Looking for today’s MLB weather forecast? Below you’ll find every game with its weather risk, along with fantasy baseball and sports betting impacts for all 9 games on Thursday’s schedule.
Today’s MLB Weather Forecast
- Highest Weather Risk: Reds at White Sox in Chicago, where thunderstorms are expected to develop near first pitch with precipitation chances exceeding 50%.
- Expected Postponements: None expected, though the Field of Dreams game carries a persistent threat of evening thunderstorms that warrants close monitoring.
- Most Significant Wind: Yankee Stadium sees NW gusts near 20 mph blowing toward right field, modestly enhancing fly-ball carry for left-handed hitters.
- Primary Weather Story: A slow-moving storm system tracks through the upper Midwest, creating sustained thunderstorm chances in Chicago and eastern Iowa while the rest of Thursday’s slate enjoys largely clear conditions.
At-a-Glance Weather Table
| Matchup | First Pitch (ET) | Weather Risk | Rain % | Wind | Temp | Roof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians at Tigers | 1:10 p.m. | LOW | 2% | NE 3 mph | 83°F | Open |
| Pirates at Marlins | 1:10 p.m. | LOW | 25% | SE 7 mph | 90°F | Retractable |
| Mariners at Yankees | 1:35 p.m. | LOW | 15% | NW 10 mph | 83°F | Open |
| Reds at White Sox | 2:10 p.m. | MODERATE | 52% | E 7 mph | 78°F | Open |
| Red Sox at Blue Jays | 3:07 p.m. | LOW | 10% | Light | 80°F | Retractable |
| Cubs at Nationals | 4:05 p.m. | LOW | 3% | NW 7 mph | 91°F | Open |
| Phillies at Twins | 7:30 p.m. | MODERATE | 40% | E 10 mph | 73°F | Open |
| Rangers at Angels | 10:07 p.m. | LOW | 1% | SW 7 mph | 74°F | Open |
| Brewers at Dodgers | 10:10 p.m. | LOW | 0% | SW 9 mph | 70°F | Open |
MLB Games to Monitor for Weather
Reds at White Sox (2:10 p.m. ET)
Weather Risk: MODERATE
Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the Chicago metro area beginning around noon ET, placing first pitch directly within the storm window. Precipitation chances jump from 14% an hour before first pitch to 52% at game time and remain elevated through the middle innings. The main threat is a cluster of storms moving through from the west, with coverage gradually diminishing through the late afternoon. A brief interruption near the first pitch or early in the game appears plausible, though extended stoppages remain unlikely given the system’s progressive nature. Postponement risk is low.
Weather Timeline
- 1:00-2:00 p.m. ET — Isolated showers develop; coverage still limited (10-14%)
- 2:00-3:00 p.m. ET — Storms increase rapidly; precipitation jumps to 50%+ as cells move through
- 4:00-5:00 p.m. ET — Peak window; thunderstorm chance remains elevated (47-51%)
- 6:00-7:00 p.m. ET — Gradual weakening; storms push east, but activity lingers (47-50%)
- 8:00 p.m. ET — Conditions slowly improve though isolated activity possible
Phillies at Twins (7:30 p.m. ET) — Field of Dreams, Dyersville, Iowa
Weather Risk: MODERATE
The marquee Netflix broadcast at the Field of Dreams faces a persistent thunderstorm threat throughout the evening. Precipitation chances hold at 38-45% from first pitch through the middle innings, rising to 56% late in the game with thunderstorms becoming likely. The open-air venue in eastern Iowa offers no weather protection. Storm timing remains the key variable; if cells develop earlier in the evening rather than later, an interruption before or during the early innings becomes a realistic scenario. The increasing thunder confidence later in the game adds risk that the final innings could be affected.
Weather Timeline
- 6:00-7:00 p.m. ET — Storms begin developing across the region; precipitation 40-43%
- 7:30 p.m. ET — First pitch; thunderstorm chance present (38-40%)
- 8:00-9:00 p.m. ET — Middle innings; storm probability remains steady (36-38%)
- 10:00-11:00 p.m. ET — Precipitation rises (39-42%) as additional cells develop
- 11:00 p.m.-12:00 a.m. ET — Storm threat escalates significantly; thunderstorms likely (56%)
Games Expected to Play in Favorable Weather
- Cubs at Nationals — Hot but entirely dry in Washington with precipitation chances at 3% and no thunderstorm risk.
- Rangers at Angels — Clear Southern California conditions with 1% precipitation and light winds.
- Guardians at Tigers — Warm with minimal cloud cover and virtually no rain chance at Comerica Park.
DFS and Betting Weather Notes
Reds at White Sox
Thunderstorm uncertainty at Guaranteed Rate Field creates meaningful DFS and betting risk. Starting pitchers face potential disruption from a mid-game interruption, and lineup locks before 2:10 p.m. ET carry the risk of a late start altering bullpen usage patterns. The easterly wind has minimal offensive impact at this venue. Consider the weather risk when evaluating pitcher workloads and total runs.
Phillies at Twins (Field of Dreams)
The escalating storm threat introduces unique roster-construction risk for the evening’s showcase game. DFS players should monitor radar closely before lineup lock. If storms hold off until late, the 73°F temperatures and moderate easterly breeze create a neutral offensive environment. The greater concern is a potential interruption compressing the game or forcing a suspension, which would disrupt any stacking strategy built around this matchup.
Mariners at Yankees
NW gusts approaching 20 mph blow toward the short right-field porch at Yankee Stadium. Combined with 83°F temperatures, conditions modestly enhance fly-ball carry for left-handed power hitters. The environment slightly favors aggressive offensive stacks targeting the short porch, though the wind effect is moderate rather than dramatic.
FAQs
Which MLB games have weather concerns today?
Every game on today’s slate is listed in the weather table above with its current forecast. Games rated MODERATE or HIGH weather risk are the ones most likely to experience interruptions. Today, the Reds at White Sox and Phillies at Twins at the Field of Dreams carry the most meaningful weather concerns, while all other matchups are expected to play uninterrupted.
What MLB stadiums have retractable roofs?
Seven MLB stadiums currently feature retractable roofs: Globe Life Field (Rangers), Chase Field (Diamondbacks), loanDepot Park (Marlins), American Family Field (Brewers), Rogers Centre (Blue Jays), T-Mobile Park (Mariners), and Daikin Park (Astros). Games at these venues typically carry LOW weather risk because the roof can close when conditions deteriorate.
How does weather affect MLB DFS lineups?
Weather influences DFS strategy primarily through wind (affecting home-run carry and offensive upside), precipitation (creating interruption risk that can shorten pitcher outings and shift bullpen usage), and temperature (warm air enhances ball carry while cold suppresses offense). The highest-impact weather variable for DFS is typically a strong outward wind at a hitter-friendly park.
How does wind affect MLB betting totals?
Wind blowing out toward the outfield can increase scoring and push totals higher, while strong inbound wind suppresses home runs and favors unders. Crosswinds generally have less predictable impact. The effect is strongest at weather-sensitive parks like Wrigley Field and Great American Ball Park, where 15+ mph outward gusts can meaningfully shift run expectations.
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