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Cardinals vs. Cubs Betting Splits for Wednesday, July 29

Cardinals vs. Cubs Betting Splits for Wednesday, July 29

Published:

By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.


Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds

MarketCardinals (Home)Cubs (Away)
Moneyline−110−110
Run Line+1.5 (−186)-1.5 (+153)
TotalOver 8 (−107)Under 8 (−112)

This is a true pick’em on the Moneyline with both sides at −110. The Run Line heavily favors St. Louis at +1.5 (−186), reflecting the market’s expectation that the game stays close. The total is set at O/U 8 with slightly more juice on the Under.

DraftKings Betting Splits

MarketSideBets %Handle %
MoneylineCardinals23%80%
MoneylineCubs77%20%
Run LineCardinals +1.562%97%
Run LineCubs -1.538%3%
TotalOver 861%60%
TotalUnder 839%40%

The Moneyline reveals a massive sharp-money signal on the Cardinals: St. Louis is attracting 80% of the handle on only 23% of bets, a 57-point gap that represents one of the largest handle-to-ticket discrepancies on the board. The public is overwhelmingly siding with Chicago at 77% of tickets, but professional bettors are pounding the home side. The Run Line confirms the sharp lean, with 97% of the handle landing on Cardinals +1.5 against just 62% of tickets.


Cardinals vs. Cubs Stats

Starting Pitcher Stats

StatDustin May (STL)Matthew Boyd (CHC)
Record5-76-1
ERA4.593.81
WHIP1.3171.237
FIP3.163.64
xFIP3.853.95
WAR2.481.20
K%23.4%22.4%
BB%7.5%6.9%
HR/90.610.92

Team Pitching Stats

StatCardinalsCubs
ERA4.214.20
WHIP1.3481.266
K/97.777.81
K/BB2.302.55
OBA.255.245

Team Batting Stats

StatCardinalsCubs
AVG.239.250
OBP.315.341
SLG.380.417
ISO.141.167
OPS.695.758
K%20.3%21.8%

Key Matchup Numbers

  • Sharp money on Cardinals ML: St. Louis is drawing 80% of the Moneyline handle on only 23% of bets, a 57-point gap that ranks as one of the largest sharp-money signals on the Wednesday slate.
  • May’s underlying value: Dustin May’s 4.59 ERA looks mediocre, but his 3.16 FIP and 0.61 HR/9 suggest significant run prevention upside. His 2.48 WAR actually leads Boyd (1.20) despite the worse surface numbers, indicating the Cardinals starter has been unlucky rather than bad.
  • Boyd’s HR vulnerability: Matthew Boyd allows 0.92 HR/9, well above May’s 0.61 mark. Jordan Walker, who is hitting .289 with 9 home runs at home, represents a dangerous matchup for the fly-ball-prone left-hander.
  • Cubs road split leader: Pete Crow-Armstrong is slashing .266/.868 OPS with 11 home runs on the road this season. His Total Bases prop (Over 1.5, +132) and the “Raise the W” parlay both feature him prominently.
  • Injury edge: Chicago is missing Matt Shaw (hand, D10), Justin Steele (elbow, D60), Cade Horton (forearm, D60), and several bullpen arms. St. Louis has a shorter IL with Ramon Urias, Max Rajcic, and JoJo Romero sidelined.
  • Streaks and standings: The Cubs enter on a two-game winning streak at 61-46, while the Cardinals have dropped three straight and sit at 53-54. Chicago is 31-24 on the road compared to St. Louis’ 27-31 at home.

DraftKings Player Props

  • Dustin May Strikeouts: 5+ (−189), 6+ (+111), 7+ (+228)
  • Matthew Boyd Strikeouts: 5+ (−106), 6+ (+203), 7+ (+430)
  • Jordan Walker Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −244 / Under +177)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −243 / Under +176)
  • Seiya Suzuki Total Bases O/U 1.5 (Over +132 / Under −172)
  • Masyn Winn Hits O/U 0.5 (Over −194 / Under +148)

Raise the W (+1100)

Count on the Cubs to take down the Cardinals on Wednesday.

  • CHI Cubs to Win (@ STL)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong 1+ Home Run
  • Nico Hoerner 1+ Hit
  • Alex Bregman 1+ Hit

Time To Fly (+800)

Back the Cardinals to get their first win in the series against the Cubs.

  • STL Cardinals to Win (vs CHC)
  • Dustin May 6+ Strikeouts
  • Jordan Walker 3+ Hits + Runs + RBIs
  • JJ Wetherholt 1+ Hit

Base Collectors (+1779)

Bet these stars to tally 2+ total bases in Wednesday’s action.

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong 2+ Total Bases
  • Jose Ramirez 2+ Total Bases
  • Elly De La Cruz 2+ Total Bases
  • Nick Kurtz 2+ Total Bases

Set the Tone (+2828)

Take these matchups to be a shutout in the 1st inning on Wednesday.

  • NYY @ CWS: No Runs 1st Inning
  • KC @ MIN: No Runs 1st Inning
  • CHC @ STL: No Runs 1st Inning
  • BOS @ ATH: No Runs 1st Inning
  • SEA @ LAD: No Runs 1st Inning

Betting Splits Summary

MetricCardinals / OverCubs / Under
Moneyline Handle80%20%
Moneyline Bets23%77%
Run Line Handle97%3%
Run Line Bets62%38%
Total Handle60%40%
Total Bets61%39%

FAQs

What are MLB betting splits?

MLB betting splits show the percentage of bets and handle (total money wagered) on each side of a market. They help bettors identify where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.

What is the difference between bets and handle?

Bets refer to the number of individual wagers placed on a side, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests larger, sharper wagers.

How do betting splits identify sharp money?

When the handle percentage on a side is significantly higher than the bet percentage, it indicates that fewer bettors are placing larger wagers. This gap typically signals professional or “sharp” money, as experienced bettors tend to wager more per ticket than the general public.

Should you follow betting splits?

Betting splits are one useful tool among many. They are most informative when combined with line movement, matchup analysis, and injury reports. A large handle-to-bet discrepancy can highlight value, but it should not be the sole factor in any wagering decision.

How often do DraftKings betting splits update?

DraftKings betting splits update in near real-time throughout the day as wagers are placed. Percentages can shift significantly in the hours leading up to first pitch as sharps and the public continue to place bets.

What is the best bet for Cardinals vs. Cubs?

The sharp money indicator points toward the Cardinals Moneyline at −110. Only 23% of bets are on St. Louis, yet the club is attracting 80% of the total handle. That 57-point gap, confirmed by 97% of the Run Line handle landing on Cardinals +1.5, suggests professionals see significant value with the home side despite Chicago’s superior record and recent momentum.