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MLB Betting Splits and Odds for Thursday, August 27

MLB Betting Splits and Odds for Thursday, August 27

Updated:

By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s MLB betting splits and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages for every game on Thursday’s slate, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.


Today’s MLB Slate

GameTime (ET)MoneylineTotal
COL @ WAS1:05 PMWAS -136 / COL +126O/U 10
BAL @ STL2:15 PMBAL -119 / STL +111O/U 8
HOU @ NYY7:05 PMNYY -154 / HOU +143O/U 8
KC @ TOR7:07 PMTOR -102 / KC -105O/U 8
MIL @ NYM7:10 PMMIL -193 / NYM +179O/U 7
LAD @ ATL7:15 PMATL -119 / LAD +111O/U 6.5
ARI @ SF9:45 PMSF -103 / ARI -105O/U 8

Best Bets for Thursday’s MLB Slate

  • Astros +1.5 Run Line (-155): The largest handle-vs-bet gap on the board at 53 points. Only 42% of bets but 95% of handle, indicating significant sharp action on Houston staying within a run against Cole.
  • Dodgers Moneyline (+111): Sharp money is piling onto Los Angeles with 89% of handle despite just 57% of tickets. Yamamoto’s 0.897 WHIP and 24.9% K rate present an elite matchup against Atlanta.
  • Gerrit Cole OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-124): Cole has cleared this line in 7 of his last 10 starts. His 26.6% K rate and home environment at Yankee Stadium support the over at a reasonable price.
  • Nationals -1.5 (+144): Washington draws 96% of handle on only 49% of bets at plus money. Sharp confidence in the home favorite covering against a struggling Hughes (6.54 ERA, 0-5 record).

Rockies at Nationals Odds and Splits

MarketHome (WAS)Away (COL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-136+12671% / 29%90% / 10%
Run Line-1.5 (+144)+1.5 (-175)49% / 51%96% / 4%
TotalOver 10 (-105)Under 10 (-115)72% / 28%67% / 33%

Pitching Matchup

StatJake Irvin (WAS)Gabriel Hughes (COL)
Record2-80-5
ERA5.826.54
WHIP1.3581.359
K%22.4%18.9%
HR/91.630.84

Two struggling pitchers drive the slate’s highest total at 10. Sharp money backs Washington at -1.5 despite Irvin’s inflated ERA, suggesting confidence in the home team’s lineup exploiting Hughes’ low K rate and rocky season debut.


Orioles at Cardinals Odds and Splits

MarketHome (STL)Away (BAL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+116-12433% / 67%47% / 53%
Run Line+1.5 (-157)-1.5 (+130)54% / 46%12% / 88%
TotalOver 8 (-108)Under 8 (-112)65% / 35%66% / 34%

Pitching Matchup

StatGordon Graceffo (STL)Trevor Rogers (BAL)
Record7-19-8
ERA3.134.14
WHIP1.1211.236
K%15.0%20.5%
HR/90.710.95

Graceffo (RHP) moves from the bullpen to make his first start of 2026 after 52 relief appearances. His 3.13 ERA and 1.121 WHIP are strong, but a 15.0% K rate and untested stamina as a starter add uncertainty. Handle shifted from sharp STL lean to a near coin-flip (47%/53%) after the starter swap. BAL -1.5 still draws 88% of handle. Tyler O’Neill (BAL) remains on the 10-day IL.


Astros at Yankees Odds and Splits

MarketHome (NYY)Away (HOU)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-154+14383% / 17%69% / 31%
Run Line-1.5 (+128)+1.5 (-155)58% / 42%5% / 95%
TotalOver 8 (-119)Under 8 (-102)46% / 54%50% / 50%

Pitching Matchup

StatGerrit Cole (NYY)Hayden Wesneski (HOU)
Record7-63-1
ERA3.114.23
WHIP1.0681.229
K%26.6%19.5%
HR/91.170.65

Despite 83% of public tickets on the Yankees, sharps are overwhelmingly loading Houston’s Run Line at 95% handle. Giancarlo Stanton (60-day IL) remains out. Wesneski’s low HR/9 of 0.65 could limit damage in the Bronx.


