 1,027 yards against frequent stacked boxes, then added 313 in the postseason. Walker's second-ranked explosive-run rate explains the attraction better than the uniform does. The Chiefs can broaden his receiving work, though that remains a projection. His recent ankle issue was described as minor. At 13.4 ADP, the market already expects plenty; I like the season without needing to chase its newest price. |
| 24 | Trey McBride | ARI | TE | 2 | 3 | 30 | +6 | ▲ 3 | — | One hundred sixty-nine targets is an extraordinary place to begin a tight-end evaluation. McBride turned them into 126 catches, 1,239 yards, and 11 touchdowns. I wouldn't purchase another season assuming all of that repeats. Consider how much can go away: the forecast removes 37 catches and still leaves 200 PPR points. Arizona's changing offense can redistribute some work; McBride has already earned the throws that keep possessions alive. |
| 25 | George Pickens | DAL | WR | 13 | 3 | 23.5 | -1.5 | ▼ 2 | — | Pickens caught 93 passes for 1,429 yards in his first Dallas season. Turns out there was quite a receiver underneath all the noise. With Lamb sharing the field, Pickens still commanded 22.4% of targets, and 478 yards after the catch widened his usefulness. The occasional modest target total will come with the arrangement. Dallas' passing volume gives him enough other afternoons to remain an early-round fixture. |
| 26 | Josh Allen | BUF | QB | 1 | 4 | 25.8 | -0.2 | ▼ 2 | — | Allen's 14 rushing touchdowns would make a running back expensive. Add 579 rushing yards, 69.4% passing accuracy, and 8.0 yards per attempt, and the attraction becomes obvious. Fantasy Points leads the position with a 335.9-point forecast across 15 projected games. I usually prefer a receiver this early. Allen earns the exception because his goal-line work supplies points most quarterbacks must throw for. |
| 27 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | WR | 14 | 4 | 44.5 | +17.5 | â–˛ 2 | EXTREME TARGET | Three straight 1,000-yard seasons preceded the knee injury that interrupted Wilson's fourth. I haven't mistaken the interruption for a new talent level. His first three reception totals were 83, 95, and 101, accumulated without luxurious quarterback play. Geno Smith now gets the chance to provide some stability. At 44.5 ADP, the room allows a substantial gap between Wilson's established receiving ability and the cost of rediscovering it. |
| 28 | Jaylen Waddle | DEN | WR | 15 | 4 | 37.7 | +9.7 | â–Ľ 2 | TARGET | Miami finished 30th in dropbacks; Denver finished seventh. That's a useful change of scenery for a receiver averaging 2.44 yards per route since 2022. Without Hill, Waddle produced 2.84 yards per route on a 29% target share. Sutton will keep plenty of work, and the 66-catch projection is relatively restrained. My enthusiasm asks Payton to turn Waddle's efficiency into a larger share of an already busy passing game. |
| 29 | Tee Higgins | CIN | WR | 16 | 4 | 37.1 | +8.1 | ▲ 1 | — | Chase can draw the most targets while Higgins supplies the touchdown that decides the fantasy matchup. He scored 11 times on 98 targets last season. A career-low 18.7% targets-per-route rate deserves more skepticism than those touchdowns do admiration. Still, four healthy Cincinnati seasons have cleared 15.4 PPR points per game. Burrow leaves enough worthwhile throws for a second receiver with Higgins' reach and timing. |
| 30 | Ashton Jeanty | LV | RB | 11 | 4 | 21.6 | -8.4 | â–˛ 1 | FADE | The ankle outlook has improved, and Kubiak has expressed optimism about the opener. I haven't turned that optimism into a promise of unrestricted work. Washington's preseason earned a place in the backfield conversation beyond injury replacement. Jeanty still caught 55 passes and controlled 84.2% of Las Vegas' carries inside the 10 last season. That foundation keeps him firmly in this tier, even as a 21.6 ADP asks for more certainty than I have. |
| 31 | Zay Flowers | BAL | WR | 17 | 4 | 35.6 | +4.6 | ▲ 2 | — | Flowers reached 1,211 yards on 86 catches while Baltimore passed on just 45.4% of its plays. He has become very good at finding work inside a small passing schedule. A 29% target share and 473 yards after the catch explain how. Five touchdowns were a career high, yet hardly an extravagant total. I'd welcome more throws; Flowers has already shown that he can earn the important ones. |
| 32 | Rashee Rice | KC | WR | 18 | 4 | 37.4 | +5.4 | â–˛ 5 | TARGET | Rice averaged 6.6 catches and 71.4 receiving yards across eight games last season. Short throws can produce quite a fantasy afternoon when the receiver keeps escaping the first tackle. Current reporting doesn't expect additional suspension time. Eighty-eight projected catches make a compelling season-long case, provided the recent availability interruptions finally relent. Two interrupted seasons still warrant caution, but a healthy receiving role this busy belongs near the front of this tier. |
| 33 | Luther Burden III | CHI | WR | 19 | 4 | 54.9 | +21.9 | â–˛ 1 | EXTREME TARGET | Six hundred one of Burden's 652 receiving yards arrived during his final eight games. Chicago was finally letting him participate. His 11.7% first-down rate per route offers a sturdier reason for excitement than a handful of spectacular catches. Odunze's missed practice adds immediate opportunity, but I was already buying a larger season-long role. Give Burden regular routes, and Ben Johnson has a receiver capable of making short throws rather eventful. |
| 34 | Colston Loveland | CHI | TE | 3 | 4 | 40.6 | +6.6 | ▼ 2 | — | Chicago gave Loveland more routes late, and he began looking like the player the draft capital promised. His final five games, playoffs included, produced a 25.6% target share and 2.49 yards per route. The full rookie line was 58 catches, 713 yards, and six touchdowns. Odunze's current absence may redistribute some early throws. My rank rests on the broader expansion already underway before September arrived. |
| 35 | Breece Hall | NYJ | RB | 12 | 4 | 32.8 | -2.2 | — | — | Hall's targets fell from 4.7 to 2.6 per game, taking a large piece of his PPR cushion with them. The running remained dangerous: a 7% explosive-run rate produced 392 yards on those longer gains. Better quarterback play could restore some useful offensive possessions. It won't automatically restore the old receiving role. Around this range, the rushing buys my interest. The old checkdown diet would make the purchase considerably sweeter. |
| 36 | Derrick Henry | BAL | RB | 13 | 4 | 15.3 | -20.7 | â–Ľ 14 | EXTREME FADE | Sixteen projected catches are the awkward part of buying Henry in full PPR. Fantasy Points still expects 243.9 points, so another valuable rushing season is entirely plausible. Linderbaum and Ricard have departed, however, and last year's 2.40 yards after contact per attempt marked a five-year low. I prefer younger receiving profiles at his price. Cut the reception bonus in half and Henry moves considerably closer to the front. |
| 37 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | WR | 20 | 4 | 41.4 | +4.4 | ▼ 1 | — | McConkey's rookie 82-1,149-7 line remains difficult to dismiss after last year's retreat to 789 receiving yards. Allen's departure reopens the middle of the field. McDaniel can help with releases and movement, giving Herbert easier ways to locate a receiver who wins through timing. The offensive line remains a concern. McConkey knows how to make a defender lean the wrong way; a cleaner release would give him more time to exploit it. |
| 38 | Mike Evans | SF | WR | 21 | 4 | 69.4 | +31.4 | ▲ 9 | EXTREME TARGET | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Evans says none of his summer injuries would have kept him out of a game. That removes a meaningful part of the season-long health discount. His 194.3 projected PPR points exceed Waddle, McMillan, and Parker Washington, with only 65 catches required. San Francisco has plenty of mouths to feed. Evans' boundary work and scoring-area reach give Shanahan something worth making room for, especially around a 69.4 ADP. |
| 39 | Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | WR | 22 | 4 | 42.1 | +3.1 | ▼ 1 | — | Carolina handed a rookie 43.3% of its air yards, second in the league. McMillan answered with 70 catches, 1,014 yards, and seven touchdowns. That much downfield responsibility offers a convincing starting point for year two. Coker has earned a meaningful role alongside him, which could help the offense even while dividing the targets. I'd like more scoring from Carolina; McMillan has already demonstrated that he can command its passing game. |
| 40 | Parker Washington | JAX | WR | 23 | 4 | 65.4 | +25.4 | — | EXTREME TARGET | Washington caught 58 of 95 targets for 847 yards last season, then made the closing stretch especially persuasive. From Week 12 through the wild-card round, his 2.94 yards per route trailed only Nacua among qualifying receivers. Meyers and Thomas complicate any prediction of a target monopoly. I'm comfortable with that. The slot work, late-season production, and Coen's willingness to feature him make a 65.4 ADP difficult for me to leave alone. |
