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MLB Best Bets for Mariners at Astros for Sunday Night Baseball 8/16/26

MLB Best Bets for Mariners at Astros for Sunday Night Baseball 8/16/26

Published:

By: Sean Barnard

Closing down tonight’s 15-game MLB slate, the Seattle Mariners will face off with the Houston Astros. This will be the third and final matchup of the series, after the two teams split the opening two games. Bryan Woo and Hunter Brown will take the ball for their respective squads tonight.

The Astros enter as -118 favorites and hold +164 odds on the -1.5 run line on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Mariners hold +110 odds of getting the victory, with the run total set at eight.

For each Major League Baseball matchup, DraftKings Sportsbook has a wide variety of batter and pitcher props on the board, so let’s take a look at my top plays from this fun Sunday night Mariners vs. Astros matchup.


Mariners at Astros Prop Bets for Sunday 8/16/26

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases (-109)

It has been a downright incredible season for Yordan Alvarez, and this is a great opportunity for the Triple Crown threat to continue adding to it. Alvarez is posting slash lines of .321/.436/.622 with a 1.058 OPS on the year, leading the major leagues in each individual category. He has tallied an American-League-leading 142 hits, 36 home runs, and 88 RBI. The four-time All-Star has tallied 275 total bases across his 122 games played.

Bryan Woo will be on the mound for the Mariners tonight. Alvarez has faced off with him four times in his career and is two-for-four with a home run. Woo also has struggled greatly on the road this season, with a 1-8 record and a 6.22 ERA in these opportunities. He has not needed any help to produce this year, and this is a matchup that plays to the Astros’ star’s favor. Expect him to find a friendly pitch to hit and tally over 1.5 total bases tonight.

Hunter Brown Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-120)

Hunter Brown will take the ball for the Astros tonight, and hasn’t quite had the season he desired. This will mark just the 13th start of the year for the 27-year-old. He enters this game with a 3-2 record, a 3.68 ERA, a 1.272 WHIP, and has tallied 67 strikeouts in 63.2 innings pitched. Brown has tallied over 5.5 strikeouts in just five of his 12 starts this year, although he has eclipsed this in two of his past four.

The former All-Star has faced off with the Mariners team in 91 at-bats already in his career. He has tallied 26 strikeouts in these opportunities, including 15 of these coming against Julio Rodriguez and Randy Arozarena. Brown finished last season with 206 total strikeouts in 185.1 innings pitched, tallying over 5.5 strikeouts in 19 of his 31 starts. While he battled some shoulder issues this season, the Astros star is beginning to return to the All-Star-caliber pitcher he has proven to be. Facing a lineup he has familiarity with and success against, expect him to build off of this. Seattle is averaging 8.56 strikeouts per game this season and 10.3 across their past three outings. Count on Brown to continue taking strides back toward the pitcher he has shown to be and deliver with over 5.5 strikeouts tonight.

Julio Rodriguez to Record 2+ Total Bases (+140)

It has been an underwhelming season by Julio Rodriguez’s sky-high standards, but he is making a late push to get back to his statistical norm. On the season overall, the three-time All-Star is slashing .259/.325/.426 with a .751 OPS. However, across his past 14 games, he is posting slash lines of .314/.426/.510 with a .936 OPS, with 16 hits and three home runs across this stretch. 

While Hunter Brown has tallied eight strikeouts across the 24 at-bats with Rodriguez, the Mariners star also has eight hits in these opportunities, including one home run, two doubles, and five RBI. He enters this game on a four-game hitting streak, including two hits in yesterday’s matchup. Even if Brown is chased early, this is an Astros bullpen that is posting a collective ERA of 3.98 and has allowed the fifth-most home runs in the MLB with 70 on the year. Count on Rodriguez to build off his recent hot streak and deliver with 2+ total bases tonight. Also keep him in mind as a home run target, which currently holds +527 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook.

If you combine these three Sunday night props into a Same Game Parlay, the odds stack up to a solid +700 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

You also can tail this bet and plenty of others in our MLB betting group here.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.