Looking for today’s New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners betting splits and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Best Yankees vs. Mariners Picks Today
- Mariners Moneyline (+116): Despite 77% of tickets on the Yankees, sharp money is fading New York with 67% of the Moneyline handle on Seattle. The Run Line tells the same story: 98% of handle on Mariners +1.5 against just 44% of bets.
- Bryce Miller OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-106): Miller has cleared this line in 6 of his last 10 starts, and the Yankees strike out at a 24.6% rate, the highest of any team on tonight’s slate.
Yankees vs. Mariners Odds
| Market | Yankees (Home) | Mariners (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -124 | +116 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+154) | +1.5 (-188) |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (-101) |
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yankees | 77% | 33% |
| Moneyline | Mariners | 23% | 67% |
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | 56% | 2% |
| Run Line | Mariners +1.5 | 44% | 98% |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 30% | 31% |
| Total | Under 8.5 | 70% | 69% |
This is a textbook sharp-vs-public fade. The public is loading up on the Yankees (77% of tickets), but sharp bettors are overwhelmingly backing Seattle, with 67% of Moneyline handle and 98% of Run Line handle on the Mariners.
Yankees vs. Mariners Stats
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Will Warren (NYY) | Bryce Miller (SEA) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-6 | 4-6 |
| ERA | 4.18 | 3.08 |
| WHIP | 1.368 | 0.949 |
| K% | 23.0% | 25.8% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Yankees | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 3.28 | 3.79 |
| WHIP | 1.172 | 1.204 |
| K/9 | 9.08 | 8.65 |
| K/BB | 2.89 | 2.72 |
| OBA | .224 | .233 |
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Yankees | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .230 | .228 |
| OBP | .314 | .305 |
| SLG | .406 | .376 |
| ISO | .176 | .148 |
| OPS | .720 | .681 |
| K% | 24.6% | 22.9% |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Bryce Miller’s dominance: Miller carries a 0.949 WHIP and 3.08 ERA into Yankee Stadium. He has struck out 5+ batters in 6 of his last 10 starts, and New York’s 24.6% K rate is the highest he will have faced this week.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs. Miller: Chisholm is 2-for-5 (1.000 OPS) in his career against Miller, a small-sample BvP edge worth monitoring at the plate tonight.
- Seattle’s losing skid: The Mariners enter on a 5-game losing streak and are 3-7 in their last 10. Sharp money backing them here suggests the line has overcorrected on recency bias.
DraftKings Player Props
- Bryce Miller Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (-106 / -120) — Has gone over this line in 6 of his last 10 starts against lineups with high K rates.
- Will Warren Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (-144 / +112) — Has cleared 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 outings; the heavy juice reflects the Yankees’ ability to generate whiffs.
- Cal Raleigh To Hit a Home Run (+272) — Raleigh carries elite power numbers and the shortest HR odds among position players in this matchup.
DraftKings Featured Parlays
Favorites Flex (+1204)
Back the home favorites to sweep the evening slate:
- NY Yankees to Win (vs SEA)
- BOS Red Sox to Win (@ TOR)
- ATL Braves to Win (vs NYM)
- CHI White Sox to Win (vs CIN)
- LA Dodgers to Win (vs KC)
Donut Delivery (+1088)
Back a scoreless first inning across the slate:
- CLE @ DET: No Runs 1st Inning
- PIT @ MIA: No Runs 1st Inning
- CHC @ WAS: No Runs 1st Inning
- SEA @ NYY: No Runs 1st Inning
FAQs
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
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