The Home Run Derby is baseball at its least apologetic. No pitch split mix, no .ISO allowed, no 97 mph Skubal sinkers boring into the hands. Just eight of the sport’s loudest bats stepping into Citizens Bank Park and trying to turn Monday night into a fireworks show.
The 2026 field gives DraftKings Sportsbook plenty to work with. Kyle Schwarber enters as the favorite in his home ballpark, Bryce Harper brings another Philadelphia theater piece, Junior Caminero returns after finishing second last year, and Munetaka Murakami arrives with a power profile built to make casual fans learn his name fast. Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, and Willson Contreras round out a group with real carry, real distance, and several different paths to a long night.
DraftKings has opened far more than a basic winner market for the sport’s best power showcase. Bettors can play the champion, finalists, exact finalist matchups, straight forecast results, Round 1 totals, player-specific home run totals, longest homer props, and overall Derby scoring markets. The winner odds will get the most attention, but the specialty board gives every round its own betting angle.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
2026 Home Run Derby full field breakdown
Kyle Schwarber (+330)
Schwarber is the natural favorite, and not just because Philadelphia will shake every time he steps in. He entered Friday with an MLB-leading 32 home runs, Derby final experience, and a swing built for this building. The power has traveled all year, from a 460-foot shot in Colorado to a 457-foot blast at Citizens Bank Park.
Junior Caminero (+425)
Caminero already looked at home in this event last year, when he finished as the runner-up. Now he returns with 27 home runs, a 463-foot long ball, and a 114.3 mph hardest-hit homer in 2026. His swing has that easy violence Derby crowds love, and he can get hot without looking rushed.
Munetaka Murakami (+500)
Murakami is the mystery box for casual fans, but the power is not mysterious. He had 20 home runs before landing on the injured list, and 13 of them would have cleared every MLB park. The 99th-percentile hard-hit and barrel numbers put him near the top of this board for a reason.
Jac Caglianone (+650)
Caglianone is the young monster in the field, and his ceiling belongs beside anyone here. He has 14 home runs, a 444-foot long ball, and a 113.4 mph hardest-hit homer. He also ripped six homers during a five-game June stretch, which is exactly the kind of sudden fire that can steal a Derby.
Jordan Walker (+700)
Walker’s case starts with strength, and then the season backs it up. He entered Friday at .294/.354/.539 with 22 home runs and an MLB-best 73 RBI. Add a 459-foot homer and a 116.6 mph hardest-hit shot, and this number starts to look pretty interesting.
Bryce Harper (+850)
Harper gives the Derby its theater. He won the 2018 event at Nationals Park by beating Schwarber in the final, and now he gets another home-crowd stage. A win Monday would make him the first player to take the Derby twice in home ballparks.
Ben Rice (+850)
Rice is not just the Yankees entry on the board. He has 28 home runs in 2026, and his left-handed power gives him a real path in this park. This is his first Derby appearance, but the home run total says he belongs here.
Willson Contreras (+1200)
Contreras is the longest shot, which makes sense in this field, but he is not here by accident. He has 20 home runs, a 449-foot long ball, and a 112.8 mph hardest-hit homer. First-time Derby hitters can run hot quickly, and Contreras has enough pull-side thump to make this number live.
DraftKings Home Run Derby specialty markets
DraftKings has also opened several specialty markets around the Derby. Bettors can wager on a player to make the final, name both finalists, pick the exact winner-runner-up order, and play round-based totals.
The “Make the Final” market gives bettors a softer way to back a player without needing him to win three rounds. Schwarber is +140 to make the final, while Caminero is +210, Murakami is +235, and Caglianone is +250. A longer-shot finalist example would be Ben Rice at +400 or Contreras at +500.
DraftKings also has a “Name the Finalists” market. Schwarber vs. Caminero is listed at +1000, while Caglianone vs. Schwarber is also +1000. Schwarber vs. Murakami checks in at +1100, and Caminero vs. Caglianone is listed at +1400.
The straight forecast market goes one step further. Bettors must pick both finalists and the champion. Schwarber over Caminero is +1500, Schwarber over Murakami is +1700, and Caglianone over Schwarber is +1900. Caminero over Schwarber is available at +2000.
DraftKings also has Derby totals available. The total home runs in the Derby sits at 119.5, with both sides priced at -110. Round 1 total home runs is 74.5, with the over at -120 and the under at +100. The most home runs by any player in Round 1 is 13.5, with the over at -125.
Player-specific Round 1 totals are also on the board. Schwarber is listed at 10.5 home runs, while Caminero, Murakami, Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and Ben Rice all sit at 9.5. Harper and Contreras are both listed at 8.5.
The longest home run markets add another angle. The distance of the longest homer is set at 480.5 feet, with the over at -120. Schwarber is the favorite to hit the longest homer at +250, followed by Caminero at +400, Walker at +450, and Caglianone at +500.
For bettors who want novelty-style action, DraftKings also lists how many players will hit certain Round 1 home run marks. Every player to record 5+ Round 1 homers is -350, while 6+ is -125. The 7+ mark jumps to +220, 8+ is +600, and 9+ is +1200.
