Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.
Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Monday’s west coast heavy slate: Wilyer Abreu, Gunnar Henderson and Junior Caminero.
Let’s break them down.
Best MLB Home Run Bets Today
| Best MLB Home Run Bets Today | Odds | Why I Like the Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +298 | In his last six games, Abreu has racked up four long balls and four multi-hit performances. Now he’ll get to face Jameson Taillon. Among all pitchers with 80 innings thrown in 2026, Taillon is surrendering the most home runs per nine (2.93) and owns the highest HR/FB ratio (21.5%). He’s also got a first percentile opponent barrel rate (15.2%). |
| Gunnar Henderson | +418 | Dean Kremer will make his first start against his former team on Monday evening. The former Oriole owns a 5.93 ERA and he’s conceded a whopping 2.63 opponent home runs per nine so far this season. There haven’t been many redeeming qualities to Henderson’s 2026 campaign, yet he has retained his ability to go deep. He’s got 18 long balls on the year — the most of any Baltimore left-handed bat. |
| Junior Caminero | +209 | Utilizing his 100th percentile bat speed (79.8), Caminero has launched 78 home runs since the beginning of last season, the third-most in baseball. Specific to this year, Caminero also sports 96th percentile marks in both expected slugging (.513) and average exit velocity (93.0). Jacob Lopez is in tough pitching at Sutter Heath Park, where the lefty owns a 6.61 ERA and has given up 1.72 opponent homers per nine. |
In-depth analysis below.
Top MLB Home Run Props Today
Wilyer Abreu 1+ Home Run (+298)
First and foremost, after a prolonged slump, Abreu is starting to turn things around. In his last six games, the outfielder has racked up four long balls and four multi-hit performances. There’s nothing wrong with hunting a little recency bias when it comes to home runs. However, the main draw on Monday night is Abreu’s matchup. With Trey Yesavage (knee) on the IL, Jameson Taillon would appear to have a pretty secure spot in the Blue Jays rotation for the time being. That’s great news for opposing hitters. Among all pitchers with 80 innings thrown in 2026, Taillon is surrendering the most home runs per nine (2.93) and owns the highest HR/FB ratio (21.5%). He’s also got a first percentile opponent barrel rate (15.2%), so it’s not like any of these struggles are a fluke.
Gunnar Henderson 1+ Home Run (+418)
How could I not? After being traded just before this year’s deadline, Dean Kremer will make his first start against his former team on Monday evening, as the Twins and the Orioles square-off in Minnesota. If you’d like to know why Baltimore was so willing to part ways with the RHP, look no further than Kremer’s 5.93 ERA or the fact he’s conceded a whopping 2.63 opponent home runs per nine so far this season. Kremer’s also long had his struggles with opposing LHBs, which is where Gunnar Henderson comes into the picture. There haven’t been many redeeming qualities to Henderson’s horrific 2026 campaign, yet he has retained his ability to go deep. He’s got 18 long balls on the year — the most of any Orioles’ left-handed bat.
Junior Caminero 1+ Home Run (+209)
Look, if you’re big fish hunting, there are other options on the Rays’ roster with longer odds. Yandy Diaz (+398) has consistently shown 20 home run per season pop across his career, while Ryan Vilade (+477) has six long balls and a .234 ISO against LHPs so far in 2026. But let’s be serious. Caminero is the safest bet of the bunch. Utilizing his 100th percentile bat speed (79.8), Caminero has launched 78 home runs since the beginning of last season, the third-most in baseball, trailing only Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani. Specific to this year, Caminero also sports 96th percentile marks in both expected slugging (.513) and average exit velocity (93.0). Jacob Lopez has his work cut out for him tonight, especially pitching at Sutter Heath Park, where the lefty owns a 6.61 ERA and has given up 1.72 opponent homers per nine.
