Looking for today’s Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds
| Market | Cubs (Home) | Yankees (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | −127 |
| Run Line | +1.5 (−173) | -1.5 (+143) |
| Total | Over 6.5 (−114) | Under 6.5 (−106) |
New York is a modest road favorite at −127 on the Moneyline, implying roughly 56% win probability. The Run Line prices the Yankees at -1.5 (+143), while the total is set at O/U 6.5 with the Over slightly juiced at −114.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cubs | 30% | 74% |
| Moneyline | Yankees | 70% | 26% |
| Run Line | Cubs +1.5 | 50% | 85% |
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | 50% | 15% |
| Total | Over 6.5 | 80% | 99% |
| Total | Under 6.5 | 20% | 1% |
Public Betting Trends
The Moneyline reveals a dramatic sharp-versus-public disconnect: 70% of tickets back the Yankees, but 74% of the handle sits on Chicago at +105. This large gap signals professional bettors are loading up on the home underdog. The Run Line confirms the sharp lean, with 85% of handle on Cubs +1.5 despite an even 50-50 ticket split. The Over 6.5 draws near-unanimous support at 99% of handle and 80% of tickets, making it one of the most one-sided totals on the board.
Cubs vs. Yankees Stats
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Colin Rea (CHC) | Gerrit Cole (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-7 | 4-5 |
| ERA | 4.68 | 3.57 |
| WHIP | 1.397 | 1.088 |
| FIP | 4.85 | 3.72 |
| xFIP | 4.72 | 3.70 |
| WAR | 0.35 | 1.26 |
| K% | 17.1% | 26.2% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.37 | 1.46 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Cubs | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 4.11 | 3.30 |
| WHIP | 1.259 | 1.179 |
| K/9 | 7.84 | 9.01 |
| K/BB | 2.58 | 2.95 |
| OBA | .244 | .225 |
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Cubs | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .248 | .233 |
| OBP | .339 | .311 |
| SLG | .413 | .412 |
| OPS | .752 | .723 |
| ISO | .165 | .179 |
| K% | 21.7% | 24.4% |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Cole owns the strikeout edge: Gerrit Cole carries a 26.2% K rate and 9.66 K/9 against Colin Rea’s modest 17.1% K rate and 6.69 K/9. Cole’s 5.0% walk rate and 1.088 WHIP show elite command, but he has been vulnerable to the long ball at 1.46 HR/9 this season.
- Cubs thrive at Wrigley: Pete Crow-Armstrong is slashing .301 with a .967 OPS and 12 home runs in 193 at-bats at home. Seiya Suzuki (.284 AVG, .913 OPS, 9 HR) and Ian Happ (.234 AVG, .820 OPS, 10 HR) provide additional pop from the home side. Chicago is 31-23 at Wrigley Field this season.
- Yankees missing key bats: Aaron Judge (rib, D60), Giancarlo Stanton (leg, D10), and Cody Bellinger (leg, D10) are all sidelined, stripping New York of its three most dangerous power threats. The lineup leans on Ben Rice (.278 AVG, .907 OPS, 15 HR on the road) and Paul Goldschmidt (.278 AVG, .824 OPS, 10 HR away).
- Rea’s efficiency in question: Colin Rea’s Outs O/U is set at 16.5 (Over −101 / Under −132), with his Earned Runs Allowed O/U at 1.5 (Over −164). The book expects Rea to allow runs early, and his 4.85 FIP supports the notion that his 4.68 ERA is earned.
- Sharp money floods the Cubs: Despite 70% of public tickets on New York, 74% of Moneyline handle and 85% of Run Line handle back Chicago. This is one of the sharpest contrarian signals on the board, with professional money clearly siding with the home underdog and the supportive Wrigley environment.
- Total nearly unanimous: The Over 6.5 commands 99% of handle, likely driven by Rea’s struggles (4.68 ERA, 1.397 WHIP) facing a Yankees lineup that ranks second in the AL in ISO (.179). Cole’s 1.46 HR/9 against a Cubs team featuring Crow-Armstrong and Suzuki adds to the Over case.
DraftKings Player Props
- Gerrit Cole Strikeouts Thrown O/U 6.5 (Over +105 / Under −134)
- Gerrit Cole Hits Allowed O/U 4.5 (Over −108 / Under −123)
- Gerrit Cole Earned Runs Allowed: 1 or Fewer (−103)
- Colin Rea Earned Runs Allowed O/U 1.5 (Over −164 / Under +123)
- Colin Rea Outs O/U 16.5 (Over −101 / Under −132)
- Jazz Chisholm Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −164 / Under +123)
- Seiya Suzuki Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −147 / Under +111)
- Alex Bregman Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −152 / Under +114)
DraftKings Featured Parlays
Pinstripe Power (+1000)
Take the Yankees to bounce back vs the Cubs on Sunday.
- NY Yankees to Win (@ CHC)
- Gerrit Cole 7+ Strikeouts
- Trent Grisham 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Ben Rice 1+ RBI
Cubbie Crew (+950)
Take the Cubs to get their 64th win of the season on Sunday.
- CHI Cubs to Win (vs NYY)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Seiya Suzuki 2+ Total Bases
- Nico Hoerner 1+ Hit
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Cubs / Over | Yankees / Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline Handle | 74% | 26% |
| Moneyline Bets | 30% | 70% |
| Run Line Handle | 85% | 15% |
| Run Line Bets | 50% | 50% |
| Total Handle | 99% | 1% |
| Total Bets | 80% | 20% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
MLB betting splits show the percentage of bets and handle (total money wagered) on each side of a market. They help bettors identify where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual wagers placed on a side, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests larger, sharper wagers.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
When the handle percentage on a side is significantly higher than the bet percentage, it indicates that fewer bettors are placing larger wagers. This gap typically signals professional or “sharp” money, as experienced bettors tend to wager more per ticket than the general public.
Should you follow betting splits?
Betting splits are one useful tool among many. They are most informative when combined with line movement, matchup analysis, and injury reports. A large handle-to-bet discrepancy can highlight value, but it should not be the sole factor in any wagering decision.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update in near real-time throughout the day as wagers are placed. Percentages can shift significantly in the hours leading up to first pitch as sharps and the public continue to place bets.
What is the best bet for Cubs vs. Yankees?
The sharp money indicator points toward Chicago on the Moneyline at +105, with 74% of handle backing the Cubs on just 30% of tickets. The Run Line amplifies this signal, with 85% of handle on Cubs +1.5 (−173) on an even 50-50 ticket split. Pete Crow-Armstrong (.967 OPS at home) and Seiya Suzuki (.913 OPS) anchor a lineup that has produced at Wrigley all season (31-23), while the Yankees are missing Judge, Stanton, and Bellinger from the lineup. The Over 6.5 also presents value with 99% of handle, as Rea’s 4.68 ERA faces a lineup built on power (ISO .179) and Cole’s 1.46 HR/9 is exploitable at Wrigley.
