It has been a wild NBA offseason, with multiple major trades to shake up the landscape of the league. Teams are still in the process of putting the final touches on their roster, which will surely have an impact on their outlook moving forward. But DraftKings Sportsbook has laid out the initial win total over/unders for all 30 NBA teams ahead of the 2026-27 NBA season. While the win total number can shift if more moves occur to change the outlook of the team, here is a look at my top bets for the opening season-long win totals.
Keep in mind that all odds offered on DraftKings Sportsbook are subject to change.
Top 2026-27 NBA Win Total Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Utah Jazz Over 34.5 Wins (-120)
The Utah Jazz have not won over 34.5 games in a season since 2022-23. But it is officially time to flip the script from tanking to competing, and they have the roster to do so. Utah limped to a 22-60 record last season while actively keeping key players out of games and subbing them out in crunch time in order to further benefit its lottery odds. It was ultimately rewarded with the second overall pick, which it used to select Kansas standout Darryn Peterson.
In addition to the top scorer in the draft, the Jazz will lean on a full season of Jaren Jackson Jr., whom they traded for midseason, and limited to just three games following the deal. Lauri Markkanen is still an All-Star talent, even while his output has been limited in recent years with the goal of attaining a top pick in mind. There are also plenty of fair reasons for optimism for players like Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski and Isaiah Collier to continue on their developmental paths.
The West is competitive, and it is probably ambitious to believe the Jazz will be ready to make noise in the playoffs next season. But Will Hardy is a talented coach, beyond what he has been able to show just yet, and the large frontcourt of Utah is going to give some teams trouble. The Jazz have the draft picks to further make an all-in push if they desire, especially following the Walker Kessler trade. But even without this, they have the talent to be competitive, and the players have been itching to truly compete. For reference, the Warriors finished in 10th place in the West last year with a 37-45 record. This feels like a fair bar of expectation for the Jazz to reach, and it would not shock me if they scrap their way to close to .500.
Philadelphia 76ers Over 48.5 Wins (-110)
The Philadelphia 76ers made a major splash this offseason to flip Paul George and some draft capital to acquire Jaylen Brown from their rival Boston Celtics. It felt as if the organization was at a crossroads between two timelines, and the front office deserves credit for getting creative and adding a key player that will keep their window to win open. Brown is coming off a season in which he finished sixth in MVP voting and led the Celtics to a 56-26 record while serving as the primary offensive engine. He will now join a dynamic backcourt led by Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe, with Philadelphia finishing with a 45-37 record last year.
Throughout most of the Joel Embiid era, so much of the Sixers’ outlook has been built fully around the health status of the former MVP. They have recorded over 48.5 wins in five of the past nine seasons. But as Embiid’s injury outlook has grown more concerning, the floor for the franchise has bottomed out. This was further magnified by Paul George’s availability issues, as he suited up for just 78 games across his two seasons with the Sixers.
Jaylen Brown has never played fewer than 57 games in a season. Maxey and Edgecombe are reliable bets to be available on a regular basis, with each coming off 70+ games played last year. Philadelphia has also added some intriguing talent around the edges, such as Anfernee Simons and Dean Wade. It would be going too far to say Embiid’s presence is almost a bonus for the Sixers’ outlook. But the path to producing wins without him is much clearer than has been the case in the rest of his career. Brown’s increase in availability, and frankly improved talent compared to George at this stage of his career, feels like it will translate to at least four wins on its own. With other positive upgrades on the roster and the young guards still on their upward developmental trajectory, the Sixers should be viewed as a dark horse in the East, and 48.5 wins is a comfortable bar for them to clear.
Indiana Pacers Over 44.5 Wins (-120)
Flashback to the 2024-25 NBA Finals, and the Indiana Pacers were one half away from being crowned NBA Champions after winning 50 regular-season games and getting red-hot at the right time. Tyrese Haliburton’s torn Achilles cemented last season’s best path as a gap year, but Indiana did not get the lottery luck it hoped to add a key young talent through the draft. However, there is still plenty to like about the existing Pacers core, and they brought in Ivica Zubac midseason, who should be a perfect pick-and-roll partner with Haliburton moving forward.
Pascal Siakam, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard were able to add some more layers to their game last season, while several other key members of the Eastern Conference champion rotation remain. Indiana has not stood still either, bringing in players like Kelly Oubre Jr. and Larry Nance Jr. to its rotation. The Pacers finished with a record of just 19-63 last season, but they had eclipsed 44.5 wins in back-to-back seasons before this.
The biggest concern is Haliburton’s path to returning from injury and whether he has any complications. By all accounts, it has not been a smooth process to this point. However, the Pacers have been cautious in comparison to a player like Jayson Tatum, who suffered the same injury just a few weeks earlier and returned to play 16 regular-season games before attempting to make a playoff push last year. It will be roughly 16 months since the injury when Haliburton takes the floor, and as long as he can look close to being the best version of himself, the Pacers will be back in the Eastern Conference mix. Expect Indiana to be eager to provide a reminder to the rest of the league that it has earned its way into the contending category and for 44.5 wins to be too low of a total. For reference, the Orlando Magic and Philadelphia 76ers each won 45 games last year to earn the seventh and eighth seeds. This is a comfortable goal for the Pacers, and don’t be surprised if they play their way into a top-six seed.