| 41 | Emeka Egbuka | TB | WR | 24 | 5 | 46.8 | +5.8 | ▲ 7 | — | Egbuka's opening rookie stretch showed how quickly he can become a quarterback's preferred answer. Godwin looks healthy again, and McMillan remains involved, so I expect the targets to spread out more often. I can live with the projected 66 catches; the argument doesn't require Tampa Bay to throw away its other receiving options. That's enough production to keep Egbuka near this group of receivers. Buying further growth is easier when the price also allows his teammates to have good seasons. |
| 42 | D'Andre Swift | CHI | RB | 14 | 5 | 41.8 | -0.2 | ▼ 3 | — | Swift's 54.7% rushing success rate deserves a little more attention than another summer of debating his replacement. He averaged 4.87 yards per carry and improved near the goal line, too. Monangai was back at Monday's light practice, so the injury-driven argument for extra work needs retiring. I still like Swift's role. His season-long usefulness comes from efficient touches in Johnson's offense, with a capable second back included in the calculation. |
| 43 | Davante Adams | LAR | WR | 25 | 5 | 57.5 | +14.5 | â–˛ 1 | TARGET | Thirty red-zone targets through Week 14 explain why Stafford and Adams make such agreeable company. Adams had already scored 14 times before the hamstring injury interrupted him. A healthy summer together should help with the less glamorous details, too: timing, releases, and the throw before the break. Nacua will take the larger reception share. Give me Stafford looking his way from the 12. |
| 44 | Jameson Williams | DET | WR | 26 | 5 | 58.9 | +14.9 | â–˛ 2 | TARGET | Williams doesn't need a dozen targets to make Detroit uncomfortable to defend. Only seven projected PPR points separate him from McConkey, yet McConkey leaves the draft board 17.5 picks earlier. St. Brown gets first consideration on plenty of important downs. Williams can make the remaining throws travel farther, particularly when defenders step toward Gibbs. Detroit has already made room for all three; I can do the same on a draft list. |
| 45 | Jeremiyah Love | ARI | RB | 15 | 5 | 29.7 | -15.3 | ▲ 9 | FADE | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Arizona's optimism about Love playing is welcome; Monday's walkthrough wasn't proof of a full workload. The larger attraction is the rookie who finished his Notre Dame career with 1,372 rushing yards and 21 total touchdowns. A 42-catch projection makes the receiving upside harder to discount. Allgeier can retain short-yardage work without extinguishing that ceiling. I still prefer a later price than 29.7, but the season offers more possibilities than the ankle alone suggests. |
| 46 | Javonte Williams | DAL | RB | 16 | 5 | 27.6 | -18.4 | ▼ 3 | FADE | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7The 4.77 yards per carry looked excellent, and 11 rushing touchdowns helped make the comeback thoroughly worthwhile. The receiving was less satisfying: 35 catches produced only 137 yards. Williams also failed to reach a 10% target share after Week 7. Tyler Smith's thumb surgery now removes an All-Pro guard for an expected four to six weeks. Williams remains the lead runner, with less help inside for the opening stretch. I need a later price than 27.6 before accepting that much dependence on carries and touchdowns in PPR. |
| 47 | Kyren Williams | LAR | RB | 17 | 5 | 24.9 | -22.1 | â–Ľ 5 | EXTREME FADE | Corum has already taken enough carries to change the Williams calculation. His designed-carry share fell to 60%, and expected fantasy points dropped from 17.4 to 14.1 per game. Fifty-three carries inside the 10 helped conceal the reduction. The Rams should keep producing scoring opportunities, which preserves Williams' usefulness. At 24.9 ADP, though, I would be paying for a workload that is less exclusive than it once was. |
| 48 | Christian Watson | GB | WR | 27 | 5 | 63.5 | +15.5 | â–Ľ 3 | TARGET | After two games to reacclimate, Watson averaged 15.2 PPR points with full route participation following his knee recovery. Thirty-five catches became 611 yards and six touchdowns. Green Bay has since removed Doubs and Wicks from the receiving rotation, leaving more routes available. Kraft's return will claim some throws of its own. I'll take Watson's ability to make the remaining ones travel a long way. |
| 49 | Travis Etienne Jr. | NO | RB | 18 | 5 | 37 | -12 | ▼ 8 | — | Etienne arrives with 1,399 scrimmage yards and 13 touchdowns from last season. Six of those scores came on just 36 receptions, a rate I wouldn't ask him to repeat. Kamara's knee trouble strengthens the early workload case without creating the entire season-long argument. Etienne was signed to play substantial football anyway. Around this range, I can accept ordinary rushing efficiency in exchange for credible volume and useful receiving work. |
| 50 | Bucky Irving | TB | RB | 19 | 5 | 47.5 | -2.5 | — | — | Gainwell's arrival keeps me from treating Irving's receiving work as private property. The newcomer caught 73 passes last season and has earned passing-down trust. Give Gainwell his projected 43 catches and Irving still finishes 39.0 PPR points ahead in the forecasts. That separation supports a clear preference without requiring a one-man backfield. The move toward 47.5 ADP does reduce our room for disappointment. |
| 51 | DJ Moore | BUF | WR | 28 | 5 | 51.3 | +0.3 | ▲ 17 | — | Joe Brady has already coordinated two 1,100-yard seasons from Moore. That familiarity matters when Buffalo asks him to recover from a career-low 50 catches and 682 yards. Last season was also his first below 118 targets since his rookie year. Allen doesn't need to restore every lost throw for this to work. A primary outside receiver with that history belongs near this price, with Buffalo's rushing appetite keeping the projection sensible. |
| 52 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | WR | 29 | 5 | 56 | +4 | ▲ 1 | — | Losing Tunsil affects the time Washington can give its deeper routes, an issue that extends beyond the opener. McLaurin's 38-catch, 582-yard season already showed how quickly interrupted health and quarterback play can shrink the totals. Diggs adds another accomplished target earner. I'd still bet on McLaurin's route craft for a rebound, just with more competition for the throws. His 56.0 ADP is close enough to my valuation that patience makes sense. |
| 53 | Drake Maye | NE | QB | 2 | 5 | 52.4 | -0.6 | ▼ 4 | — | Maye completed 72.0% of his passes for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns last season. The efficiency survived well beyond the easy throws. Brown now supplies another receiver capable of winning before the ball arrives. The 306.0-point projection sits close to Jackson and Daniels without exhausting what the upgraded offense could produce. I'm willing to place Maye just ahead of those pricier rushing bets, accepting that my preference requires another excellent passing season. |
| 54 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | QB | 3 | 5 | 41 | -13 | â–˛ 1 | FADE | Jackson's 312.2-point projection leads every quarterback except Allen. The ceiling is easy to locate. What interests me is how much rushing returns after last season's 349 yards and two touchdowns across 13 appearances. Baltimore has also changed offensive coordinators. He remains an elite option, with the new passing structure and rushing rebound doing meaningful work in the forecast. At 41.0 ADP, I generally want one more receiver before making that bet. |
| 55 | Tyler Warren | IND | TE | 4 | 6 | 48.1 | -6.9 | â–˛ 6 | FADE | Warren's 76 catches and 21% target share give him considerably more substance than the usual second-year tight-end promise. He is practicing again after the groin issue. Allen will contest underneath throws. Seventy-three projected receptions suggest Warren can remain central without keeping every one to himself. That receiving workload earns priority over the more speculative tight-end breakouts. The 48.1 ADP is a little rich; Warren himself is easier to like. |
| 56 | Cam Skattebo | NYG | RB | 20 | 6 | 42 | -14 | â–Ľ 4 | FADE | Skattebo's repaired ankle and New York's crowded reserve group complicate an otherwise enjoyable player evaluation. His projected 178.8 PPR points sit below both Pittsburgh backs, who usually cost much less. Receiving ability gives him something beyond collisions between the tackles. I still want proof that the volume can survive a full season. Let him slip beyond 42.0 ADP, and the impressive runner becomes an easier investment in an imperfect arrangement. |
| 57 | MarShawn Lloyd | GB | RB | 21 | 6 | 76.1 | +19.1 | ▲ 40 | EXTREME TARGET | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Jacobs is on the commissioner's exempt list, with no fixed return date. Lloyd therefore has a starting opportunity that could last well beyond September. Five of seven snaps on Green Bay's opening preseason drive offered one encouraging glimpse. One career regular-season appearance leaves much more to prove. The projection remains conservative at 140.1 PPR points; I'm buying the available work above that forecast while allowing Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks to participate. |
| 58 | David Montgomery | HOU | RB | 22 | 6 | 48.6 | -9.4 | â–˛ 7 | FADE | Houston's coaches have described Montgomery as capable of playing all three downs. Thirty catches accompany the carries in his 217.7-point PPR forecast, a welcome detail for anyone worried about his receiving role. Marks can claim passing work without reducing Montgomery to an occasional goal-line visitor. His final Detroit season involved just 182 touches, leaving room for a meaningful increase. I still want a little distance from 48.6 ADP in full PPR, though the likely volume deserves more respect than a reserve-back valuation. |