Royals at Blue Jays Odds and Splits

MarketHome (TOR)Away (KC)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-102-10556% / 44%71% / 29%
Run Line+1.5 (-175)-1.5 (+144)94% / 6%75% / 25%
TotalOver 8 (-118)Under 8 (-102)71% / 29%89% / 11%

Pitching Matchup

StatSpencer Arrighetti (TOR)Noah Cameron (KC)
Record0-18-8
ERA8.104.02
WHIP1.5001.214
K%26.7%21.3%
HR/92.700.88

Arrighetti’s early struggles with Toronto (8.10 ERA, 2.70 HR/9) support the Over lean, which draws 89% of handle. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. recently returned from the IL, boosting Toronto’s lineup.


Brewers at Mets Odds and Splits

MarketHome (NYM)Away (MIL)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline+179-19315% / 85%14% / 86%
Run Line+1.5 (-112)-1.5 (-107)26% / 74%14% / 86%
TotalOver 7 (-114)Under 7 (-105)91% / 9%99% / 1%

Pitching Matchup

StatSean Manaea (NYM)Jacob Misiorowski (MIL)
Record4-513-5
ERA4.311.68
WHIP1.3080.759
K%23.1%39.3%
HR/91.460.81

Misiorowski has been the most dominant pitcher in baseball this season with a sub-1.00 WHIP and a league-leading 39.3% K rate. Public and sharp money align on Milwaukee, while a near-unanimous 99% handle on Over 7 signals consensus that Manaea’s 1.46 HR/9 creates enough offense to clear the total.


Dodgers at Braves Odds and Splits

MarketHome (ATL)Away (LAD)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-119+11143% / 57%11% / 89%
Run Line-1.5 (+177)+1.5 (-217)56% / 44%0% / 100%
TotalOver 6.5 (-110)Under 6.5 (-110)64% / 36%34% / 66%

Pitching Matchup

StatChris Sale (ATL)Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)
Record12-912-7
ERA2.202.61
WHIP1.0300.897
K%30.6%24.9%
HR/90.530.89

Thursday’s sharpest game. Dodgers attract 89% of handle on only 57% of tickets, and a perfect 100% of Run Line handle. Two elite arms (combined sub-3.00 ERA) produce the slate’s lowest total at 6.5, with Under drawing 66% of handle. This is a clear sharp-vs-public split favoring Los Angeles.


Diamondbacks at Giants Odds and Splits

MarketHome (SF)Away (ARI)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-103-10542% / 58%30% / 70%
Run Line+1.5 (-184)-1.5 (+151)86% / 14%82% / 18%
TotalOver 8 (-107)Under 8 (-112)73% / 27%97% / 3%

Pitching Matchup

StatLanden Roupp (SF)Jose Cabrera (ARI)
Record7-130-2
ERA4.345.60
WHIP1.3141.528
K%22.6%14.8%
HR/90.671.53

Handle sides with Arizona (70%) despite the near-pick’em pricing. Over draws 97% of money, driven by Cabrera’s 1.53 HR/9, 14.8% K rate and 1.528 WHIP. Willy Adames (SF) is on the IL, weakening San Francisco’s middle-of-the-order production.


Notable Player Props

  • Gerrit Cole (NYY) Strikeouts Thrown O/U 5.5 (-124 / -103) — over in 7 of last 10 starts
  • Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) Strikeouts Thrown O/U 8.5 (-118 / -108) — has not recorded fewer than 6 Ks in any of his last 10 starts; 39.3% K rate leads MLB
  • Michael Harris II (ATL) Hits O/U 0.5 (-215 / +160) — recorded a hit in 9 of last 10 games
  • Spencer Jones (NYY) Hits O/U 0.5 (-144 / +108) — 1+ hits in 8 of last 10 games
  • Jordan Walker (STL) Hits O/U 0.5 (-238 / +176) — 1+ hits in 8 of last 10 games
  • Jackson Chourio (MIL) Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-106 / -125) — 1+ hits in 7 of last 10 games facing Manaea’s 1.46 HR/9

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