The Rockies and Dodgers play the second game of their three-game series on Tuesday, July 7.
Los Angeles is a -301 moneyline favorite, while Colorado is +239 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The game total is set at over/under 9.5 runs.
Let’s get into a pick and prediction for this Rockies vs. Dodgers game.
Rockies vs. Dodgers prediction, preview
This is a matchup between the best team in the majors and one of the worst teams. Los Angeles is the first team to win 60 games this season and is the reigning two-time World Series champion. Meanwhile, the Rockies are 37-55 (only the Angels have a worse win percentage) and have been a bottom-feeder for many years. The Dodgers are heavy favorites for a reason, but that means there’s great value in the Rockies tonight.
Let’s be clear: the Rockies are obviously far worse than the Dodgers; nobody would argue differently. Being a -301 moneyline favorite is understandable, but it’s too large for a regular season game. Even the worst MLB teams win at least 50 games each season, with some coming against the best teams. Baseball’s regular season isn’t upset-free due to the length of it. With each team playing 162 games, there’s bound to be many upsets. It’s on the bettor to find value in underdogs.
Most underdogs are no greater than +200 because of how the regular season is structured. For example, the Dodgers lost a game to the Angels in early June. No one would argue that the Angels are a better team. Just last night, the Rockies lost 8-7 in extra innings to the Dodgers—proof that any team can compete on any given night.
It is an uphill battle as Justin Wrobleski is starting for the Dodgers, while Michael Lorenzen is on the mound for Colorado. Lorenzen’s 6.91 ERA is ugly, but he’s consistently improved it from 8.01 since the start of June. Luckily the Colorado offense has been alive the past few games, scoring six, 14, 15, four, seven, and seven, winning four of these matchups.
Rockies vs. Dodgers Pick, Best Bet
It shouldn’t be a surprise that Rockies moneyline is the best bet tonight. It’s hard to stomach betting on one of the worst teams against the best team, but there’s great value at +239. Colorado pushed Los Angeles to extra innings in the first game of the series, so it’s not ridiculous to think they may compete again, especially with the way the offense is rolling.