| 59 | Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | RB | 23 | 6 | 65.6 | +6.6 | — | TARGET | Henderson's missed practices make the first game easier to project, but Stevenson already had a season-long case. New England gave him 70% of its playoff snaps. His regular season included 32 catches for 345 yards, useful receiving work alongside seven rushing touchdowns. I expect Henderson to regain a substantial role when healthy. Stevenson remains worth drafting for the protection trust, catches, and scoring opportunities he can keep after that happens. |
| 60 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | RB | 24 | 6 | 58.5 | -1.5 | ▼ 2 | — | Etienne's departure leaves 260 carries and 36 catches to redistribute. Tuten won't receive every one of them. Rodriguez can handle the heavier short-yardage work, and the rookie rushing sample was only 307 yards on 83 attempts. Still, Tuten scored seven times on 93 offensive touches. Coen can give that acceleration enough opportunities to matter over a season, even if Jacksonville never settles on the tidy workload split drafters would prefer. |
| 61 | Quinshon Judkins | CLE | RB | 25 | 6 | 52.6 | -8.4 | â–˛ 3 | FADE | Two hundred thirty carries produced 827 yards, a 3.6-yard average that leaves room for considerably better running. The 26 catches added only 171 yards. Judkins can retain the lead job and still need help from Cleveland's offense to improve his fantasy finish. Sampson will compete for receiving work. I prefer a discount beyond 52.6 ADP before asking improved efficiency and more receiving work to arrive together. |
| 62 | Rome Odunze | CHI | WR | 30 | 6 | 65.5 | +3.5 | ▲ 1 | — | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Odunze missed Monday's light practice after leaving Thursday with a right-leg concern. The official game-week reports will clarify that situation. His season-long appeal still rests on the routes Moore leaves behind, after 90 targets produced 661 yards and six touchdowns last year. Burden and Loveland have earned ambitious projections of their own. I make only a modest adjustment here; one uncertain opener doesn't decide which receiver wins Chicago's autumn. |
| 63 | Jadarian Price | SEA | RB | 26 | 6 | 55 | -8 | ▼ 12 | — | Seattle expects Price's first NFL game action in the opener after resting him throughout the preseason. Charbonnet's recovery leaves substantial work available, with Wilson and Holani capable of sharing it. Eighteen catches in the forecast leave a lot riding on carries and touchdowns. Those receiving expectations temper the immediate price. I remain interested in a first-round runner who can establish a lasting job before another back is ready to contest it. |
| 64 | Jayden Daniels | WAS | QB | 4 | 6 | 66.6 | +2.6 | ▼ 8 | — | Tunsil's absence complicates the protection for a quarterback who took enough punishment last season. Daniels still rushed for 278 yards across seven complete starts. Diggs improves the available receivers, and Daniels' 309.0 projected points narrowly exceed Maye's. The early quarterback tier still has room for him. The rushing can rescue broken plays, although I'd prefer Washington supplied fewer occasions to test that particular talent. |
| 65 | Joe Burrow | CIN | QB | 5 | 6 | 56.1 | -8.9 | ▼ 8 | — | Seventeen touchdown passes in eight appearances preserved Burrow's scoring ability through another interrupted season. Chase and Higgins remain an enviable pair to find when the field gets small. Only 0.2 projected points separate Burrow from Prescott, who generally lasts almost two rounds longer. I prefer Burrow's concentrated receiving talent, although the rushing contribution stays modest. His 56.1 ADP leaves little discount; I can like the quarterback without insisting on winning the bidding. |
| 66 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | WR | 31 | 6 | 75.1 | +9.1 | â–Ľ 4 | TARGET | When Harrison and Wilson shared the field, Harrison drew targets on 25.7% of routes; Wilson's rate was 15.8%. That distinction gets lost when the closing box scores become the whole argument. Harrison's own 41-608-4 season was disappointing enough to deserve scrutiny. Arizona still has an accomplished tight end demanding the ball. I like Harrison's third-year recovery at 75.1 ADP, with target earning carrying more weight than pedigree. |
| 67 | Chris Godwin Jr. | TB | WR | 32 | 6 | 87.8 | +20.8 | â–˛ 2 | TARGET | Tampa Bay's latest reporting describes a healthy Godwin moving well again. That matters beyond September after two seasons interrupted by injury. His last healthy seven-game run produced 50 catches, 576 yards, and five touchdowns. Egbuka has since earned a prominent job, so the old pace is a ceiling reference rather than a forecast. I still want Godwin around this price, where ordinary slot volume could reward us before anything spectacular happens. |
| 68 | Tucker Kraft | GB | TE | 5 | 6 | 62 | -6 | ▼ 8 | — | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Before tearing his ACL, Kraft gained 489 yards and scored six times on 32 catches. The 10.8 yards after catch per reception remain difficult to leave alone. His movement in recent practice is encouraging, with the regular route load still to establish. A 58-catch forecast leaves him behind Warren's receiving volume. I retain plenty of interest in Kraft's upside; September participation needs to become sustained work before the most ambitious version deserves full payment. |
| 69 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | WR | 33 | 6 | 81.7 | +12.7 | â–Ľ 3 | TARGET | The rookie 87-1,282-10 season hasn't vanished because the follow-up was 48-707-2. Ten drops and uneven execution helped produce that decline, so a rebound requires more than nostalgia. Washington and Meyers now give Jacksonville other receivers it can trust. Thomas still stretches the field in ways they don't duplicate. At 81.7 ADP, I'll buy a measured recovery while leaving the old target monopoly out of the calculation. |
| 70 | Jaylen Warren | PIT | RB | 27 | 6 | 67.7 | -2.3 | â–Ľ 3 | TARGET | Warren forced 56 missed tackles and caught 40 passes while producing 1,291 scrimmage yards last season. The toughness is useful precisely because he can create space when Pittsburgh fails to supply it. Dowdle will play regularly; Fantasy Points gives Warren 40 catches and his teammate 34. Give me Warren in full PPR. At 67.7 ADP, though, the room has noticed the catches, too. |
| 71 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB | 6 | 7 | 57.3 | -13.7 | â–˛ 3 | FADE | Hurts' rushing touchdowns fell from 14 to eight as Philadelphia generated fewer possessions near the goal line. He still produced 421 rushing yards and 25 passing scores. Brown's departure removes a familiar outside answer, while Smith assumes more responsibility. Even after those changes, the 303.4-point projection remains close to the leading quarterbacks. I'll accept the reduced passing certainty at a discount, with enough rushing production already demonstrated to resist a more dramatic retreat. |
| 72 | Carnell Tate | TEN | WR | 34 | 7 | 80.9 | +8.9 | — | — | Tate's 3.17 college yards per route came with a 14.62-yard average target depth and no credited drops. Those throws traveled. Tennessee has given Ward another polished receiver, with Robinson available for the shorter work. I can accept the projected 67 catches without asking Tennessee to make him its busiest receiver immediately. One well-timed break downfield can carry a rookie's afternoon. Tate doesn't need to lead Tennessee in targets immediately to help us. |
| 73 | Jonathon Brooks | CAR | RB | 28 | 7 | 82.4 | +9.4 | ▼ 3 | TARGET | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7I still want Brooks, and the season doesn't end if Hubbard handles more of September. The soreness has kept him out of team work, though Canales has remained optimistic about his availability. Two knee recoveries and 17 preseason snaps leave plenty unproven. His receiving ability offers a way to earn more than reserve carries. At 82.4 ADP, I remain interested in the season-long ascent while allowing the opening workload to be modest. |
| 74 | Stefon Diggs | WAS | WR | 35 | 7 | 107.5 | +33.5 | â–˛ 8 | TARGET | Diggs caught 85 of 102 targets for 1,013 yards despite running only 71% of available routes last season. The hands and pacing survived quite nicely. Washington now asks him to find space beside McLaurin, with Daniels delivering the ball. Even 67 catches would make him useful here; that's 18 fewer than last season and precisely what the forecast allows. Age limits my appetite for projecting growth. A 107.5 ADP leaves plenty of value in simply remaining useful. |
| 75 | Justin Herbert | LAC | QB | 7 | 7 | 76.4 | +1.4 | ▲ 3 | — | Herbert produced 3,727 passing yards and nearly 500 rushing yards behind a line that demanded too much improvisation. McDaniel offers a promising change in passing structure. Losing Biadasz prevents me from declaring the protection repaired simply because Slater has returned. Herbert's 280.6-point projection trails Lawrence by just 1.7. I give Herbert a narrow preference for the arm and available rushing, with room for the new play designs to make both more productive. |
