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Best A’ja Wilson Prop Bet for Aces vs. Dream on Monday 8/3/26

Best A’ja Wilson Prop Bet for Aces vs. Dream on Monday 8/3/26

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By: Alex Hunter

The Aces are visiting the Dream on Monday. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Atlanta is favored by 1.5 points and this game carries a total of 184.5 points.

Let’s take a look at the top A’ja Wilson prop bet for Monday’s contest.

Best A’ja Wilson Prop Bet on DraftKings Sportsbook

A’ja Wilson O 26.5 Points (-111)

Wilson was held to 20 points in her lone matchup vs. the Dream this season back on May 17th, but she isn’t going to have another performance like this tonight. Things were different for the Aces in that first matchup vs. Atlanta, as Chennedy Carter was still with the team. The ball-dominant guard scored 20 points on a team-high 13 shots in that contest, which was one more attempt than Wilson put up.

Carter was seeing a 26% usage rate before the Aces waived her last month. Much speculation pointed toward locker-room issues as a factor in that decision, but either way, she won’t be on the floor to take shots from Wilson’s workload this time around.

With Carter out of the picture, Wilson has been dominating and running away with the MVP award. In her first eight games since Carter was waived, Wilson is averaging 29.3 PPG with a 34.6% usage rate, which is a huge upgrade from the 31.8% usage rate she saw in her first 19 games of the season.

Wilson has topped 26.5 points in five-of-eight games since Carter was released, including three efforts of 33+ points in her last four. Wilson’s incredible play has moved her to a -400 favorite to win MVP on DraftKings Sportsbook, which would be her fifth time winning the award.

The Dream rank fourth in defensive rating this season, but Wilson is a matchup-proof player and should surpass 26.5 points tonight, particularly with the Aces coming off a loss. When coming off a defeat this season, Wilson has cleared 26.5 points in four-of-seven games.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.