Looking for today’s New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, Run Line and total betting percentages, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before first pitch.
Yankees vs. Pirates Game 2 Odds
| Market | Yankees (Home) | Pirates (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -171 | +141 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (+120) | +1.5 (-144) |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100) |
The Yankees are listed at -171 on the Moneyline, implying roughly 63% win probability. The Run Line sits at the standard 1.5 runs with New York at plus money (+120) to cover, while the Total is set at O/U 8.5 with the Over slightly juiced at -120.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Bets % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yankees | 88% | 51% |
| Moneyline | Pirates | 12% | 49% |
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | 70% | 3% |
| Run Line | Pirates +1.5 | 30% | 97% |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 69% | 96% |
| Total | Under 8.5 | 31% | 4% |
Public Betting Trends
The public favors Yankees with 88% of Moneyline bets, but the Pirates command 49% of the handle on just 12% of tickets, a 37-point sharp lean. The Run Line divergence is even starker: 97% of handle backs PIT Pirates +1.5 on just 30% of bets, a 67-point split. The Over 8.5 commands 96% of handle on 69% of tickets, with sharp money clearly positioned for a higher-scoring game.
Yankees vs. Pirates Game 2 Stats
Team Batting Stats
| Team | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | OPS | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | .237 | .316 | .423 | .186 | .739 | 24.0% |
| Pirates | .263 | .341 | .427 | .164 | .768 | 24.1% |
Team Pitching Stats
| Team | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | K/BB | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 3.42 | 1.19 | 8.85 | 2.89 | .228 |
| Pirates | 4.30 | 1.32 | 9.24 | 2.55 | .240 |
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Pitcher | Record | ERA | WHIP | FIP | xFIP | WAR | K% | BB% | HR/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 4-3 | 3.21 | 1.01 | 2.71 | 3.93 | 1.94 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 0.15 |
| Bubba Chandler (PIT) | 3-8 | 4.77 | 1.45 | 4.59 | 5.13 | 1.00 | 20.2% | 12.8% | 0.95 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Pirates batting edge: Pittsburgh leads in team batting across the board with a .263/.341/.427 slash line (.768 OPS) compared to New York’s .237/.316/.423 (.739 OPS), a 29-point OPS advantage.
- Starting pitching matchup: Fried enters with a 3.21 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 10 starts this season, though he is returning from a D15 elbow stint (since May 14). Chandler carries a 4.77 ERA and 1.452 WHIP with a concerning 12.8% walk rate across 18 starts.
- Yankees injury toll: The Yankees are without Aaron Judge (rib, D60), Giancarlo Stanton (leg, D10), and rotation arms Clarke Schmidt and Carlos Rodon, significantly limiting offensive depth in the second game of a doubleheader.
- Pirates missing pieces: Pittsburgh is missing Oneil Cruz (hand, D60) and Endy Rodriguez (lower body, D10), removing two of its better road performers. Brandon Lowe (.263 AVG, .854 OPS, 11 HR on the road) carries the load.
- Home/road split leaders: At home, Cody Bellinger (.325 AVG, .980 OPS) and Ben Rice (.263 AVG, .971 OPS, 15 HR) have powered the Yankees lineup, while Esmerlyn Valdez (.288 AVG, 1.002 OPS away) leads Pittsburgh’s road attack.
The Run Line handle split is the most extreme on today’s board, with professional money overwhelmingly backing Pittsburgh to stay within 1.5 runs despite the public pounding New York. Fried’s return from injury and the second-game fatigue factor may explain why sharps see a tighter contest than the -171 Moneyline suggests.
Betting Splits Summary
| Metric | Yankees / Over | Pirates / Under |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline handle | 51% | 49% |
| Moneyline bets | 88% | 12% |
| Run Line handle | 3% | 97% |
| Run Line bets | 70% | 30% |
| Total handle | 96% | 4% |
| Total bets | 69% | 31% |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
Should you follow betting splits?
Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
What is the best bet for Yankees vs. Pirates Game 2?
The sharpest action in this game is on Pirates +1.5 (-144), where 97% of handle sits despite only 30% of tickets backing that side. This 67-percentage-point handle-to-bets gap is the largest divergence on the board and indicates professional bettors are confident Pittsburgh stays within a run or wins outright against a Yankees team dealing with injuries and doubleheader fatigue.
