Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? We’ve got a few strong MLB props to target on the July 1 slate, including a team total, hitter prop, and pitcher outs prop. The Giants are in a great position against Zac Gallen and his continued struggles; Jonathan Aranda gets a favorable matchup against Seth Lugo after another rough month, and J.T. Ginn faces one of the toughest assignments in baseball against the Dodgers. Let’s break down the best MLB prop bets today that you can find on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Today’s Best MLB Prop Bets: Giants team total over 4.5 runs, Jonathan Aranda 2+ total bases, and J.T. Ginn under 14.5 outs recorded.
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Best MLB Prop Bets Today (July 1, 2026)
- Best Team Total: Giants team total over 4.5 runs: Zac Gallen’s struggles against left-handed hitters continue to create value for San Francisco.
- Best Batter Prop: Jonathan Aranda 2+ Total Bases: Aranda continues to hit right-handed pitching well and draws a favorable matchup against Seth Lugo.
- Best Pitcher Prop: J.T. Ginn under 14.5 outs recorded: The Dodgers match up extremely well against Ginn’s pitch mix, and favorable hitting weather only adds to the challenge.
MLB Prop Bets Breakdown (July 1, 2026)
Let’s break down the top MLB prop bets and picks for today. Click on each headline below to view the latest odds and bet these plays on DraftKings Sportsbook.
San Francisco Giants Team Total Over 4.5 Runs
Odds: -115 | Opponent: Arizona Diamondbacks
Happy Zac Gallen Day to all who celebrate! I’m going to continue to target team totals when facing Gallen until he either fixes whatever issues are going on or gets bumped from the rotation (I’m banking on him getting bumped). Gallen just wrapped up the month of June, allowing 26 runs on 40 hits through 27 innings of work. That gives him a .411 wOBA, a 5.99 FIP, and an 8.33 ERA for the month. He allowed at least four runs in four of the five starts he made, making him a primary target for these opposing team totals. This wasn’t just a bad month either; his entire season has been a disaster, indicated by his 6.19 xERA through 86.1 innings.
While both sides of the plate have hit him hard, lefties have been the biggest issue over the past few seasons. Currently, when facing a lefty at home, Gallen has a massive .393 wOBA with five of the 15 home runs he’s allowed and a 5.31 xFIP. The Giants should have a minimum of five lefties in the lineup tonight, putting them in a great spot to hit Gallen hard.
Jonathan Aranda 2+ Total Bases
Odds: -120 | Opponent: Kansas City Royals
Seth Lugo is another pitcher coming off a really bad month of June. He’s been a regression candidate, and it still hasn’t fully caught up to him. His 4.18 ERA comes with a 5.26 xERA. He had his worst month of the season in June, when he allowed 15 runs on 21 hits, six of which were home runs, in 19.1 innings of work. Now he’ll face a Rays lineup that hits righties well, especially Aranda. Coming into tonight, he owns a .401 wOBA with a .232 ISO and a 157 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. It’s hard to pinpoint what pitches Lugo will use, as his arsenal has seven to choose from. That being said, His top two pitches, a sinker and a fastball, both have an ISO over .222, meaning opposing hitters are hitting them for power.
2026 Topps Chrome Jumbo Boxes have removed another auto in this years release and collectors are not happy.
J.T. Ginn Under 14.5 Outs Recorded
Odds: +131 | Opponent: Los Angeles Dodgers
Ginn has been a solid starter for the Athletics this season. Through 88.2 innings, Ginn has a 3.15 ERA, a 3.93 xERA, a 4.02 FIP, and has limited hard contact. However, this feels like a spot where he’ll struggle against the Dodgers at home. Ginn has three pitches that make up 75% of his pitch arsenal: a sinker, change, and cutter. The Dodgers are elite against all of these pitches. Tonight’s expected lineup combines for a .389 wOBA against the sinker, a massive .460 wOBA against the change, and a .382 wOBA against the cutter. Tonight’s weather will give a big bump to bats, as it’ll be hot, humid, and with winds blowing out toward center field. At +131, I’m more than comfortable taking a shot here.
More MLB Betting Content & Picks
Check out more MLB betting content and player props throughout the season on DraftKings Network.
- MLB Best Bets: Top home run props for Wednesday 7/01/26
- MLB Rain Delay Watch for Wednesday 7/1/26
- MLB Best Bets Today: Top Expert Betting Picks for Wednesday 7/1/26
Good luck with your MLB prop bets today!
