Looking for today’s Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds
| Market | Cubs (Home) | Yankees (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -157 | +130 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+131) | +1.5 (-158) |
| Total | Over 9 (-115) | Under 9 (-105) |
Chicago is a solid -157 home favorite, implying roughly 61% win probability. The Cubs are giving 1.5 runs at +131 on the Run Line, while the total is set at O/U 9 with the Over slightly juiced to -115.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cubs | 60% | 59% |
| Moneyline | Yankees | 40% | 41% |
| Run Line | Cubs -1.5 | 42% | 77% |
| Run Line | Yankees +1.5 | 58% | 23% |
| Total | Over 9 | 35% | 78% |
| Total | Under 9 | 65% | 22% |
Public Betting Trends
The Moneyline splits are aligned at 60/59, but the Run Line and total reveal sharp divergence. On the Run Line, 77% of handle backs Cubs -1.5 despite only 42% of tickets, a 35-point gap signaling professional money expects Chicago to win comfortably. The total shows the same dynamic in reverse: 65% of bets favor the Under, yet 78% of handle is on the Over, indicating sharps see more scoring potential than the public anticipates at Wrigley Field.
Cubs vs. Yankees Stats
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Shota Imanaga (CHC) | Will Warren (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-8 | 7-5 |
| ERA | 3.72 | 4.41 |
| WHIP | 1.099 | 1.412 |
| FIP | 4.40 | 4.17 |
| xFIP | 3.93 | 3.89 |
| WAR | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| K% | 23.2% | 22.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 7.8% |
| HR/9 | 1.64 | 1.32 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Cubs | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 4.16 | 3.31 |
| WHIP | 1.265 | 1.182 |
| K/9 | 7.83 | 9.01 |
| K/BB | 2.56 | 2.94 |
| OBA | .245 | .226 |
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Cubs | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .249 | .233 |
| OBP | .340 | .312 |
| SLG | .415 | .413 |
| OPS | .755 | .725 |
| ISO | .166 | .180 |
| K% | 21.7% | 24.4% |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Sharp Run Line conviction on Cubs: With 77% of handle on Cubs -1.5 against just 42% of bets, professional bettors are confident Chicago wins by two or more runs. This 35-point gap between money and tickets is the strongest signal in this matchup and suggests sharps view Imanaga’s edge over Warren as decisive.
- Imanaga’s command advantage: Shota Imanaga’s 1.099 WHIP and 6.0% walk rate give him elite contact management compared to Will Warren’s 1.412 WHIP and 7.8% BB%. Imanaga has delivered 9 quality starts in 21 outings, while Warren has managed just 5 in 20 starts, making Chicago far more likely to control the game’s pace.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong dominates at home: Crow-Armstrong leads the Cubs with a .977 OPS and 12 home runs at Wrigley Field this season (186 AB, .306 AVG). His strikeout prop is set at Over 1.5 hits (+196), reflecting his consistent production against right-handed pitching at home.
- Aaron Judge absence reshapes Yankees lineup: New York is without Aaron Judge (rib, D60 since June 2), Giancarlo Stanton (leg, D10), and Cody Bellinger (leg, D10 since July 25). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is day-to-day with an undisclosed issue. Ben Rice (.918 OPS on the road, 15 HR) shoulders the primary power burden.
- Over handle at 78% despite public Under lean: The public favors Under 9 on 65% of tickets, but 78% of handle sits on the Over. At Wrigley Field in 79-degree weather with SSE winds, sharps appear to trust that Warren’s 4.41 ERA and 1.412 WHIP will generate enough baserunners for Chicago’s lineup to push this game past 9 runs.
- Cubs offensive edge across the board: Chicago holds advantages in batting average (.249 vs. .233), OBP (.340 vs. .312), and OPS (.755 vs. .725). The Cubs also strike out at a lower rate (21.7% vs. 24.4%), giving them more opportunities to put balls in play against Warren’s contact-vulnerable approach.
DraftKings Player Props
- Shota Imanaga Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (Over -141 / Under +111)
- Will Warren Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (Over -124 / Under -103)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong Hits O/U 1.5 (Over +196 / Under -267)
- Ben Rice Hits O/U 0.5 (Over -237 / Under +176)
- Ian Happ Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over +137 / Under -184)
- Alex Bregman Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over +146 / Under -196)
- Anthony Volpe Hits O/U 0.5 (Over -179 / Under +134)
DraftKings Featured Parlays
Basepath Bosses (+1614)
Four sluggers each reach two or more total bases across Friday games.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong 2+ Total Bases
- Ben Rice 2+ Total Bases
- Junior Caminero 2+ Total Bases
- Jordan Walker 2+ Total Bases
Friday Favorites (+1948)
Six home favorites sweep the Friday Moneyline slate.
- CHI Cubs to Win (vs NYY)
- PIT Pirates to Win (vs CIN)
- TOR Blue Jays to Win (vs STL)
- KC Royals to Win (vs COL)
- MIL Brewers to Win (vs LAA)
- SEA Mariners to Win (vs MIN)
No Place Like Home (+1913)
Six home teams win outright across the Friday board.
- CHI Cubs to Win (vs NYY)
- TOR Blue Jays to Win (vs STL)
- CLE Guardians to Win (vs ARI)
- TB Rays to Win (vs CWS)
- HOU Astros to Win (vs TEX)
- SEA Mariners to Win (vs MIN)
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Cubs / Over | Yankees / Under |
|---|---|---|
| ML Handle | 59% | 41% |
| ML Bets | 60% | 40% |
| RL Handle | 77% | 23% |
| RL Bets | 42% | 58% |
| Total Handle | 78% | 22% |
| Total Bets | 35% | 65% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
Should you follow betting splits?
Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
What is the best bet for Cubs vs. Yankees?
The sharpest action in this game points to Cubs -1.5 (+131) on the Run Line, where 77% of handle backs Chicago on just 42% of tickets. Shota Imanaga’s 1.099 WHIP and 9 quality starts in 21 outings give him a clear edge over Will Warren (1.412 WHIP, 5 quality starts in 20 outings). With the Yankees missing Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Cody Bellinger from the lineup, and Chicago’s offense holding a .755 OPS advantage over New York’s .725, the professional consensus appears to be that the Cubs win this game comfortably at Wrigley Field.
