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Cubs vs. Dodgers Betting Splits and Odds for Tuesday, August 4

Cubs vs. Dodgers Betting Splits and Odds for Tuesday, August 4

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By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers betting splits and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.


Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds

MarketCubs (Home)Dodgers (Away)
Moneyline+169-206
Run Line+1.5 (+105)-1.5 (-126)
TotalOver 9 (+101)Under 9 (-122)

The Dodgers are -206 road favorites behind Tarik Skubal, while the Cubs counter with Javier Assad at +169. The total is set at O/U 9 with the Under juiced to -122.

DraftKings Betting Splits

MarketSideBets %Handle %
MoneylineCubs13%10%
MoneylineDodgers87%90%
Run LineCubs +1.549%40%
Run LineDodgers -1.551%60%
TotalOver 942%6%
TotalUnder 958%94%

The sharpest signal in this game sits on the Under, where 94% of the handle is backing Under 9 despite only 58% of tickets landing there. That 36-point gap between handle and bets is the largest divergence on the board, indicating significant professional money on the Under behind Skubal. The Dodgers Moneyline is also drawing heavy sharp action with 90% of the handle on 87% of tickets.


Cubs vs. Dodgers Stats

Starting Pitcher Stats

StatJavier Assad (CHC)Tarik Skubal (LAD)
Record6-17-5
ERA3.752.79
WHIP1.1630.910
FIP4.822.60
xFIP4.362.50
WAR0.032.93
K%17.0%31.0%
BB%6.0%3.7%
HR/91.550.93

Team Pitching Stats

StatCubsDodgers
ERA4.093.70
WHIP1.2531.151
K/97.829.11
K/BB2.602.91
OBA.244.217

Team Batting Stats

StatCubsDodgers
AVG.248.262
OBP.339.340
SLG.414.432
ISO.166.170
OPS.753.772
K%21.8%20.5%

Key Matchup Numbers

  • Skubal dominance: Tarik Skubal carries a 31.0% strikeout rate with just a 3.7% walk rate this season, and his 0.910 WHIP ranks among the best in baseball. His strikeout prop is set at 8+ (-127), reflecting his elite ceiling against a Cubs lineup that strikes out at a 21.8% clip.
  • Home split leaders: Pete Crow-Armstrong (.964 OPS, 12 HR at home) and Seiya Suzuki (.932 OPS, 10 HR at home) power the Cubs lineup at Wrigley Field. Both present the most credible threat to Skubal in this matchup.
  • Freeman on the road: Freddie Freeman leads Dodgers road split leaders with a 1.006 OPS and .343 average away from home, while Max Muncy (.914 OPS, 11 HR on the road) provides additional thump in the middle of the order.
  • Assad’s HR vulnerability: Javier Assad allows 1.55 HR/9, a red flag against a Dodgers lineup featuring Shohei Ohtani (Total Bases O/U 1.5, Over -123), Freeman, and Muncy. His 4.82 FIP suggests his 3.75 ERA is due for regression.
  • Dodgers rotation depth decimated: Los Angeles has Tyler Glasnow (back), Blake Snell (elbow), Bobby Miller (shoulder), Gavin Stone (shoulder), and Kris Bubic (elbow) all on the 60-day IL, making Skubal even more critical to its pitching staff.

DraftKings Player Props

  • Tarik Skubal Strikeouts Thrown 8+ (-127)
  • Tarik Skubal Outs O/U 18.5 (Over +112 / Under -148)
  • Javier Assad Strikeouts Thrown O/U 3.5 (Over +102 / Under -130)
  • Javier Assad Hits Allowed O/U 5.5 (Over +111 / Under -148)
  • Shohei Ohtani Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over -123 / Under -108)
  • Freddie Freeman Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over -101 / Under -131)
  • Kyle Tucker Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over +129 / Under -173)
  • Mookie Betts Hits O/U 0.5 (Over -249 / Under +184)

K Ladder (+1520)

Pitcher strikeout parlay across Tuesday’s slate:

  • Tarik Skubal 8+ Strikeouts
  • Logan Henderson 7+ Strikeouts
  • Trey Yesavage 6+ Strikeouts
  • Hayden Wesneski 5+ Strikeouts

Business Trip (+1127)

Away team Moneyline parlay for Tuesday:

  • NY Mets to Win (@ CLE)
  • Athletics to Win (@ CIN)
  • MIN Twins to Win (@ KC)
  • LA Dodgers to Win (@ CHC)

Raise the W (+950)

Cubs upset SGP with key hitters delivering:

  • CHI Cubs to Win (vs LAD)
  • Seiya Suzuki 1+ RBI
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong 1+ Hit
  • Nico Hoerner 1+ Hit

Betting Splits Summary

MetricCubs / OverDodgers / Under
ML Handle10%90%
ML Bets13%87%
RL Handle40%60%
RL Bets49%51%
Total Handle6%94%
Total Bets42%58%

FAQs

What are MLB betting splits?

Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.

What is the difference between bets and handle?

Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.

How do betting splits identify sharp money?

Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.

Should you follow betting splits?

Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.

How often do DraftKings betting splits update?

DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.

What is the best bet for Cubs vs. Dodgers?

The Under 9 (-122) is drawing the sharpest action in this game, commanding 94% of the handle on just 58% of tickets. Tarik Skubal’s elite strikeout rate (31.0% K%) and sub-1.00 WHIP make him a strong suppressor of Cubs offense, while Javier Assad limits walks (6.0% BB%) despite his homer issues. The Dodgers -1.5 (-126) also shows sharp lean with 60% of the handle on 51% of the bets, offering value if Skubal dominates as expected.