Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? We’ve got a few strong MLB props to target on the July 3 slate, including a team total, hitter prop, and pitcher outs prop. The Athletics are in a favorable matchup against Tyler Phillips and a pitching staff due for regression, James Wood gets ideal hitting conditions against Mitch Keller, and Gerrit Cole faces a difficult matchup against a Twins lineup that profiles well against his primary pitches. Let’s break down the best MLB prop bets today.
Today’s Best MLB Prop Bets: Athletics team total over 5.5 runs, James Wood 2+ total bases, and Gerrit Cole under 17.5 outs recorded.
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Best MLB Prop Bets Today (July 3, 2026)
- Best Team Total: Athletics team total over 5.5 runs: Tyler Phillips’ underlying metrics and poor road splits create value for Sacramento’s offense.
- Best Batter Prop: James Wood 2+ Total Bases: Wood gets a favorable matchup against Mitch Keller in hitter-friendly weather at Nationals Park.
- Best Pitcher Prop: Gerrit Cole under 17.5 outs recorded: Minnesota profiles extremely well against Cole’s fastball and slider.
MLB Prop Bets Breakdown (July 3, 2026)
Let’s break down the top MLB prop bets and picks for today. Click on each headline below to view the latest odds and bet these plays on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Athletics Team Total Over 5.5 Runs
Odds: -105 | Opponent: Miami Marlins
On the surface, this doesn’t look like a slam dunk matchup for the Athletics against starter Tyler Phillips. A quick look at his numbers shows he’s been serviceable in his outings both in the bullpen and as a starter. But, when you start peeling the onion, you’ll notice there are reasons to like the Athletics bats to come alive tonight. Phillips’ 3.02 ERA looks nice but not when it’s accompanied by an xERA of 4.43. He’s also been much worse on the road, where he has a 5.67 ERA, a .346 wOBA, and a 5.82 FIP. While he’s only allowed seven home runs, five of them have come on the road. Pitching in Sacramento won’t do him any favors tonight.
James Wood 2+ Total Bases
Odds: +100 | Opponent: Pittsburgh Pirates
Lefties for the Nationals are in a great spot against Pirates starter Mitch Keller. Against lefties, Keller owns a .344 wOBA with a 4.41 FIP and seven of the nine home runs he’s allowed. He faced the Nationals earlier this season and had a nightmare start, allowing five runs on six hits with four walks through just four innings of work, which tied for his shortest start of the season.
I was surprised to see that Wood was +100 to collect 2+ total bases tonight. He’s hitting for a ton of power with a .257 ISO and 43 extra base hits. He’s also hitting for plenty of power at home, posting a .257 ISO. It’s going to be a hot and humid night at Nationals Park with temperatures around 97 degrees and the wind blowing out. I’ll take this opportunity to take Wood at +100 to reach 2+ total bases.
Baseball fans looking for something beyond betting can also check out my preview of this 10-box baseball card break, where I break down the best teams and rookie chases.
Gerrit Cole Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
Odds: +107 | Opponent: Minnesota Twins
Cole has been shaky since his return from Tommy John surgery in May. His ERA and xERA aren’t bad at 4.06 and 3.60 but other stats are raising red flags for me. First, he’s allowing the highest fly ball rate of his career at 50%. Because of that, his HR/9 is also at a career-high 1.6. His two main pitches, a fastball and slider, aren’t fooling opposing hitters either. They’ve tagged his fastball for a .404 wOBA with a .350 ISO and his slider at a .522 wOBA and a .231 ISO. It’s been especially solid contact against his fastball with a 51% hard-hit rate. Tonight, he’ll face a Twins lineup that is excellent against both pitches.
The expected lineup for the Twins own a .381 wOBA and a .268 ISO against the fastball and a .389 wOBA with a .274 ISO against the slider. With Cole throwing these pitches a combined 56% of the time, they’ll have their opportunities to do some damage. This is why I’m looking for Cole to go under 17.5 outs, something he’s done in four of his seven starts, including each of his last two.
More MLB Betting Content & Picks
Check out more MLB betting content and player props throughout the season on DraftKings Network.
- MLB Best Bets Today: Top plus-money underdog picks for Friday 7/3/26
- MLB Best Bets: Top home run props for Friday 7/3/26
- Best NRFI Bets Today: No Run First Inning MLB Picks For Friday 7/3/26
Good luck with your MLB prop bets today!
