Looking for today’s St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds
| Market | Cardinals (STL) | Reds (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -136 | +113 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+149) | +1.5 (-181) |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (-103) |
The Cardinals open as moderate home favorites at -136 on the Moneyline with the total set at O/U 8.5. St. Louis sends Kyle Leahy (7-4, 3.59 ERA) to the mound against Cincinnati’s Andrew Abbott (5-6, 3.89 ERA) for this Sunday afternoon matchup at Busch Stadium.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 74% | 31% |
| Moneyline | Reds | 26% | 69% |
| Run Line | Cardinals -1.5 | 55% | 0% |
| Run Line | Reds +1.5 | 45% | 100% |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 37% | 2% |
| Total | Under 8.5 | 63% | 98% |
Public Betting Trends
This game features one of the largest public-vs-sharp splits on the board. On the Moneyline, 74% of bets are backing the Cardinals, yet 69% of handle is on the Reds. The gap is even more dramatic on the Run Line, where 100% of the money wagered sits on Cincinnati +1.5 despite 55% of individual tickets landing on St. Louis -1.5. The total follows a similar pattern: 63% of bets favor the Under, and a massive 98% of handle confirms that sharp bettors are aggressively backing Under 8.5. Across all three markets, the larger, professional-level wagers are fading the public and siding with Cincinnati and the Under.
Cardinals vs. Reds Stats
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | Cardinals | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .240 | .229 |
| OBP | .316 | .308 |
| SLG | .382 | .397 |
| OPS | .698 | .705 |
| ISO | .142 | .168 |
| BABIP | .279 | .276 |
| K% | 20.4% | 24.7% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 9.4% |
| Runs | 463 | 427 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | Cardinals | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 4.13 | 4.55 |
| WHIP | 1.334 | 1.423 |
| K/9 | 7.70 | 8.16 |
| K/BB | 2.27 | 1.88 |
| OBA | .252 | .247 |
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Kyle Leahy (STL) | Andrew Abbott (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| ERA | 3.59 | 3.89 |
| WHIP | 1.353 | 1.396 |
| FIP | 4.01 | 4.71 |
| xFIP | 4.12 | 4.75 |
| WAR | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| K% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 10.4% |
| HR/9 | 0.944 | 1.297 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Sharp Money Lean: 69% of Moneyline handle on the Reds despite only 26% of bets, signaling professional action on Cincinnati at plus money.
- Run Line Consensus: 100% of Run Line handle backs the Reds +1.5, the strongest sharp indicator on the board.
- Total Pressure: 98% of handle on Under 8.5 with just 37% of tickets on the Over, pointing to confident sharp Under positions.
- Pitching Edge: Leahy holds a clear FIP advantage (4.01 vs. 4.71) and a tighter walk rate (8.1% vs. 10.4%), giving St. Louis the pitching matchup on paper.
- Power vs. Contact: Cincinnati owns the higher ISO (.168 vs. .142) and SLG (.397 vs. .382) but strikes out at a 24.7% clip compared to St. Louis at 20.4%.
- Records: Cardinals sit at 53-51 (3rd NL Central, W1) while the Reds are 48-55 (5th NL Central, L1).
Despite the Cardinals being the public favorite and holding a better record, the sharp money unanimously backs the Reds across every market. The combination of Cincinnati’s superior power numbers on the road (led by a .784 OPS from Sal Stewart in away games) and Abbott’s eight quality starts this season suggests the professional bettors see value at +113. With 98% of handle on the Under, sharps also expect a lower-scoring affair than the 94-degree weather and O/U 8.5 might suggest.
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Cardinals/Over | Reds/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline Bets % | 74% | 26% |
| Moneyline Handle % | 31% | 69% |
| Run Line Bets % | 55% | 45% |
| Run Line Handle % | 0% | 100% |
| Total Bets % | 37% | 63% |
| Total Handle % | 2% | 98% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
MLB betting splits show the percentage of bets and handle (money wagered) on each side of a market. They reveal how public bettors and sharp bettors are positioned on a game’s Moneyline, Run Line and total.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed on a side, while handle is the total dollar amount wagered. A small number of large wagers can move handle without moving the bet count, which is why the two percentages often diverge.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
When handle percentage significantly exceeds bet percentage on one side, it indicates that fewer bettors are placing larger wagers. These larger bets typically come from professional or “sharp” bettors who wager more per ticket than the general public.
Should you follow betting splits?
Betting splits are one useful data point among many. Sharp money indicators tend to be more reliable than public bet counts, but no single metric guarantees a winner. Splits work best when combined with matchup analysis, pitching data and situational context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings trending data updates throughout the day as bets are placed. The percentages can shift significantly in the hours before first pitch as late money comes in from professional bettors.
What is the best bet for Cardinals vs. Reds?
Based on the current splits data, sharp money overwhelmingly favors the Reds on the Moneyline at +113, with 69% of handle on just 26% of bets. The Run Line splits are even more lopsided, with 100% of handle on Cincinnati +1.5. For the total, 98% of handle is backing Under 8.5, making the Under the strongest sharp consensus play on the board.