| 76 | Trevor Lawrence | JAX | QB | 8 | 7 | 86.5 | +10.5 | ▲ 1 | — | Lawrence finished with 4,007 passing yards, 29 touchdown passes, and nine more scores rushing. His second half made Coen's offense look considerably more coherent. Washington, Thomas, and Meyers now supply different answers against different coverages. The 282.3-point forecast leaves a little room above it if the passing improvement holds. Nine more rushing touchdowns would be a generous requirement; steadier quarterback play can help without reproducing every scramble into the end zone. |
| 77 | TreVeyon Henderson | NE | RB | 29 | 7 | 68.7 | -8.3 | ▼ 1 | FADE | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Henderson still hadn't practiced Monday, making the opener uncertain. That complicates the first lineup considerably, while leaving a season of explosive potential ahead. He averaged 5.1 yards per carry and scored 10 total touchdowns as a rookie. With Stevenson active, however, he averaged only 11.2 touches. I retain that committee expectation after the ankle heals; the larger ceiling requires earning more work or another back becoming unavailable. |
| 78 | Sam LaPorta | DET | TE | 6 | 7 | 66.6 | -11.4 | â–Ľ 7 | FADE | LaPorta caught 40 of 49 targets for 489 yards before back surgery ended his season. That efficient receiving work is still worth buying. He returned to practice after the later hip issue, preserving the outlook for an offense with no shortage of other targets. His first 42 NFL games produced 20 touchdowns. Goff can still find him near the goal line. Between the 20s, Gibbs and St. Brown make another enormous target share harder to promise. |
| 79 | Caleb Williams | CHI | QB | 9 | 7 | 69.9 | -9.1 | â–˛ 9 | FADE | Williams avoided sacks more successfully in year two, and the passing totals followed: 3,942 yards and 27 touchdowns. He added 383 rushing yards without turning every broken play into a scramble. Burden and Loveland are ready for larger roles in Johnson's offense. Odunze's uncertain opener doesn't decide that full-season outlook. The 272.9-point projection keeps Williams close to quarterbacks available later, so I prefer a little patience around his 69.9 ADP. |
| 80 | Dak Prescott | DAL | QB | 10 | 7 | 79 | -1 | ▲ 9 | — | Six hundred Dallas pass attempts carried Prescott to 4,552 yards and 30 touchdowns last season. Lamb and Pickens give him two receivers capable of winning outside. Prescott and Burrow sit just 0.2 points apart in the projections, despite a 22.9-pick difference in ADP. Tyler Smith's absence raises an early protection concern, and Prescott offers little rushing insurance now. The volume still interests me near pick 79. Dallas has too much receiving talent to let one interrupted month decide the whole season. |
| 81 | DK Metcalf | PIT | WR | 36 | 7 | 82.1 | +1.1 | ▲ 4 | — | Metcalf received 99 targets across 15 games, averaging 12.5 PPR points. His target rate has stayed below 22% for three straight seasons, which limits how aggressively I can project a rebound. Pittman supplies another accomplished receiver beside him. Sixty-five catches would satisfy his projection, hardly an outrageous request for a receiver this accomplished. That is useful work at this stage, with the high throw near the goal line supplying the more enjoyable afternoons. |
| 82 | Josh Downs | IND | WR | 37 | 7 | 100.8 | +18.8 | â–˛ 1 | TARGET | The calf interruption has eased, and Downs is practicing again. Allen's arrival still creates meaningful competition in the areas where Downs does his best work. Last season's 54% snap share limited him to 58 catches; more routes would help before any efficiency improvement arrives. At 100.8 ADP, I can accept the crowded middle. Downs can earn the next throw by winning his route. He doesn't need us forecasting an Allen suspension to have a case. |
| 83 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | ATL | TE | 7 | 7 | 75.9 | -7.1 | ▲ 9 | — | Pitts supplied 88 catches and 928 yards, then made the evaluation awkward anyway. One 11-166-3 game accounted for 22% of his PPR points. Tua has the opening assignment, while Atlanta's longer quarterback arrangement remains unsettled. Sixty-four catches would satisfy the forecast. Nothing in that expectation requires three touchdowns to arrive in the same afternoon. I can buy the receiving role here without needing that one spectacular afternoon to return. |
| 84 | Jayden Reed | GB | WR | 38 | 7 | 102.3 | +18.3 | â–˛ 12 | TARGET | A clavicle injury and Jones fracture restricted Reed to 19 catches across seven games. That season offers a poor picture of the receiver Green Bay expects to use now. Doubs and Wicks have departed, leaving routes available without requiring another teammate to get hurt. Reed could reach his projected 58 catches through a regular role; Green Bay doesn't have to redesign the offense around him. Watson and Kraft will earn throws, too. At 102.3 ADP, Reed can justify the purchase through a healthy, ordinary share. |
| 85 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | TE | 8 | 7 | 74.9 | -10.1 | â–Ľ 5 | FADE | Seventy-two rookie catches on 103 targets gave Fannin an immediate fantasy identity. Cleveland has since added Concepcion and Boston, two receivers capable of earning work that once defaulted elsewhere. His 10.2 yards per catch required frequent opportunities. A forecast of 68 receptions still treats him as central to the offense. I expect a useful starter, with a modest price discount for the possibility that Cleveland finally distributes its throws more widely. |
| 86 | Tony Pollard | TEN | RB | 30 | 7 | 79.1 | -6.9 | ▼ 5 | — | Pollard rushed for a career-high 1,082 yards, and Tennessee rewarded the effort with only five touchdowns. His weighted opportunities ranked 16th among backs. Daboll could help organize the offense, though Spears remains a useful receiving alternative. His 180.2 projected PPR points place him almost level with Dowdle, another useful runner sharing a backfield. Steady work has value in this part of the draft; more trips inside the 10 would make the weekly experience considerably friendlier. |
| 87 | Michael Wilson | ARI | WR | 39 | 7 | 96.6 | +9.6 | â–Ľ 3 | TARGET | Wilson's final eight games produced 56 catches, 775 yards, and six touchdowns. That's enough football to deserve attention. Harrison drew targets more frequently when both played, and McBride retains the largest established receiving role. Fifty-four catches for the entire season is the projection's considerably colder assessment. I'm comfortable buying above that estimate because Wilson has already shown he can handle more, while recognizing that Arizona may not need him to do so every week. |
| 88 | George Kittle | SF | TE | 9 | 7 | 82 | -6 | ▼ 13 | — | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Kittle practiced Monday, another encouraging step after his Achilles recovery. Participation doesn't settle his regular route load. Across five seasons, he has averaged 2.41 yards per route; last year's 11 appearances still yielded 57 catches and seven touchdowns. Thirteen games appear in his projection, leaving the recovery risk where we can see it. I want the efficiency at a price that allows a gradual return, with Evans adding another good option whenever San Francisco chooses to throw. |
| 89 | KC Concepcion | CLE | WR | 40 | 8 | 114.1 | +25.1 | â–Ľ 3 | EXTREME TARGET | Cleveland released Tillman after Concepcion established himself above the veteran. The rookie has actual routes available to accompany the excitement. His final college season produced 61 catches, 919 yards, and nine receiving touchdowns on a 27.2% target share. The quarterback situation can make those routes frustrating. I still want the receiver who can create something after an ordinary throw, particularly when the market waits until 114.1 to select him. |
| 90 | Rico Dowdle | PIT | RB | 31 | 8 | 82.4 | -7.6 | ▲ 1 | — | Dowdle's 1,076 rushing yards came with 39 catches, so a carries-only description misses part of the appeal. Pittsburgh has given him regular work alongside Warren. Their new PPR forecasts are separated by just 3.7 points. I prefer Warren's receiving and ability to create space, though Dowdle can remain productive in the same backfield. A meaningful gap between their draft prices makes the later selection quite defensible. |
| 91 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | RB | 32 | 8 | 87.5 | -3.5 | ▼ 4 | — | Five yards per carry and 3.2 after contact explain why Denver values Dobbins on early downs. Eleven catches for 37 yards explain the PPR hesitation. Harvey has the stronger receiving role, and Coleman adds another back worth developing. Fantasy Points allows Dobbins only 12 projected games, making availability a substantial part of the discount. The rushing lead is useful; the smaller catch total gives the cheaper alternatives more room to compete. |
| 92 | Chuba Hubbard | CAR | RB | 33 | 8 | 88 | -4 | ▲ 11 | — | Hubbard is practicing again while Brooks manages soreness. That helps identify the opening workload, and the veteran's season-long case deserves attention of its own. The projection favors Hubbard, 171.5 PPR points to Brooks' 150.0, with 33 catches included for the veteran. I remain more interested in the younger back's eventual ceiling. Hubbard's experience and available touches make him much more than a temporary September inconvenience, however, particularly if Brooks needs longer to earn a larger assignment. |
