Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s full slate: Pete Crow-Armstrong, Francisco Lindor and Jake Bauers.
Let’s break them down.
Best MLB Home Run Bets Today
| Best MLB Home Run Bets Today | Odds | Why I Like the Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | +332 | Jake Irvin has come off the IL and immediately surrendered three home runs in just 10.1 innings of work. Remember, Irvin gave up the most long balls of any pitcher in the sport in 2025 (38) — that includes 2.32 home runs per nine specifically to LHBs. Meanwhile, Crow-Armstrong is red-hot since the All-Star break, having hit five homers in that span of time with a massive .326 ISO. |
| Francisco Lindor | +407 | When New York last saw Martin Perez on July 27, Lindor started the game with a triple and a home run in his first two at-bats. Not too shabby. For his career, Lindor is 11-for-25 off Perez with a 1.213 OPS. He owns him. Lindor is also slashing .286/.375/.549 with a 156 wRC+ since the Midsummer Classic. He’s finally looking like himself again. |
| Jake Bauers | +426 | Bauers is the lone Brewer with at least 20 long balls in 2026. Let’s not downplay a career-year, though. Bauers also possesses a 96th percentile hard hit rate (53.6%) thanks to 95th percentile bat speed (76.7). He’s legit. Now he’ll get to square-off with the struggling Walker Buehler, who has allowed opposing LHBs to hit 2.25 home runs per nine with a .620 slugging percentage since the beginning of July. |
In-depth analysis below.
Top MLB Home Run Props Today
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1+ Home Run (+332)
There’s nothing wrong with being consistent. That’s what I would tell Jake Irvin, who has come off the IL and immediately surrendered three home runs in just 10.1 innings of work. The right-hander has missed a majority of 2026 due to injury, but let’s not forget 2025, when Irvin gave up the most long balls of any pitcher in the sport (38) — that includes 2.32 home runs per nine specifically to LHBs. This should all be music to the ears of PCA, who is in the midst of an MVP-caliber campaign. Crow-Armstrong is also red-hot since the All-Star break, having hit five homers in that span of time with a massive .326 ISO. Why not make it six on Tuesday night?
Francisco Lindor 1+ Home Run (+407)
It’s been a weird recent run for Martin Perez. The 35-year-old has allowed zero earned runs in three of his last five starts, but both blemishes have been against the Mets, who have touched him up for 14 hits and seven earned runs in 9.1 innings of work. Not surprisingly, Lindor has been at the center of the action. In fact, when New York last saw Perez on July 27, Lindor started the game with a triple and a home run in his first two at-bats. Not too shabby. For his career, Lindor is 11-for-25 off Perez with a 1.213 OPS. Not buying into the BvP numbers? Not to worry. Just embrace the fact that Lindor is on absolute fire since the All-Star break. In his 104 plate appearances since the Midsummer Classic, the shortstop is slashing .286/.375/.549 with a 156 wRC+. Lindor is finally looking healthy and like himself. That’s a dangerous bat no matter who he’s facing on the mound.
Jake Bauers 1+ Home Run (+426)
If you’re going to pick a Brewers’ bat to go deep, it kind of has to be Bauers, right? Milwaukee is amazing at so, so many things, yet it does come into Tuesday’s action ranking dead-last in MLB in home runs (110). Knowing that, it probably won’t come as a shock when I tell you that Bauers is the lone Brewer with at least 20 long balls in 2026. Let’s not downplay a career-year, though. Bauers also possesses a 96th percentile hard hit rate (53.6%) thanks to 95th percentile bat speed (76.7). He’s legit. Now he’ll get to square-off with the struggling Walker Buehler, who happens to be pitching to a robust 8.31 ERA since the beginning of July. It’s a span where Buehler is allowing opposing LHBs to hit 2.25 home runs per nine with a .620 slugging percentage. That’s a problem.
