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Best fighter prop bets for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on Saturday, 8/22/26

Best fighter prop bets for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on Saturday, 8/22/26

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

A few weeks away from UFC 331 in Los Angeles, the promotion will first stop in California’s capital city for a Fight Night card in Sacramento.

The event is headlined by a middleweight clash between hometown favorite Anthony Hernandez and surging knockout artist Gregory Rodrigues. 

Hernandez enters as a -205 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, while Rodrigues is a +170 underdog. 

Here are the top fighter prop bets for Saturday night’s UFC event.

Best prop bets for UFC Sacramento

Reinier de Ridder Over 2.5 Takedowns (+100)

Reinier de Ridder makes his UFC light heavyweight debut on Saturday following a series of grueling weight cuts and consecutive losses. Even in defeat, the Dutch contender is a dangerous grappler, with 13 of his 21 career wins coming by submission. De Ridder averages 2.56 takedowns per 15 minutes and has landed multiple takedowns in five of his six trips to the Octagon. He has recorded three or more on two occasions, with a high of five in his Nov. 2024 debut.

A former 205-pound champion in ONE Championship, “RDR” will be looking to impose his smothering ground game with the added comfort of competing at his natural weight. He has a strong chance to do exactly that against fellow ex-middleweight Roman Dolidze. 

The Georgian veteran — who has also lost back-to-back bouts — is saddled with an abysmal 32 percent career takedown defense. In his second-most recent bout against Anthony Hernandez last August, Dolidze got taken down nine times on 11 attempts (81 percent accuracy) en route to a fourth-round submission defeat.

Anthony Wint by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 1 (-185)

Former New York Jets linebacker Anthony Wint has hit the ground running in MMA, going a perfect 7–0 with six stoppage wins — including five by knockout or TKO. He punched his ticket to the UFC by sacking Matt Adams in just 34 seconds on this season’s premiere of Dana White’s Contender Series

Wint makes his Octagon debut just 11 days later, now eyeing his fourth straight victory in under 40 seconds. While that may be an unrealistic expectation, there’s a strong chance that he secures a stoppage victory in the opening round. 

He enters as the heaviest favorite of the night (-1000 on DraftKings Sportsbook) against fellow newcomer Terrance Chatman. While a respectable prospect, “The Answer” has already been defeated on the regional scene (5–1). It seems as if Chatman is being used as a sacrificial lamb to produce another highlight-reel finish for his explosive adversary.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.