| 93 | RJ Harvey | DEN | RB | 34 | 8 | 103.7 | +10.7 | — | — | Harvey caught 47 passes and scored five receiving touchdowns as a rookie. That receiving work is why I keep him close to Dobbins despite the early-down hierarchy. His 540 rushing yards on 146 carries leave room for improvement, and 12 total touchdowns will be difficult to reproduce casually. Denver has three backs capable of claiming snaps. Harvey can remain useful in that arrangement if Payton keeps sending him out for the valuable passing work. |
| 94 | Blake Corum | LAR | RB | 35 | 8 | 92.2 | -1.8 | ▲ 6 | — | Corum gained 782 scrimmage yards on 153 touches last season, with his best rushing arriving late. Over the final six games, he averaged more than 6.4 yards per carry. Williams remains ahead, but Corum already has a role without needing an injury to unlock it. The much larger contingent workload is the bonus. At 92.2 ADP, I like a reserve back who can contribute while we wait to learn how much more he earns. |
| 95 | De'Zhaun Stribling | SF | WR | 41 | 8 | 103.6 | +8.6 | ▲ 15 | — | Stribling has made a persuasive first impression, with 4.36 speed and the ability to work different parts of the formation. Pearsall's season-long absence leaves routes available. Evans, Kittle, and Samuel still make the actual target distribution crowded, reflected in a conservative 32-catch projection. I'm willing to pay for the rookie developing beyond that estimate. A regular place in the offense would matter more than winning another week of summer praise. |
| 96 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | WR | 42 | 8 | 96.6 | +0.6 | ▲ 3 | — | Johnston caught 51 passes for 735 yards and eight touchdowns last season. That useful recovery deserves more attention than another replay of his earlier drops. Allen's departure leaves targets to contest, although McConkey should benefit first. Johnston and Metcalf sit just 2.2 PPR points apart in the forecasts. The room charges 14.5 additional picks for Metcalf. Deep completions and end-zone throws can pay for this selection while McConkey collects the busier reception total. |
| 97 | Michael Pittman Jr. | PIT | WR | 43 | 8 | 111.4 | +14.4 | â–˛ 8 | TARGET | Five consecutive seasons with at least 111 targets say something about Pittman's ability to get a quarterback's attention. Pittsburgh now asks him to share it with Metcalf. Seventy-eight projected catches leave plenty of those completions available for Pittman. I wouldn't transfer every Indianapolis opportunity to his new address, especially after the recent decline in yards per game. Enough ordinary completions remain plausible to make 111.4 ADP an attractive place to collect them. |
| 98 | Kenny Gainwell | TB | RB | 36 | 8 | 111.8 | +13.8 | â–˛ 19 | TARGET | Seventy-three catches made Gainwell a substantial PPR contributor last season. Tampa Bay signed someone it can trust in protection and use on passing downs beside Irving. Take 30 catches away from last season: the remaining 43 are what his 168.1-point PPR forecast requires. That is a meaningful job even with Irving leading the backfield. At 111.8 ADP, I can buy the receiving work without demanding a repeat of Gainwell's busiest season. |
| 99 | Makai Lemon | PHI | WR | 44 | 8 | 116.5 | +17.5 | â–Ľ 1 | TARGET | The hamstring interruption cost Lemon practice time, with extra walkthrough work helping him keep up. A rookie adjustment still awaits. Philadelphia can arrange shorter throws that suit his feel for space while Smith handles the larger receiving assignment. Fifty-two catches appear in the projection, and I can imagine a larger total if the routes become regular early enough. A receiver who learns where Hurts wants him has plenty of autumn left to reward the patience. |
| 100 | Jordan Addison | MIN | WR | 45 | 8 | 109.3 | +9.3 | ▲ 4 | — | Addison averaged 14.5 yards per catch, but 42 receptions and seven drops made too many weeks difficult to trust. Murray offers a fresh chance for Minnesota's passing game to function. Jefferson will still receive first consideration, leaving Addison to recover the precision that earns repeated throws. A 57-catch forecast is a reasonable improvement without restoring every old touchdown. Around 109.3 ADP, a useful second receiver is plenty to ask for. |
| 101 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | WR | 46 | 8 | 99.5 | -1.5 | ▼ 7 | — | Two seasons with Nix have averaged 77.5 catches, 1,049 yards, and 7.5 touchdowns for Sutton. Those are useful numbers to find near pick 100. Waddle will claim targets, particularly the earlier reads that make a receiver's week dependable. Sutton can still win the boundary and the compressed space near the goal line. I expect fewer automatic opportunities, with enough established chemistry to keep the smaller workload worthwhile. |
| 102 | Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | WR | 47 | 8 | 126.6 | +24.6 | â–Ľ 1 | TARGET | Robinson's 140 targets became 92 catches and 1,014 yards last season. Tennessee reunited him with Daboll, who already knows where the quick openings suit him. Tate offers a different threat outside, and Ward still has development ahead. The projected 55 receptions would represent quite a retreat. I'll bet on Daboll finding reasons to call his number more often. Full PPR gives those short completions enough value to justify buying well before his 126.6 ADP. |
| 103 | Aaron Jones Sr. | MIN | RB | 37 | 8 | 123.4 | +20.4 | â–˛ 21 | TARGET | Minnesota lists Jones and Mason as co-starters, which is a useful antidote to declaring the backfield settled. Jones' passing work gives him the narrow PPR preference here. Forty-two projected catches for Jones, eight for Mason: the receiving gap matters more here than the shared title. Age and last year's 548 rushing yards discourage a return to the old workload. A smaller assignment can still be worthwhile when it includes the more valuable receiving touches. |
| 104 | Jakobi Meyers | JAX | WR | 48 | 8 | 139 | +35 | â–˛ 7 | TARGET | Meyers caught 42 passes for 483 yards and three touchdowns in nine Jacksonville games after the trade. He didn't need a full offseason to find the quarterback. Washington and Thomas will be busy, too. Meyers can reach his projected 68 catches without taking over the passing game. The late-camp thumb issue deserves monitoring. Around 139.0 ADP, an established receiving role in an improving offense is rather easy to appreciate. |
| 105 | Jordan Mason | MIN | RB | 38 | 8 | 95.1 | -9.9 | â–Ľ 15 | FADE | Mason handled 26 red-zone carries to Jones' 14 and averaged 4.77 yards per attempt last season. Minnesota lists them as co-starters, leaving a credible rushing assignment available. Eight projected catches are the problem in full PPR. The file's 73.4-point total is lower than I expect from his demonstrated role, but the receiving deficit still demands a discount. Jones gets the narrow preference here; reduce the catch bonus and Mason comes first. |
| 106 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | TE | 10 | 8 | 99.9 | -6.1 | â–Ľ 27 | FADE | Kincaid's 14.6 yards per catch would look wonderful attached to a larger workload. Among 33 qualifying tight ends, he ranked 30th in routes per game. Knox and Hawes continue to complicate the snap distribution. The projection stops at 54 catches. Efficiency can improve the catches Buffalo gives him; it cannot supply the routes he doesn't run. I still enjoy the talent. Buffalo sending him out more often has to become an observable change before I pay for it. |
| 107 | Jaxson Dart | NYG | QB | 11 | 8 | 107.9 | +0.9 | ▼ 5 | — | Dart rushed for 487 yards and nine touchdowns during his rookie season. Those points helped cover a passing game still learning its shape. Nabers' recovery offers a larger receiving ceiling, although Slayton's release and Austin's injury leave the supporting group changing again. Dart's 273.7-point projection belongs in the same conversation as Williams and Stafford; his legs provide a different route there. Those ground points buy time for the passing to develop. Nabers back at full strength would make that wait more enjoyable. |
| 108 | Brock Purdy | SF | QB | 12 | 8 | 109.5 | +1.5 | ▲ 13 | — | Purdy's final three starts produced 893 passing yards and 11 touchdowns, a sample far too hot to extend across a season. Evans' health comments and Kittle's practice return improve the broader receiving outlook. The 278.9-point forecast sits just behind Herbert at a much later draft price. That's a useful way to wait on quarterback. San Francisco can support excellent passing weeks, though Purdy needs more of his scoring to arrive through the air. |
| 109 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | RB | 39 | 9 | 98.9 | -10.1 | ▼ 2 | — | Croskey-Merritt returned to practice September 1 with the stronger claim to Washington's early-down carries. His rookie rushing produced 805 yards and eight touchdowns at 4.6 per attempt. Nine catches remain the restraint in full PPR, with just 11 in the forecast. White offers a more natural passing-down alternative. I can value the available carries while asking for a later price than 98.9, particularly with Tunsil's absence weakening the blocking. |
