Phoenix just won three in a row for the first time all season, and the reward is a visit from the hottest offense in the league. The Sky head to Phoenix on Tuesday, with tipoff set for 10:00 p.m. ET. The Mercury are listed as a 3.5-point favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, and the total sits at 172.5.
Let’s get into it!
Sky vs. Mercury Preview
The winning streak has been built on offense that finally resembles the group Phoenix expected to have. Phoenix has put up 96.7 points per game over their last three, fourth-best in the league during that stretch, and they have done it while knocking down 38.4% of their threes. Alyssa Thomas is the reason the engine runs, steering the ship with 14.4 points, 8.4 assists, and 1.5 steals per game while stacking at least eight assists in eight consecutive games. Kahleah Copper has supplied the scoring punch, averaging 20.6 points and arriving off a 30-point night.
Chicago sits at 6-14, which badly undersells how dangerous its offense has become. The Sky are averaging a league-best 104.3 points over their last three games and shooting 52.2% from the field, second-best in the WNBA over that span. Kamilla Cardoso has been the engine, posting 23.3 points and 8.6 rebounds across her last three and mixing in a perfect 13-for-13 shooting night. The rotation changed too, with Skylar Diggins sliding to a reserve role, and the scoring has not dipped a bit since.
The trouble for Phoenix is that Natasha Mack, its leading rebounder and shot blocker, remains out, leaving the paint lightly guarded against a center playing the best basketball of her career. Cardoso overwhelming teams inside is not a problem the Mercury are currently built to solve. Plus, getting stops has been an issue for both sides. Phoenix has allowed 85.3 points over its last three games, Chicago a bloated 99.7, so buckets should come in bunches.
Two hot offenses and two soft defenses make 3.5 a slim cushion for a home favorite. Chicago has dropped its last two, both to Las Vegas, but the attack that snapped a six-game skid with a pair of wins over Portland has kept humming right through those losses. Phoenix has been the sturdier team across the last 10 games at 5-5 to Chicago’s 2-8, and the Mercury did handle the Sky 91-83 in the first meeting on May 16. That version of Chicago was not scoring 104 a night, and it did not have Cardoso turning into a nightly matchup problem the way she is now.
Sky vs. Mercury Pick
Chicago’s offense is running too hot, and Cardoso’s edge against a Mercury team without its rim protector is too large for Phoenix to comfortably pull away. The Sky have a good chance to keep this within a possession or take it outright.
Best Bet: Chicago Sky +3.5 (-115)
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This article was created with the assistance of generative AI and edited by a DraftKings Network writer.
