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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees prediction, pick for Sunday, 8/23/26

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees prediction, pick for Sunday, 8/23/26

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

Sunday’s loaded MLB afternoon slate features an American League East rubber match between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. 

The Yankees (73–56, 2nd AL East) took Friday’s opener, 3–1, before the Blue Jays (64–47, 4th AL East) responded with a 4–3 victory on Saturday. The teams have split 12 games heading into their final regular-season matchup.  

Looking at the pitching probables, we’ve got Toronto right-hander Jose Soriano (10–6, 3.23 ERA) taking on New York southpaw Carlos Rodon (4–2, 3.22 ERA).

First pitch is at 1:35 p.m. ET. The Yankees enter as 1.5-run home favorites with -135 moneyline odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays are +112 underdogs, with the game total set at O/U 7.5 runs.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Preview

Toronto Blue Jays

Even in victory, it’s clear that run production remains a serious problem for the Blue Jays. Despite piling up 15 hits on Saturday, they managed to plate only four runners. The reigning American League champions are liable for MLB’s fourth-lowest wRC+ in 2026, both overall and with runners in scoring position. 

Still, Toronto held on for a 4–3 win thanks to a masterful performance from Dylan Cease. Given their offensive woes, the club will likely need a similarly dominant performance from trade-deadline acquisition Jose Soriano. The former Angels right-hander has posted a strong 2.76 ERA in his first three starts (16.1 IP) with the Blue Jays. While he hasn’t faced the Yankees this year, Soriano spun seven shutout frames in the Bronx in June 2025 — against a lineup that included Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton.

New York Yankees

Amid a torrent of unfortunate injury news for the Yankees, they’ll catch a break Sunday afternoon in the form of a returning Cody Bellinger. The former MVP will look to strengthen an offense that has looked completely lost without Aaron Judge — one that has mustered just eight hits compared to 24 strikeouts across the first two games of this series. 

That type of offense places a ton of responsibility on Carlos Rodon. The veteran southpaw performed well in his first start back from the injured list, holding the Orioles to a run on two hits over four frames on a strict pitch limit. With a longer leash on Sunday, Rodon will look to capitalize against a similarly lifeless Toronto offense for a second time this season; he tossed five innings of one-run ball with seven strikeouts in his first try on May 21.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Pick, Best Bet

The Blue Jays and the Yankees are saddled with two of the most stagnant offenses in MLB — a stoppable force versus a moveable object. They have combined for fewer than 7.5 runs in eight of their 12 matchups this season, including five straight heading into Sunday afternoon. While Jose Soriano is no Dylan Cease, nor is Carlos Rodon a Cam Schlittler, both are respectable starters who are fully capable of moving down weak offenses. Expect another low-scoring affair in the final meeting between these American League East rivals. 

Best Bet: Under 7.5 Runs (-117)

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.