| 110 | Jalen Coker | CAR | WR | 49 | 9 | 136.5 | +26.5 | â–˛ 4 | TARGET | Coker caught 29 of 36 targets for 349 yards and three touchdowns to close the regular season. Then he added 134 yards in the playoffs. Carolina's three-year commitment makes the continuing role easier to believe. McMillan remains the first receiver to project for volume, but Coker has already earned meaningful work beside him. A 136.5 ADP feels generous for work he has already earned. More of it would be welcome. |
| 111 | Alec Pierce | IND | WR | 50 | 9 | 91.5 | -19.5 | â–Ľ 3 | FADE | Steichen expects Pierce to be ready for the opener after his return from ankle surgery. The season-long question is how much more volume Indianapolis gives its newly paid outside receiver. Forty-seven catches became 1,003 yards last year, an extraordinary 21.3-yard average. Downs, Allen, and Warren can divide the shorter throws. I like the improved health outlook, but 91.5 ADP still requires more consistency than deep completions alone usually supply. |
| 112 | Matthew Golden | GB | WR | 51 | 9 | 117.5 | +5.5 | ▲ 14 | — | Twenty-nine catches for 361 yards were a quiet introduction for a first-round receiver. Golden now has fewer veterans between him and regular routes after Doubs and Wicks departed. Watson and Reed retain the stronger receiving résumés, with Kraft claiming middle-field throws. Forty-seven catches would meet the forecast, a useful increase that stops well short of asking Golden to take over. That's a useful starting point for a young receiver whose opportunity can grow through the ordinary course of the season. |
| 113 | Kyle Monangai | CHI | RB | 40 | 9 | 111.6 | -1.4 | ▲ 6 | — | Monangai was present at Monday's light practice after the knee interruption. That is progress, with the regular workload still to clarify. His rookie season supplied 783 rushing yards, and a 29-touch audition without Swift produced 198 scrimmage yards. I don't expect that volume every week. It does make the contingent role more credible than a prospect argument built entirely from athletic testing and a vacant spot on a depth chart. |
| 114 | Romeo Doubs | NE | WR | 52 | 9 | 135.5 | +21.5 | â–Ľ 5 | TARGET | New England paid Doubs, then traded Boutte, leaving a clearer outside role beside Brown. Maye makes that role worth considering. A forecast of 53 catches and 155.2 PPR points doesn't require Doubs to displace the top receiver. Some afternoons Brown will claim the throws that matter most. At 135.5 ADP, I can accept the unevenness in exchange for regular routes attached to an accurate quarterback. |
| 115 | Bo Nix | DEN | QB | 13 | 9 | 109.6 | -5.4 | NEW | — | Denver has added Waddle to an offense that already throws frequently. Sutton remains an established option, and Nix offers useful rushing alongside the passing volume. His 270.8-point projection lands within one point of Stafford. That makes the choice a question of ceiling and team construction more than a dramatic difference in expected scoring. Waddle's ability after the catch gives Nix another way to improve without making every completion more difficult. |
| 116 | Travis Kelce | KC | TE | 11 | 9 | 101.9 | -14.1 | — | FADE | Kelce caught 76 passes for 851 yards last season, extending a remarkable run of useful receiving production. Five touchdowns also marked a third straight year below six. Rice and the backs will claim short throws, while Mahomes' recovery adds uncertainty to the offense's improvisational plays. I still expect worthwhile weeks from Kelce. At 101.9 ADP, the younger receivers and backs available nearby usually interest me more. |
| 117 | Patrick Mahomes II | KC | QB | 14 | 9 | 123.8 | +6.8 | ▲ 5 | — | Mahomes has practiced through his knee rehabilitation, but his mobility in meaningful games remains untested. Last season included 422 rushing yards and five ground scores, points that would be difficult to replace through passing alone. His 269.9-point forecast nearly matches Nix, which is a more useful comparison now than Mahomes' finest seasons. At 123.8 ADP, the price finally permits uncertainty. I can draft him here without pretending either a full rushing recovery or another vintage passing season has already happened. |
| 118 | Jordan Love | GB | QB | 15 | 9 | 139.1 | +21.1 | â–Ľ 5 | EXTREME TARGET | Love's 101.2 passer rating came with 23 touchdown passes and six interceptions, despite Green Bay passing on only 49.8% of plays. More throws would help those efficient possessions accumulate. Jacobs' open-ended absence could encourage that change, though it might also make sustaining drives harder. Watson and Kraft give Love excellent reasons to test the former possibility. Love is still there at 139.1 ADP, with two receivers particularly well suited to making an efficient passer look prolific. |
| 119 | Jared Goff | DET | QB | 16 | 9 | 125.1 | +6.1 | ▼ 4 | — | Goff threw for 4,564 yards and 34 touchdowns, his fourth straight season above 4,000 passing yards. St. Brown, Gibbs, Williams, and LaPorta remain quite a collection of answers. The rushing contributes almost nothing, which helps explain why he lasts this long. A 262.4-point forecast would supply plenty of usable football for this part of the draft. I am comfortable waiting for Goff near 125.1 ADP and letting Detroit's passing talent do the work that faster quarterbacks do themselves. |
| 120 | Kyler Murray | MIN | QB | 17 | 9 | 133 | +13 | ▲ 10 | — | Murray averaged at least 30 rushing yards in each of his first seven seasons. Minnesota adds Jefferson and O'Connell's passing structure to that familiar source of points. His 259.6-point forecast covers only 14 projected games, leaving the per-game estimate almost level with Purdy. Availability still matters; the smaller season total alone undersells the appeal. At 133.0 ADP, I can take a measured chance on the new offense finding a healthier version of him. |
| 121 | Matthew Stafford | LAR | QB | 18 | 9 | 114.4 | -6.6 | ▲ 6 | — | Forty-six touchdown passes and eight interceptions made Stafford's MVP season an unusually enjoyable watch. Repeating all 46 scores would be an ambitious requirement for a draft pick. Fortunately, a 114.4 ADP permits regression. The projection settles at 271.6 points, near Nix and Williams, with Nacua and Adams supplying excellent targets. I prefer a little more rushing in this crowded quarterback range, but Stafford can still earn his place entirely from the pocket. |
| 122 | Juwan Johnson | NO | TE | 12 | 9 | 138.1 | +16.1 | â–˛ 3 | TARGET | Johnson caught 77 passes for 889 yards and only three touchdowns last season. The yardage gives him a better foundation than the scoring total suggests. Shough already knows where to find him, and Tyson's hamstring recovery removes an early competitor for targets. I liked the role before that injury. A 138.1 ADP offers established catches and routes, with any improvement in touchdown conversion supplying the more enjoyable weeks. |
| 123 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | WR | 53 | 9 | 147.1 | +24.1 | ▲ 8 | — | Shakir gained 550 of his 719 receiving yards after the catch last season. The balance and feel for space are excellent. A 3.9-yard average target depth also explains why 72 receptions didn't produce a larger fantasy finish. Moore's arrival adds competition before that problem has resolved itself. Shakir can supply useful catches late in a PPR draft, with a more modest weekly ceiling than his efficiency initially suggests. |
| 124 | Mike Washington Jr. | LV | RB | 41 | 9 | 130.3 | +6.3 | ▼ 29 | — | Washington's 168 preseason rushing yards came on 23 carries, and Kubiak has discussed work for both Raiders backs. That supplies a season-long argument beyond Jeanty's ankle. There are only 13 catches in his projection. The speed is easier to admire than a dependable PPR workload is to locate. Receiving and protection work will decide how much more he can earn. I like the late upside, with a regular complementary role a more sensible purchase than an assumption that he overtakes Jeanty. |
| 125 | Rachaad White | WAS | RB | 42 | 9 | 127.3 | +2.3 | ▼ 19 | — | White caught 40 of 45 targets last season, giving Washington a useful option beside Croskey-Merritt. His rushing improved, too, with 25 forced misses and 3.0 yards after contact per attempt. A forecast trimmed to 32 catches keeps the likely assignment modest. I want the passing-down role at a price that allows shared work. Extra carries would help, but the early-down competition makes them an upside case rather than an entitlement. |
| 126 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | TE | 13 | 9 | 112 | -14 | â–˛ 14 | FADE | Eleven touchdowns made Goedert's fantasy finish look better than an ordinary week of fewer than 40 receiving yards. Brown's departure now gives the receiving projection more substance. Fantasy Points expects 63 catches and 157.1 PPR points, enough to keep Goedert useful without repeating every touchdown. Smith and Lemon will claim their share. I prefer a small discount to 112.0 ADP, while granting the existing routes more credit than a touchdown-only description allows. |
| 127 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | RB | 43 | 9 | 127.3 | +0.3 | ▲ 2 | — | Rodriguez rushed for 500 yards and six touchdowns on 112 carries last season. Jacksonville can use that decisiveness when the space narrows near the goal line. Four targets explain why I keep the PPR expectations restrained. Tuten has the broader opportunity, with Rodriguez competing for the heavier carries. Around 127.3 ADP, I see an acceptable power complement whose best weeks will usually include a touchdown. |
