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Prediction, pick for Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett at UFC 329

Prediction, pick for Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett at UFC 329

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By: Cooper Albers

At long last, Paddy Pimblett is fighting on the same card as Conor McGregor. One of the double-champ’s many disciples will face lightweight contender Benoit Saint Denis in the co-main event of UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 in Las Vegas. 

Saint Denis (17–3, 9–3 UFC) is riding an impressive four-fight surge, capped by a second-round TKO win over Dan Hooker at UFC 325 in January. One week earlier, Pimblett (23–4, 7–1 UFC) suffered his first Octagon loss — dropping a valiant unanimous decision to eventual lightweight champion Justin Gaethje at UFC 324. 

Saint-Denis enters as a -135 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Pimblett is a +114 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 2.5 rounds.

Saint-Denis vs. Pimblett Preview

Benoit Saint-Denis (#5)

  • 17–3 (9–3 UFC)
  • 6–2 (T)KO
  • 11–0 SUB

Benoit Saint-Denis is really good at hurting people. Dubbed “God of War,” the hard-hitting Frenchman boasts a 100 percent career finish rate, with six knockouts and 11 submissions.   

Saint-Denis, 30, enters Saturday night riding a dominant run of form. His four-fight winning streak has featured victories over Mauricio Ruffy (R2 SUB) and Dan Hooker (R2 TKO). After putting a lackluster 2024 in the rearview mirror, Saint-Denis has reminded the division that he’s still one of the most explosive, violent, and dangerous lightweights in the world.    

But not unconquerable. Employing ruthless aggression at a breakneck pace, Saint-Denis can sometimes overcommit, neglect defense, and gas himself out. He’ll be looking to close the distance — either by backing Pimblett against the cage or working the clinch — to finish the job early.

Paddy Pimblett (#9)

  • 23–4 (7–1 UFC)
  • 7–0 (T)KO
  • 10–1 SUB

The UFC’s nascent META rankings have placed Paddy Pimblett as the No. 9 lightweight in the world. Judging from his last performance, that ranking feels like a slap in the face. 

Paddy “The Baddy” kicked off the Paramount Era in January with a five-round war with Justin Gaethje — a loss that has aged exceptionally well following Gaethje’s stunning championship victory over Ilia Topuria at the White House. 

While the outspoken Liverpudlian lacks knockout power, he complements his all-action style with a chin made of bedrock and a second-degree black belt in jiu jitsu. Before his loss to Gaethje, Pimblett scored the interim title shot with back-to-back finishes over King Green (R1 SUB) and Michael Chandler (R3 TKO). 

He’ll be hunting another statement performance as he attempts to rejoin the lightweight title conversation.

Saint-Denis vs. Pimblett Pick, Best Bet

Pimblett is still searching for his signature win inside the Octagon, and there’s a strong possibility that he will find it on Saturday night. He enters the co-main event of UFC 329 as the quicker and far more durable fighter — Scousers don’t get knocked out — and could wear Saint-Denis out in his relentless pursuit of a finish. Pimblett proved in January that he can survive a dogfight, and there’s solid value in backing “The Baddy” to conquer the “God of War.”

Best Bet: Paddy Pimblett Moneyline (+114)

Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
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