| 128 | Jonah Coleman | DEN | RB | 44 | 9 | 142.5 | +14.5 | ▲ 22 | — | Dobbins has the early-down experience and Harvey has the receiving work. Coleman has to persuade Payton to redistribute some of each. I keep coming back to the 26 catches in his projection. Receiving work offers one way to make himself useful before the rushing hierarchy changes. I like him as a patient selection in this crowded group of reserve backs. A useful role can develop without Denver immediately naming him the answer to every backfield question. |
| 129 | Xavier Worthy | KC | WR | 54 | 9 | 134.4 | +5.4 | ▼ 9 | — | Worthy's 4.21 speed remains available at a very different price from the one attached to his early career expectations. Last season yielded 42 catches, 532 yards, and one receiving touchdown. Kansas City has to turn the speed into more accurate connections before the fantasy total follows. I will take the chance late. Rice's underneath work can coexist with a larger downfield role, provided Worthy starts finishing more of those opportunities. |
| 130 | Tyjae Spears | TEN | RB | 45 | 9 | 147.6 | +17.6 | â–˛ 22 | TARGET | Forty-five catches on 50 targets kept Spears useful despite missing four games. The receiving produced only 264 yards, so volume carried the argument. Pollard remains ahead for early-down work, with Singleton adding competition. Even a reduced projection of 33 catches gives Spears something several reserve runners lack. In full PPR, I can buy those available receptions around this range and let additional carries become a pleasant development later. |
| 131 | Keaton Mitchell | LAC | RB | 46 | 10 | 143.3 | +12.3 | â–˛ 23 | TARGET | Mitchell returned to practice Monday after six missed sessions, but his appeal begins with what McDaniel can do beside Hampton. The coach has discussed using multiple backs, and Mitchell brings a career 6.34 yards per carry. Twenty-seven projected catches across 14 games would give that acceleration regular chances to count. Hampton keeps the lead job and Vidal complicates any replacement workload. Mitchell can still help through a smaller, useful assignment that survives everyone getting healthy. |
| 132 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | TE | 14 | 10 | 111 | -21 | â–˛ 13 | FADE | Likely's last Baltimore season produced 27 catches for 307 yards. New York offers a different assignment; the forecast nearly doubles that reception total to 51. That's a substantial role change even with Theo Johnson involved. Nabers' recovery may alter the first few weeks; regular routes after Nabers returns are the more valuable proposition. I can take that chance here while leaving some space below a 111.0 ADP that already expects the expansion. |
| 133 | Mark Andrews | BAL | TE | 15 | 10 | 125.7 | -7.3 | ▲ 1 | — | Andrews' 48 catches produced only 422 yards last season, an 8.8-yard average far below his earlier work. Likely's departure offers a chance to recover routes, with Baltimore still willing to feature Andrews near the goal line. Five receiving touchdowns and another rushing kept him relevant. I expect some scoring usefulness to remain. The price needs to reflect the current receiving production rather than the much larger seasons we remember. |
| 134 | Woody Marks | HOU | RB | 47 | 10 | 136 | +2 | ▼ 22 | — | Montgomery should take plenty of interior carries after Marks averaged 3.6 yards per attempt as a rookie. Houston has prepared Marks for more receiving work, which is the interesting part of his second season. Preparation still has to become routes and targets. Twenty-three catches appear in his 91.3-point PPR forecast, which leaves the receiving expansion largely unpriced. Near 136.0 ADP, I can buy the possibility of growth without already paying for a passing-down monopoly. |
| 135 | Tyler Allgeier | ARI | RB | 48 | 10 | 137.1 | +2.1 | ▼ 12 | — | Allgeier scored eight rushing touchdowns on 143 carries last season. Arizona has reason to preserve some short-yardage work after Love's ankle improves. Eight projected catches leave the ordinary PPR weeks looking awfully dependent on a touchdown. I like the retained rushing role late, with additional September volume a possible extra. Love can become the better back without making Allgeier disappear; the smaller receiving contribution determines how much I'd spend on the partnership. |
| 136 | Jordyn Tyson | NO | WR | 55 | 10 | 139.1 | +3.1 | NEW | — | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7Tyson landed on injured reserve with a return designation after the hamstring injury. The reported recovery timetable extends into the season, so this is a patient selection. Thirty-six projected catches across 11 games leave something useful to anticipate after the wait. Olave owns the established receiving lead. I like the first-round talent as a late stash, with an available IR slot making the early roster cost much easier to absorb. |
| 137 | Malik Willis | MIA | QB | 19 | 10 | 154.6 | +17.6 | â–˛ 7 | TARGET | Willis completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards last season, a tantalizing sample that remains exactly that. His Baltimore start added 60 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Miami is offering the sustained starting opportunity that Green Bay couldn't. The forecast's 758 rushing yards are where the fantasy excitement begins. Sustained starting work will test the rest of his game. At 154.6 ADP, I am willing to find out how much of the efficient passing survives a full schedule. |
| 138 | Keenan Allen | IND | WR | 56 | 10 | 155.2 | +17.2 | â–Ľ 3 | TARGET | Indianapolis expects Allen to play Week 1 despite the unresolved legal matter. I haven't assigned a suspension the league has not announced. He caught 81 passes for 777 yards last season, and Steichen knows the route skills that keep him useful. Downs and Warren contest similar areas, reflected in a reduced 58-catch projection. Around 155.2 ADP, ordinary receptions can justify the selection even if age prevents another enormous workload. |
| 139 | Tyler Shough | NO | QB | 20 | 10 | 154.2 | +15.2 | â–Ľ 6 | TARGET | Shough averaged 250.1 passing yards across nine full starts, clearing 17 fantasy points seven times. None of those games reached 22. The evidence points toward usable production before it promises something more extravagant. Olave and Johnson give him receivers he already trusts, with Etienne adding backfield help. The 154.2 ADP allows me to start with the useful afternoons. Shough can show us the larger ceiling as he goes. |
| 140 | Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | WR | 57 | 10 | 158.1 | +18.1 | ▼ 22 | — | Philadelphia has routes available, with Smith leading the group and Lemon learning the slot assignment. Wicks' 30 catches for 332 yards last season show how little separation alone guarantees. Drops and uncertain weekly targets remain part of the evaluation. Forty-one catches would meet his projection, so a useful complementary role is enough to begin with. I like the opportunity late, where he can earn more work without needing an immediate breakout to justify the selection. |
| 141 | Josh Jacobs | GB | RB | 49 | 10 | 100.8 | -40.2 | ▼ 68 | EXTREME FADE | AVAILABILITY WATCH · 9/7The commissioner's exempt list prevents Jacobs from practicing or playing, with no fixed return date. That uncertainty reaches well beyond the opener. Last season's 1,211 scrimmage yards and 14 touchdowns leave a substantial eventual payoff. Fantasy Points uses six projected games, an assumption rather than a known timetable. At 100.8 ADP, too much value depends on a decision we cannot time. A much later selection lets the possible return remain a bonus worth waiting for. |
| 142 | Baker Mayfield | TB | QB | 21 | 10 | 145.9 | +3.9 | ▼ 4 | — | Mayfield passed for 3,693 yards and 26 touchdowns while adding a career-high 382 rushing yards. Injuries disrupted the closing stretch more than the final totals reveal. Godwin's healthier outlook gives the passing game another reason for optimism, with Egbuka established outside. The projection settles at 251.4 points, so I can usually find a little more expected production elsewhere. The 145.9 ADP is fair enough for useful weeks without requiring another career-best passing season. |
| 143 | Denzel Boston | CLE | WR | 58 | 10 | 152.7 | +9.7 | â–Ľ 7 | TARGET | Boston followed one productive college season with 881 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns in the next. His 6-foot-4 frame gives Cleveland an outside target quite different from Concepcion. The Browns cleared Tillman from the room, leaving opportunity without solving the quarterback problem. A fade near the goal line is an awfully useful assignment for a receiver that size. The catches between those scoring chances may take longer to accumulate. |
| 144 | Rashid Shaheed | SEA | WR | 59 | 10 | 142.1 | -1.9 | ▼ 3 | — | Shaheed gained 687 receiving yards last season, with most arriving before his move to Seattle. The Seahawks now have a full offseason to build him into the passing game. Smith-Njigba will continue commanding the largest share, and return production doesn't automatically become receiving volume. At 142.1 ADP, I'm interested in the one clean release that turns a quiet afternoon into a long touchdown. The smaller reception total comes with it. |
| 145 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | SF | WR | 60 | 10 | 142.3 | -2.7 | ▼ 13 | — | Shanahan knows how to get Samuel moving before the snap and catching the ball with room to punish a tackle. Familiarity helps, although Evans, Kittle, and Stribling crowd the passing schedule. A forecast of 51 catches and 147.2 PPR points leaves useful production available without recreating Samuel's largest seasons. I will take that chance late. The reunion offers ways to use him; a commanding share of the offense still needs to be earned. |
| 146 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | TE | 16 | 10 | 151 | +5 | â–˛ 1 | TARGET | Schultz caught 82 of 106 targets for 777 yards last season. Houston still needs someone to collect the shorter throws while Collins works farther downfield. Boutte's arrival doesn't duplicate Schultz's job, although the offense has several players competing for touches. Three touchdowns limited the fantasy excitement. At 151.0 ADP, I can accept an unremarkable scoring total in exchange for an established role and catches that count the same as anyone else's. |
| 147 | Tank Bigsby | PHI | RB | 50 | 10 | 146.4 | -0.6 | ▼ 10 | — | Sixty-three carries produced 356 yards and two touchdowns for Bigsby last season. Philadelphia's blocking makes a larger rushing assignment attractive if one becomes available. Barkley remains the clear lead, and the receiving work offers little standalone insurance. This is mostly a late bet on the workload behind him. I prefer that identifiable role to a reserve runner whose path requires several separate changes before the touches arrive. |
| 148 | Adonai Mitchell | NYJ | WR | 61 | 10 | 157.7 | +9.7 | — | TARGET | After moving to the Jets, Mitchell caught 24 passes for 301 yards and two touchdowns. The totals were modest, but the outside opportunities alongside Wilson were tangible. Geno Smith offers a chance for cleaner delivery. At the projected 44 catches, Mitchell would be helping the offense without needing to become its primary attraction. Better throws and better finishes could make that assignment useful fairly quickly, with little required from the offense beyond ordinary improvement. |
| 149 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | TE | 17 | 11 | 133 | -16 | â–Ľ 3 | FADE | Ferguson caught 82 passes, yet those receptions generated only 600 yards. The eight touchdowns did much of the remaining fantasy work. Dallas has enough passing volume to keep him useful, with Lamb and Pickens claiming the more explosive opportunities. Full PPR makes the catches valuable even when the yardage disappoints. I still prefer a later price than 133.0 before depending on another favorable season of touchdown conversion. |
| 150 | Brian Robinson Jr. | ATL | RB | 51 | 11 | 152.2 | +2.2 | ▼ 8 | — | Robinson averaged 4.35 yards per carry during limited work in San Francisco last season. Atlanta now places him behind Bijan after Allgeier's departure. The possible scoring carries are useful, although a large receiving role is difficult to project. I prefer him as a late reserve with a straightforward path to more rushing work. The move alone doesn't justify treating every carry Allgeier left behind as Robinson's property. |
| 151 | Ray Davis | BUF | RB | 52 | 11 | 157 | +6 | — | — | Davis received only 58 carries behind Cook last season. That describes the present workload more clearly than it describes his ceiling. Buffalo can support valuable rushing opportunities if the starting assignment changes, though passing work would still have to be shared. His 55.5-point PPR forecast makes the waiting explicit. I want inexpensive access to a good offense, with enough patience to accept the quiet weeks while Cook leads it. |
| 152 | Emmett Johnson | KC | RB | 53 | 11 | 153.6 | +1.6 | ▲ 8 | — | Johnson started Kansas City's preseason finale with parts of the first-team offense, gaining 39 rushing yards and catching two passes. That strengthened his claim to work behind Walker. The larger workload remains contingent on a change ahead, while receiving ability offers another way to earn snaps. A back who can catch is useful company for Mahomes. Late in the draft, I can wait to see how often Johnson is invited to stay on the field. |
| 153 | Zach Charbonnet | SEA | RB | 54 | 11 | 143.8 | -9.2 | ▼ 10 | — | Charbonnet scored 12 rushing touchdowns before the January ACL injury interrupted Seattle's playoff run. That goal-line history makes a later return interesting. Price now has an opportunity to establish himself, and rehabilitation doesn't guarantee Charbonnet's old workload will be waiting. I keep him near the end of the board as a patient selection. Early usable points are worth more here than pretending the recovery schedule is already settled. |
| 154 | Jalen McMillan | TB | WR | 62 | 11 | 158.2 | +4.2 | ▲ 5 | — | McMillan's interrupted season ended with seven catches for 114 yards in Week 17. His rookie year had already supplied eight touchdowns. Godwin and Egbuka stand ahead in the likely target distribution, and McMillan's own health has complicated preparation. Forty-four catches across 14 projected games would give us something useful while the larger role remains unsettled. That's enough to retain late interest in a receiver with demonstrated scoring ability, even if the ordinary weeks begin with a modest third-receiver assignment. |
| 155 | Dylan Sampson | CLE | RB | 55 | 11 | 158.8 | +3.8 | NEW | — | Sampson offers Cleveland a receiving complement behind Judkins. The lead runner's 3.6 yards per carry leaves room for the backfield to improve, with more than one player capable of helping. I want Sampson late because passing work provides a plausible route to touches before any injury changes the depth chart. Cleveland can make those opportunities frustrating. A young back with an identifiable assignment is still useful company near the end of a draft. |
| 156 | Terrance Ferguson | LAR | TE | 18 | 11 | 156 | 0 | â–Ľ 7 | TARGET | Ferguson's 11 rookie catches produced 231 yards and three touchdowns. A 21.0-yard receiving average is unusual company for a tight end. The Rams' heavy-personnel usage gives him ways onto the field without removing both star receivers. Parkinson and Higbee still compete for snaps, and Ferguson's summer practice interruptions deserve monitoring. Send him up the seam once or twice. At this price, I can live with the afternoons when Stafford chooses a different throw. |
| 157 | Tre Tucker | LV | WR | 63 | 11 | 153 | -4 | NEW | — | Tucker caught 57 passes for 696 yards and five touchdowns in an offense that rarely made receiving easy. Las Vegas still lists him with the starters, now under Kubiak. Bowers will command plenty of throws, and Nailor gives the receiver group another established option. Tucker could meet his 50-catch projection while taking a smaller helping than last season. Near the end of a draft, I'll take regular routes before asking for an elaborate breakout story. |
| 158 | Malik Davis | DAL | RB | 56 | 11 | 159.4 | +1.4 | NEW | — | Dallas kept Davis behind Javonte Williams and added Demercado as another reserve. That leaves a recognizable path to more work, with little standalone volume while Williams leads. The projection remains modest, and Tyler Smith's expected absence weakens the early blocking. I would draft Davis as an inexpensive reserve and keep the opening lineup expectations modest. The opportunity becomes valuable if Dallas needs him for substantially more than relief carries. |
| 159 | Brenton Strange | JAX | TE | 19 | 11 | 155.2 | -3.8 | ▼ 6 | — | Strange caught 46 passes for 540 yards in 12 games, and 28 of those catches moved the chains. Jacksonville has reason to keep that reliable work in its offense. Washington, Thomas, and Meyers leave limited room for a commanding target share. I like Strange near 155.2 ADP for the routes and useful catches already demonstrated. His largest weeks will probably require a touchdown or an unusually generous distribution of targets. |
| 160 | Kaelon Black | SF | RB | 57 | 11 | 151.8 | -8.2 | ▼ 4 | — | Black is a late bet on work behind McCaffrey, whose previous season required 413 touches. San Francisco would make a larger assignment attractive, but the rookie hasn't earned one yet. Receiving work and pass protection will help determine whether he stays on the field when needed. I want him at the end of the board, where a contingent rushing opportunity can justify the patience without pretending ordinary weekly touches are already available. |
The approach: Season-long roles, receiving opportunity, efficiency and durability drive the order. Brief Week 1 interruptions receive modest weight. Tiers group comparable draft choices; tags express conviction at the listed market price. Quarterbacks assume one-QB leagues.
Sources: The latest supplied full-PPR boards from Justin Boone and Matt Harmon, Josh Larky’s cheat sheet, Dataroma’s latest export, the supplied Norris and Pianowski boards, Fantasy Points projections and current reporting. Projection figures in the notes use the supplied corrected full-PPR file; they are forecasts, not guaranteed totals or newly recomputed injury estimates. All ADP values preserve the exact REAL-TIME column of the supplied September 7 FantasyPros snapshot.
